Editing User talk:Armondikov
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|Nice to see you again||1||14:50, 27 February 2014|
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|Credentials Revoked!||2||17:34, 16 December 2013|
|You like Tumblr, don't you?||3||11:03, 6 September 2013|
|Question||2||01:08, 7 August 2013|
|Email.||0||01:24, 3 July 2013|
|Nom||0||00:19, 18 June 2013|
|Maybe...||1||12:27, 17 June 2013|
|Hey Science-Boy.||1||07:44, 5 May 2013|
|Goth hate crimes||2||03:11, 29 April 2013|
|Can you have a look at this?||7||12:10, 19 March 2013|
|Who are you?||2||13:28, 1 March 2013|
|Opera Mobile||4||20:12, 24 February 2013|
|Spherical bullshit||3||12:19, 18 February 2013|
|Your sig||2||11:50, 7 January 2013|
|Mod nod||1||20:50, 18 December 2012|
|Theatheistkilla troll||1||14:27, 11 October 2012|
|Enterprise v. Star Destoryer||13||03:24, 4 October 2012|
|Bayesian heresy||1||23:41, 18 September 2012|
|Don't think, but look||1||23:15, 17 September 2012|
Any claim of expertise, degrees, or certifications this user claims have been offically revoked by AP University.
Ever since Actually, You're the 47 Percent stopped updating, I've been looking for a new favorite Tumblr, and dear Lordy, have I ever found one: The Bad Advice. They hunt down actual letters to columnists like Dear Abby or Ask Miss Manners — letters clearly written by horrible, self-centered people — and provide equally horrible answers. It's amazing. (I stopped reading Dear Abbey years ago, and I'd forgotten just how pettily fretful the letter writers could be.)
There are some weird people in the world. I recently found this in the good-old Daily Mail.
You have a physical subscription to the Daily Mail — as in, the tabloid I've only ever heard bad things about? Why would you subject yourself to that?
Is Essay:The Futility of Anecdotal Evidence good enough to be a blog post?
When you've got a second, can you take a look here and weigh in on "CarbShark's" position and especially his recent entries to the article? Way too technical for me. I'm a humanities guy. Thanks....
Article could probably do with being overhauled. Some of the percentages are just horrifically over-simplified and based on out-of-date information. But the actual edit itself was full of shit. It didn't really change the article except to remove the caveat that these diets only work short term and are no better than other low-calorie ones.
It's precipitated entirely off the back of Sophie Lacaster's murder, that's for sure. I don't have any hard figures/evidence (indeed, without this being actively classed as a hate crime, such evidence would be extremely hard to come by - and I suppose going by the last paragraph in that article, this is almost the point), but I have no reason to suspect it's "worse" here than anywhere else in the world.
The article nails it on many levels, though.
It's mostly right based on Yudkowskian rationalism, which is a fairly robust approach to thinking about hypothesis testing but unfortunately suffers from too much subjectivity when trying to assign an actual, i.e., numerical, prior probability to things. Indeed, my snarkastic view of Bayes theorem is that you just fiddle with P(B) until it gives you the answer you want.
Overall, it's not the best wording of it, I must say. But the subject is worth including in the article on evidence. The example is okay. You expect to see Christians exist in the world if God exists and you expect to see Christians in the world if God doesn't exist but religion is a social phenomenon. The question is which is more likely as does this "evidence" actually tell you the difference.
"According to the tenants of Bayesian Reasoning, you should determine whether a statement is true or false by asking yourself what you would expect the world to look like in each case." That's not Bayesian reasoning, that's empiricism.
Also: "... tenants ..." → "... tenets ..." shurely. Gives me little confidence in the editor.
It's Bayesian if you update based on a prior idea. Hence the discussion of how probable it is God exists and whether the presence of many Christians can change that.
True, but there is other stuff thrown in with that in the edit, like the sentence I pulled out above which described empiricism rather than Bayesianism. That's the problem with relying on Yudkowsky -- he's packed a bunch of tangentially related philosophical suppositions and schools of thought into the umbrella term of "Bayesianism."
Fantastically useful and occasionally hilarious, if your idea of humour includes jokes expressed entirely in failed CSS.
It was really useful to use when I was building a responsive layout, as it does add a few bells and whistles to check if something will work on a mobile. But if you just resize the browser window (and sometimes, zoom) it should also show the responsiveness, and that works for layout. When I saw it change just on resizing the window I had to boot up the emulator as a sanity check, and yes it really does do that. I mean, wow.
Yep, yep! I saw it do that with EvoLve (which is responsive, it just gets it stupidly wrong and that header fouls up everything) and with Twenty Twelve. The quick way is just to switch from portrait to landscape and watch it reflow. I need to learn how to do that to 2012.
Curiosity led me to investigate four-dimensional cows. Sadly, no one has ever discussed such a thing, but I did stumble upon this page:
“”A four dimensional woman would have many more interesting hairstyle opportunities available to her.
Oh, you silly mathematicians.
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Kinda reminds me of this old MAD TV sketch.
Bayes is an equation. A very useful equation indeed, but I don't see what the fuss is about. Prefixing it before everything you say doesn't really accomplish anything. But this seems a case of "you can write any old bollocks if you publish it in PDF format and stick 'economics' in the abstract".
Occasionally if I need to think really fast I purposefully skip over the inner monologue and just think about it. You'd be amazed how much you can get done that way.
Of course, then communicating it to someone else is a pain in the arse, as you haven't rehearsed the ability to get it into a less subjcetive medium, but what the hell, it's okay to just be right and not tell anyone about it.