Editing User talk:Tmtoulouse
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Contents
| Thread title | Replies | Last modified |
|---|---|---|
| Any idea who holds the bot farm? | 0 | 14:22, 13 February 2015 |
| Using File:Rw logo.png on Wikipedia | 2 | 00:06, 9 February 2015 |
| Starting the election | 0 | 01:07, 5 February 2015 |
| A BoN has nominated you for the board | 0 | 22:35, 24 January 2015 |
| varnish | 0 | 05:37, 3 November 2014 |
| I think normally I'm not supposed to bother you with stuff like this | 0 | 06:47, 6 October 2014 |
| Trent | 0 | 20:39, 16 May 2014 |
| I have sent you an email | 0 | 02:41, 1 May 2014 |
| FYI | 0 | 11:04, 27 April 2014 |
| So, what did Brxbrx do? | 0 | 10:08, 26 April 2014 |
| e | 4 | 00:31, 23 April 2014 |
| e | 1 | 00:31, 23 April 2014 |
| e | 6 | 00:31, 23 April 2014 |
| e | 0 | 00:31, 23 April 2014 |
| e | 0 | 00:31, 23 April 2014 |
| We should have Friday the 13th holidaze | 2 | 16:20, 13 December 2013 |
| Current Banner | 1 | 17:43, 12 November 2013 |
| I know this is beyond menial but... | 0 | 22:43, 15 October 2013 |
| Threat of abuse by User:Nutty Roux | 2 | 14:36, 21 September 2013 |
| Send me an email | 0 | 22:27, 6 September 2013 |
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Any idea who holds the bot farm?
It looks like both User:Pibot and User:Capturebot2 are down (See RationalWiki:Technical support.) I have the vague remembrance that they were hosted on RW's old server or something like that.
P.S. Liquid threads is crap.
Using File:Rw logo.png on Wikipedia
For the prospective RationalWiki article on Wikipedia, would it be possible to use File:Rw logo.png?
A BoN has nominated you for the board
Hi Tmtoulouse,
Just thought I'd give you a heads up to the fact that this BoN has nominated you for the board.
You have until January 26th to accept the nomination.
I think normally I'm not supposed to bother you with stuff like this
Have you received the email I sent you earlier? Have you looked at the Chicken Coop, and Talk:All thing in moderation? There's some shit going on again. It might take you a bit to sort through, I'm afraid.
The gist of it is, I've been blocked and had my user rights removed by Nutty Roux/Former Editor and Reckless Noise Symphony. Opinions and what not can be found on User talk:Tielec01 and User talk:Reckless Noise Symphony, as well as the coop and ATIM.
Also, Nutty Roux's gone and locked a bunch of things, to prevent me from editing through proxies. Seems pretty fucked up, from my point of view.
Trent
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I have sent you an email
This is the usual post in order to make sure you've received it. If you haven't, and you want to, I could always send it again. The content of the email was not of a confidential nature, so I'll have no objections if you prefer posting your reply here, thereby sparing yourself the indignities that come with allowing me to have your email address.
You may want to comment on this or, at least, be aware of it so that you may comment on it if you so choose.
So, what did Brxbrx do?
From the block log:
Nutty Roux (...) blocked Brxbrx (...) with an expiry time of indefinite (...) ('Can we finally be rid of the people who add nothing? Ask Trent if I'm lying about what Brxbrx did behind the scenes to undermine RW.)
This edit of Hovind quotes, which another person removed, will be quite useful regarding Hovind's claims as they show a contradiction in his court filings. More than that, it shows rationalwiki was correct. The link also explains how to find the documents free from the Clerk of Court.
I have attempted to integrate them into the paragraph.
An article I spent hours working on today was deleted along with some material that might be of interest to your legal counsel. So I'll leave some relevant court rulings regarding Hovind here:
- In a 1996 decision, Judge Killian wrote (bolding added): "The debtor [Kent Hovind] having failed to file his federal income tax returns for at least the years 1989 through 1995, having resisted collection efforts by the IRS, and having provided false information in his schedules and statement of affairs in connection with this case, I find that the debtor filed this petition in bad faith and as such the petition is subject to dismissal for cause under the provisions of 11 U.S.C. 1307(c)."
- In 2006, a Tax Court judge explained, the IRS "made jeopardy assessments under section 6861 against petitioner [Kent Hovind] of income tax, of additions to tax under section 6651(f) for civil fraud and under section 6654 for underpayment of estimated tax, and of interest, relating to 1995, 1996, and 1997." Hovind further mailed a "letter making various bizarre arguments, some of which constitute tax protester arguments involving excise taxes and the alleged '100% voluntary' nature of the income tax." 6651(f), specifically refers to an "increase in penalty for fraudulent failure to file."
- In 2012, a Tax Court Judge ruled (emphasis added): Jo Hovind "underpaid her tax liabilities for 1998-99 and 2000-06 and that some part of her underpayment for each year was due to fraud," earlier noting "Engaging in illegal activity, even if the taxpayer is not charged with a tax crime, is circumstantial evidence of fraud."
I just sysopped you (it's conventional to make everyone who isn't obviously insane a sysop), so you can in fact recover the deleted text for yourself if you want it to hand.
(It does strike me as the sort of text that would be interesting to have up somewhere.)
Hi Trent, would you consider to update the banner to this version User:LArron/sandbox just to emphasize the success of the fundraiser?
I want to take a short (mathematically inspired) look at the quality of the final match of the Fifa World Cup 2014 and the UEFA Euro 2016...
Contents |
[edit] Fifa World Cup 2014
“”I know it's a much smaller dream that we all wanted, but we have to honour the shirt of the national team. We made the semi-finals, the top four teams in the world. And there were a lot of good teams that were knocked out before us.
|
| —Felipe Scolari (before the match for third place) |
| 1st | Germany ★★★★ |
|---|---|
| 2nd | Argentina ★★ |
| 3rd | Netherlands |
| 4th | Brazil ★★★★★ |
Is Felipe Scolari right? Are these the top four teams of the world? Well, probably not. And if those are the top four, than the order may be wrong. Why? The FIFA uses a system combined from a group stage in which eight groups of four teams each play a round-robin tournament - an excellent way to determine the rank of each team in its group. But than, sixteen teams (the winners and the runner-ups of the groups) play single leg knockout matches. While a knockout tournament is an excellent way to find the best team (so, congratulations again, Germany), it's awful if you wish to look for the second-best - and even worse for the third and the fourth place. Indeed, a pure knockout tournament will have the second best team eliminated before the final match in roughly 50% of all cases.
How good is the system the FIFA is using? Under typical mathematical assumptions[1], it isn't that bad when it comes to the final game:
While under pure knockout rules, there is only a 51.6% chance that the 2nd best overall team reaches the final, this probability is up to 61.3% in the World Cup 2014. The rules guarantee that no team worse than 5th can play in the final match, while otherwise (k.o.), even the 17th best team (or 16th worst) would have had a - tiny - chance to play in the Maracanã.
Even if we may not get a perfect final match, pitting the best and the second best team against each other, we are quite sure (ca. 90%) that we get an interesting match between the best and the second or third best team.
The situation is little bit muddier when it comes to the Bronze Medals:
Perhaps (25.8%) it is the consolation prize for the second best team, which was knocked out during the quater-finals, more probably (32.9%), it goes to a team which doesn't deserve it. As for the fourth place, it is quite probably not the fourth best team which loses out to the Bronze winner:
Nevertheless, the match should be played by two quite good teams, not ranked worse than sixth - though it is wishful thinking to believe that the team which fared worst coming out of the quarter-finals is one of the top four teams of the world.
The probabilities for the events shown by the pictures above are obviously not independent (it is impossible - say - for the second best team to lose out in the finals and gain the Bronze medal), but we can calculate the probability that the first three places in the tournament are awarded to the top three teams of the world: it's 38.0% The probability of these being the three best teams overall is 57.0%, so a Dutch fan might find comfort in the thought that under the assumption that these are the three best teams, the odds are 1 in 2 (i.e., a probability of 33.3%), that it really should be Germany - Netherlands - Argentina.
tl;dr The World Cup 2014 gave us (quite probably) a worthy final match, and Brazil is (quite probably) not as good as Felipe Scolari thinks.
[edit] UEFA Euro 2012
The Euro 2012 was organised similarly to the World Cup 2014, but there were only 16 teams in four groups (instead of 32 teams in eight groups). Therefore, one of the knockout stages (round of the last sixteen) wasn't necessary.
Thus, the probability for a final match between the two top teams of Europe was quite high (73.3%), and at worst, the third best team would have played for the prize.
There is no game for third place at the Euro.
[edit] UEFA Euro 2016
The Euro is the biggest football event between the World Cups. The number of nations in Europe grew over the last decades, and the broadcasting rights per match became more and more lucrative. No wonder that the UEFA decide to inflate the number of nations in the group phase from 16 to 24. Only eight will be eliminated during the group tournament, and there will be 51 matches overall (instead of a measly 31 in 2012). An additional round in the knockout phase of the tournaments leads to a lower probability for the second best team to reach the final - but it gives the fourth best team a possibility to shine:[2]
While we may get more quantity, I don't think that the new system improves the quality. The World Cup 2014 has shown that the matches during the group phase can be the most entertaining, while the knockout phase may harbour some disappointments. I'd prefer four groups of five teams each, with only the top two advancing to the knockout stage. This results in 47 games, but in a better probability for a final match of the best two teams...
tl;dr Looking only at the final match, the UEFA rules for 2016 are no improvement over those of 2012.
[edit] Footnotes
All ready changed it the right way this afternoon.
I guess my cache didn't let me see it!
*cough*caching problems*cough*
F5 solves all my problems.
I saw you were banned from Conservapedia by Karajou... Haha. Me too. I found his reasoning against Conservapedia's own rules for mine and was trying to appeal, and show him as a poor and biased admin. Trying to find how to contact an Admin while blocked is how I found this wonderful wiki. I just wanted to say I noticed his reason for blocking you is also against Conserapedia's rules, and was wondering if there was a way to expose him. Assuming their biased wiki would even care, that is.
Current Banner
Instead of
For best results also use RationalWiki moisturizing conditioner. (Теперь и на русском языке)
could we do something on the Phillippines?
Threat of abuse by User:Nutty Roux
You should be aware of this: http://rationalwiki.org/w/index.php?title=User:Nutty_Roux&oldid=1240455
He makes a knowledgable threat to abuse his power. I realize I've had issues, but as you know I'm working on them. Also in the past few days, I've had an epiphany about what it is I should do and not do to avoid causing trouble. I've started work with users such as AD and refrained from saying anything to users in the face of serious harassment, just to break the cycle which would inevitably make those users see themselves as victims of my behavior. As an example of such harassment: http://rationalwiki.org/w/index.php?title=Talk:Moral_equivalence&curid=137463&diff=1239204&oldid=1239199 I don't think you should take action against Nutty Roux, but I think you should be aware of his threat.
Arcane agrees that I've been subject to ad hominem attacks, as he says here and here.
Don't do this again, Ehrenstein. It's not the place for it, and it's going to achieve the opposite of your hoped-for effect. Trent's not the wiki-daddy, and he has actual things going on.
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