RationalWiki:What is going on with the elections?

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Icon politics.svg Keep up to date with all the polls, propaganda, lies, and statistics surrounding the world's elections here. The most popular entries are found at Best of the elections and the older entries are found in the archives.

What is going on?

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April 2024

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6United States Meet the people spending $800,000 or more to make Trump the next president
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21South Korea South Korea's liberal opposition party has trounced the conservative ruling party in a recent parliamentary election.
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35Turkey Turkey's main opposition party is closing in on victory in the main cities of Istanbul and Ankara

March 2024

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16Senegal Bassirou Diomaye Faye has been elected as President of Senegal. He's also Africa's youngest president ever.
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3United Kingdom Jonathan GullisWikipedia has been appointed as deputy chairman of the Conservatives.
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9Ireland Higher Education minister Simon Harris has been been elected unopposed in the Fine Gael's ardfheis [party conference] as the party's new leader. He would be the next taoiseach [prime minister] on the 9th April.
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15 United StatesNew Jersey. Bob Menendez announces he will not seek reelection.
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11Russia In a shocking turn of events, Vladimir Putin wins another presidential election which, according to independent reporting, had nearly 32 million fake votes, and along with Ukrainian citizens in Russian-occupied territories being forced to vote at gunpoint.
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16Ireland Ireland overwhelmingly rejects proposed constitutional amendments via two referendums. The proposed changes would have removed language in the constitution that defines a family in terms of "marriage" and references women's "duties in the home". Voter turnout was lower than expected, and reportedly the "Yes" campaign had "confusing" messaging, both of which may have helped contribute to the result.
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17Portugal Center-right Democratic Alliance claims a narrow victory over the governing Socialists. The far-right party Chega ("Enough!" in Portuguese) saw large gains, nearly tripling its vote share and winning 48 seats in Parliament, but according to the Democratic Alliance leader Luís Montenegro they will not rely on Chega to govern.
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11United Kingdom Former deputy chairman of the Conservatives Lee Anderson has defected to populist far-right Reform UK.
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18United States Trump, looking for a way out of his financial troubles to help with his campaign, has gone to Elon Musk, who'd certainly be able to erase his financial worries. Elon has said he doesn't plan on donating to any candidate.
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7United StatesNorth Carolina. Mark RobinsonWikipedia has won the North Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary. The guy is very far-right, a Holocaust denier, and may actually be a Moon landing denier.
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17United States Biden's State of the Union address fueled his best fundraising day out of any since he announced his 2024 campaign.
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16United States RFK Jr. defends his association with Jeffrey Epstein by listing other alleged or convicted criminals he associated with. "I mean, I knew Harvey Weinstein. I knew Roger Ailes. I knew—OJ Simpson came to my house. Bill Cosby came to my house."
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11United Kingdom Another one bites the dust, with former Prime Minister Theresa May said she is to stand down as the MP for Maidenhead at the next general election.
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16United States Dean Phillips drops out, endorses Biden.
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11United States (Or not.) Nikki Haley expected to drop out of presidential race on March 6. Update: It’s official.
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13United StatesVermont. We're so back, Haleybros: Nikki narrowly wins the Vermont Republican primary.
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16United StatesAmerican Samoa In an upset, Joe Biden loses the American Samoa Democratic Primary to someone you've likely never heard of, Jason PalmerWikipedia (who didn't even have a Wikipedia page before this happened). This also makes Biden the first incumbent president to lose a primary contest since Jimmy Carter in 1980.
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26United StatesArizona. Kyrsten Sinema is not running for reelection.
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13United Kingdom Polling by Ipsos for the Evening Standard has put the Conservatives approval rating at just 20%, the lowest rating they have had in an Ipsos poll since 1978. Sunak has also seen his rating as Prime Minister reach a record low of 73 percent dissatisfied, 19 percent satisfied, giving a net score of -54.
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19United States The Supreme Court voted 9-0 to keep Donald Trump on the ballots. Are you even surprised?
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2Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif has been appointed the new Prime Minister of Pakistan.

February 2024

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4United Kingdom ‘Gorgeous’ George Galloway returns to Parliament after winning a chaotic by-election.
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2United States Ryan Binkley has dropped out of the race.
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7United States Marianne Williamson unsuspends her presidential campaign three weeks after she dropped out.
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20United StatesKentucky. Mitch McConnell is officially stepping down as Republican Senate leader in November.
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7Tuvalu Feleti Teo has been appointed the prime minister of Tuvalu.
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14United StatesSouth Carolina. Koch brothers network pulls the plug on contributions to Haley's campaign after loss in South Carolina.
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-13United StatesSouth Carolina. Donald Trump wins the South Carolina primary.
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23United StatesWisconsin. Wisconsin governor Tony Evers signs new legislative maps, replacing the old gerrymandered ones drawn by Republicans.
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24United StatesWest Virginia. After months of speculation, Senator Joe Manchin says he will not run for president in 2024 as a third-party or independent candidate.
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21Pakistan Protests have erupted in Pakistan over election rigging and military interference.
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18United Kingdom The Conservatives lose 2 more ‘safe’ parliamentary seats to the Labour Party in by-elections.
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8United StatesMaryland. The far-right Bethany Mandel is running for the Board of Education in deep blue Montgomery County, Maryland.
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26United StatesNew York. Democrats pick up one seat in the House of Representatives, where Republicans are a majority only by a razor-thin margin. This was a special election triggered by the expulsion of George Santos from the chamber.
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-7Georgia Following Irakli Garibashvili's resignation, Irakli Kobakhidze has been approved as the new prime minister.
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5Finland Centre-right former prime minister Alexander Stubb has won narrowly against Green candidate Pekka Haavisto, to be the next president of Finland.
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14United StatesCalifornia. Marianne Williamson has suspended her 2024 presidential campaign.
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11United StatesNevada. Biden projected to win Nevada's Democratic presidential primary with something like 90% of the vote.
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15United StatesNevada. Nikki Haley is projected to lose to the option "None of these candidates" in the symbolic Nevada primary, the first ever candidate from either party to do so. Trump did not appear on the ballot, instead focusing on the Nevada caucus, which actually awards delegates.
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10United StatesSouth Carolina. Biden won the South Carolina primary with 96 percent of the vote.
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7El Salvador El Salvador's Bukele re-elected as president in landslide win. His New Ideas party is expected to win almost all of the 60 seats in the legislative body, which means Bukele will wield unprecedented power and be able to overhaul El Salvador's constitution, something that his opponents fear will result in scrapping of term limits.
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4United KingdomIreland A nationalist SDLP MLA has lost his whip (party affiliation) after he left early during a historic meeting of the Northern Irish Assembly, so he could participate in a GAA football match as a team manager.
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25United StatesFlorida. Florida will vote, via a ballot initiative this year on whether to add abortion rights to its state constitution. Similar measures have succeeded in deeply red-leaning states like Kansas and Ohio, so one may expect this to succeed.

January 2024

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-8United StatesArizona. Proposed bill would give the Arizona legislature the authority to override the popular vote.
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13United Kingdom A former cabinet minister leads a plot among UK's Tories to oust Rishi Sunak as party leader before the next election.
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14United States Trump: anybody who donates to Nikki Haley "will be permanently banned from the MAGA camp."
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6United StatesNew Hampshire. Donald Trump wins the New Hampshire Republican primary. Joe Biden also won the Democratic primary despite only being a write-in candidate.
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4Comoros Azali Assoumani is elected as President of the Comoros for the 4th time.
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11United StatesPennsylvania. One Pennsylvania state poll has Biden doing decently, per a pollster FiveThirtyEight rates "B+". Polls for the general presidential election have been somewhat mixed recently.
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33United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis drops out of the Republican primary.
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25Japan Support for Japan's ruling LDP has plummeted to 14.6%, some of the worst numbers in the party's entire history.
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18Guatemala Bernardo Arévalo is inaugurated as president of Guatemala after many delays.
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9United StatesGeorgia (U.S. State). RFK Jr. traveled to Atlanta (MLK Jr's birthplace) for a campaign event the day before Martin Luther King Jr Day. There, he defended the JFK administration wiretapping MLK Jr with authorization from RFK: "My father gave permission to Hoover to wiretap them so he could prove that his suspicions about King were either right or wrong... they had to do it."
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24United States Vivek Ramaswamy drops out of the presidential race.
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0United StatesIowa. Donald Trump wins Iowa caucuses.
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32Taiwan William Lai wins the presidential election in Taiwan, which is likely to anger China.
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23United StatesRhode Island. Rhode Island election officials found the names of several dead people on nomination papers for Vivek Ramaswamy.
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16United States John Anthony Castro, the man who filed 33 suits challenging the 2020 US presidential election results, is now the second GOP presidential hopeful to be indicted. Say what you want about the Dems currently on the ballot, but it seems that none of the Dems currently running for POTUS have been criminally indicted. Or, in other words: business as usual in the party of corruption.
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2United Kingdom Osborne has hinted the date of general election being 14th November 2024, after he said a little birdie in Sunak's government told him.
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9United States Chris Christie drops out of the 2024 presidential race.
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14United Kingdom Former pensions secretary Chris Skidmore has resigned as a MP due to Sunak's backtracking on his green pledges, while another Conservative MP is being investigated over allegedly breaking parliamentary rules by using taxpayer money to fund Conservative Party work.
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8United Kingdom Andrew Bridgen has left Laurence Fox's Reclaim Party and withdrawn the party whip, allegedly because of "difference in the direction of the party".
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16United StatesIllinois. Trump refuses to sign decades-old Illinois ballot agreement in which he would pledge not to "advocate the overthrow of the government".
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7United StatesColorado. The Supreme Court will decide if Trump can appear on the Colorado ballot.
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13United States Vivek Ramaswamy has sold stock worth 33 million in preparation for "significant investment" in his bid for the GOP nomination.
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10United Kingdom Sunak has ruled out a May 2024 general election, but hinted at an election in the latter half of 2024. Election experts point to an October 2024 election.
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11United StatesCalifornia. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s campaign has hired noted anti-vaxxer Del Bigtree as communications director.

December 2023

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12United StatesColorado. Lauren Boebert runs for re-election in a different district that's much redder than the one she narrowly won in 2022.
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22United StatesMaine. Maine’s top election official has removed Donald Trump from the state’s 2024 ballot.
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27United StatesWisconsin. Wisconsin Supreme Court strikes down the state's gerrymandered legislative maps.
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21United StatesIowa. Republican caucusgoers in Iowa more worried about Trump's comments on terminating parts of the Constitution or locking up political opponents than his comments about immigrants "poisoning the blood" of America.
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6United StatesNew Hampshire. Nikki Haley gets a polling surge in GOP's New Hampshire presidential primary. Update: Another poll also has her up in NH, this time just four points behind Trump. So there's your new challenger to throne; last one to get this close was DeSantis.
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-23United StatesWest Virginia. Joe Manchin again flirts with running for President, denies he'd be a "spoiler" candidate. He plans to launch a speaking tour around the country.
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31United StatesColorado. Colorado Supreme Court rules that Donald Trump is ineligible to appear on the 2024 ballot.
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9United Kingdom Conservative MP Peter BoneWikipedia loses his seat after a successful recall petition by his constituents. Bone had previously been suspended from the Conservative Party and Parliament for 6 weeks after allegations of bullying and sexual misconduct. By-election to come early next year.
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-3Serbia Aleksandar Vučić wins the Serbian election, again.
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27Chile Chile rejects the Constitution written by the conservatives and the far right.
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21United States A national survey of Jewish voters found that while overall Jewish voters overwhelmingly support Biden, there is a marked age gap in support for Biden's unconditional support of the Israeli war effort among Jewish voters, with younger Jewish voters more likely to oppose Biden's actions and unconditional support than older voters.
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18United States RFK Jr. went on CNN to claim he's not anti-vax. They instantly played a clip of him saying there are no safe and effective vaccines.
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13United StatesIowa. Casey DeSantis encourages non-Iowans who support her husband to come "descend upon the state of Iowa to be a part of the caucus". She now adds: she didn't mean illegal voting, but just showing "support".
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33Poland Liberal-Conservative Donald Tusk has been elected as Poland's new prime minister.
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14United States There will be no more RNC-approved GOP presidential primary debates for 2024.
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16United States Apparently no longer considering him a useful idiot, Fox News grills RFK Jr. about whether he was on Jeffrey Epstein's jet (apparently, he was).
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24Venezuela The "Guayana Esequiba" referendum seems to have backfired on Maduro due to very low voter turn-out indicating heavy disapproval (despite a 95% "Yes" vote which is believed to have been a rigged result) among the population. Guyana seems relieved at the moment with how unpopular it is.
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8United StatesNorth Dakota. Doug Burgum dropped out of the 2024 Republican presidential primary.
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6United StatesFlorida. Alternative presidential candidates not allowed to appear on Florida Democrats' primary ballots. This is an especially bizarre move since Biden was at little current risk of losing the primary anyway.

November 2023

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17United States Biden's polling worsens further. The one with a trendline that looks better for him is from Rasmussen Reports... take that how you will.
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1United Kingdom Some Tories already seem to be thinking ahead of a prospective election loss in 2024 or 2025. Government minister Kemi Badenoch may end up as Rishi Sunak's successor in party leadership, as she's apparently a favorite of the Jordan Peterson-cofounded Alliance for Responsible Citizenship, whose conference she spoke at last month. Badenoch is favored by very-conservative activists as a successor to Sunak since she is viewed as more ideological — so much so that she was endorsed by Britain First last year.
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8United KingdomUnited States The former British prime minister, the lettuce called Liz Truss has written an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal endorsing Trump for president in 2024.
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25United States In a great sign for Ron DeSantis's campaign, his top strategists are literally on the verge of fist fights with each other.
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-18Netherlands Geert Wilders' PVV party has won the largest share of seats in the Dutch Parliament.
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-7Netherlands Netherlands votes for a new government & new prime minister. Based on the polls, the winner could be Conservative Liberal party VVD again (the new leader, Dilan Yeşilgöz-ZegeriusWikipedia, isn't ruling out working with PVV, despite stating that there are too many differences between them), Dutch Trump & his cronies, Frans TimmermansWikipedia, former EU Commissioner for Climate Change, who leads the progressive coalition PVDA-GL, & Pieter OmtzigtWikipedia, a hardcore Christian who's been pretty vague on what he wants if he gets elected as Prime Minister, besides making it clear that he doesn't want to rule with Wilders or tinfoiler BaudetWikipedia.
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5Liberia Joseph Boakai is elected President of Liberia in the run-off, defeating incumbent George Weah.
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10United StatesWest Virginia. Joe Manchin and daughter fundraising through some sort of dark-money non-profit. Appears to be either a way to launch a bid for president, or a way to make donors think that's what it is before running out the back door with the money. Hard to tell at this stage.
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-35Argentina Javier Milei wins the Argentina election. (English-language source.)
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19Spain Pedro Sánchez is re-elected as the Prime Minister of Spain, after extending amnesty to Catalan separatists.
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26United StatesVirginia. Genius analysis by a random GOP representative from Virginia says the Republicans lost the recent elections because they weren't anti-abortion enough.
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18United StatesNew York. Representative George Santos/Anthony Devolder/whatever his real name is won't run for reelection after a scathing House Ethics report.
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5United StatesWest Virginia. Joe Manchin says he would "absolutely" consider running for President. He is one of the country's most unpopular Senators.
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-6United States RFK Jr. somehow polls better than both Trump and Biden among young voters in some key battleground states. We could be looking at a kookier Ross Perot over here.
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17United StatesSouth Carolina. Tim Scott drops out.
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7United StatesArizona. Jake Angeli, the QAnon Shaman is running as a Libertarian in Arizona’s 8th district for Congress.
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-12United States Trump has said that he'd consider Tucker Carlson as his vice president pick.
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-16United States Vivek Ramaswamy proposes building a border wall to keep the Canadians out.
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23United StatesKentucky. The reason Kentucky's Democratic governor won reelection: relatively low turnout among Trump voters (53% turnout) compared to Biden voters (79%).
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14Argentina Taylor Swift's first concert in Argentina is unexpectedly political with an upcoming run-off election (taking place on the nineteenth): one fan poster near the event location read, "A Swiftie Doesn't Vote Milei". Fans referenced Swift's endorsement of Biden in 2020.
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11United StatesWest Virginia. DINO extraordinaire, Joe Manchin is retiring from the Senate in 2025. The race seems to guarantee a spot for a Republican to step in.
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-11United StatesMassachusetts. Jill fucking Stein is now running for President. As a Green, obviously.
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22United StatesVirginia. Trans flag.svg Danica Roem has been elected as Virginia’s first openly transgender senator.
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-8United StatesMississippi. Republican Tate Reeves wins reelection for governor in Mississippi, albeit by a narrower margin than Republicans were hoping for.
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8United StatesVirginia. What could go wrong? Democrat Susanna Gibson is narrowly trailing her Republican rival in a Virginia House of Delegates contest, after the Republicans revealed that she performed sex acts online for "tips"
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12United StatesPennsylvania. Democrat Dan McCaffery wins election to an open seat on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, giving Democrats a 5–2 majority.
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23United StatesVirginia. Democrats flip Virginia's state House while retaining the Senate, thwarting Republicans' attempts to gain a trifecta.
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17United StatesKentucky. Kentucky's Democratic governor Andy Beshear wins re-election.
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30United StatesOhio. Ohio voters vote to enshrine abortion rights in the state consitution and also to legalize recreational cannabis, becoming the 24th state to do so.
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7United States Trump ahead of Biden in multiple key states. Rather than an increase in support for Trump, it seems to mainly be a collapse in support for Biden, especially among young voters and black voters. Although his stance on Israel is suggested as a likely cause, these shifts began prior to the war (see e.g. here).
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14United States RFK Jr. promises to make the National Institutes of Health stop studying infectious diseases for eight years if elected president. He has previously said: "I do not believe that infectious disease is an enormous threat to human health."
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6United StatesOhio. Virginia. Ohio and Virginia purged tens of thousands of voters off their registries right before their respective elections.

October 2023

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19United StatesIndiana. Mike Pence has officially dropped out of the presidential race.
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16United StatesWyoming. Kanye West has come out of the woodwork to dispel what his lawyer said, and say that he is "100%" still running for President.
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9United StatesCalifornia. Larry Elder has dropped out of the Presidential race.
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6United StatesMinnesota. Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips has announced his bid for Democratic President against Biden.
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-11United StatesNorth Carolina. North Carolina has approved its new GOP-favouring gerrymandered maps.
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10United Kingdom Bad news for Sunak, as another possible by-election is on the horizon due to the suspension of Peter Bone, due to sexual misconduct allegations.
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19Argentina Argentina votes for president and national congress. There's an actual chance they could elect anarcho-capitalist Javier Milei as president. Argentinian polling (which AP calls "notoriously unreliable"), though, indicates a run-off in November is likely. Update: results indicate a run-off election.
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20United StatesWyoming. Kanye West has dropped out of the 2024 Presidential race.
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8United StatesMichigan. Perry Johnson drops out of the 2024 race for Republican nomination.
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6United StatesCalifornia. Harlan Crow gives maximum campaign donation to Cornel West. UPDATE: West has returned the money.
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18United States Yet another poll indicates that RFK Jr. could end up helping Biden beat Trump, in true Frankenstein fashion. That is, assuming he has ballot access.
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16United Kingdom Two parliamentary by-elections take place, with Labour winning both seats that were previously Conservative strongholds.
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40Poland Ballot count makes it official: right-wing PiS government loses its parliamentary majority in Poland to a coalition of centre-right, liberal, and leftist parties.
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3EcuadorDaniel Noboa, from the centrist National Democratic Action, narrowly defeats the Correist Luisa González. At 35, he is the youngest president in Ecuador's history.
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32Poland Right-wing PiS party appears to have just lost their majority in parliament to the three main opposition parties, based on exit polling. Rest in PiSS.
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-6United StatesLouisiana. Republican Jeff Landry has won the Louisiana governor's race, making Louisiana's Governor a Republican again for the first time in eight years.
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1New Zealand The centre-right National Party defeats the incumbent Labour Party in the New Zealand general election. Combined with ACT, they will have a very slim majority in parliament, making it unclear whether they require the support of NZ First. Former businessman Christopher Luxon will be the new PM, and he promises tax cuts for middle-income earners and a crackdown on crime.
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0United StatesMontana. Corey Stapleton drops out of the 2024 race for Republican nomination.
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-11United StatesCalifornia. Cenk Uygur is officially running for the Democratic nomination, apparently, despite being ineligible to run.
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-2United KingdomScotland East Kilbride MP Lisa Cameron has defected from the SNP to the Conservatives, over allegations of “toxic and bullying” treatment towards her.
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8United StatesTexas. Will Hurd drops out of the 2024 Presidential race.
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17United StatesCalifornia. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is switching from the Democratic Party to an independent.
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9United StatesRhode Island. Steve Laffey, the former mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island, drops out of the race for the Republican nominee for President.
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16United States Team Trump prepares attacks against RFK Jr. after reports that he will run as an independent, and that he could take slightly more votes from Trump than Biden.
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20United StatesAlabama. Federal judges redrew Alabama's Congressional map to undo its racial gerrymander, turning AL-02 and AL-07 into Black-majority districts that will likely vote Democratic next year.
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13United KingdomScotland Labour wins the Rutherglen and Hamilton West parliamentary by-election off of the Scottish National Party. The previous SNP MP, Margaret Ferrier, had been ousted by her own constituents for breaking Covid restrictions in 2020.
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0United StatesCalifornia. Cornel West is switching from the Green Party to an independent.
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-3United Kingdom The mayor of the West Midlands region, the Conservative Andy StreetWikipedia has threatened to leave the party over the government's plan over to shrink the building of a HS2 high-speed rail line to just a London-to-Birmingham service, and not further towards Manchester. Update: He has stated he will not quit and instead praised the Conservative Party.
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-2New Zealand Right-wing opposition in New Zealand poised to form a coalition government, according to a poll ten days before the election. Depending how the chips fall, that may require the National and ACT parties to team up with New Zealand First.
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17United StatesCalifornia. RFK Jr. is expected to announce on October 9 that he will switch his run for president from one as a Democrat to one as an independent.

September 2023

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-24SlovakiaLeft wing populist and pro-Putin Robert Fico and his party win the parliamentary elections in Slovakia
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-4United StatesCalifornia. Cenk Uygur of The Young Turks reportedly "staffing up" for a 2024 presidential run as a Democrat. Of course, it's unclear if he is even constitutionally eligible to run. Update: He is running.
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6Spain The People's Party's Feijoo's prime minister career dies before it even starts, failing to reach simple majority on the second vote. The king has set the 2nd and 3rd of October for a second round of talks with the political parties, with the second candidate being very likely to be current prime minister Pedro Sanchez.
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-22United States Terrisa Bukovinac, founder of Pro-Life San Francisco and Progressive Anti-Abortion Uprising (PAAU), is running for president as a Democrat.
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8United StatesArizona. Kari Lake to run for US Senate after losing election for Arizona governor. She is a massive Trump sycophant, so expect his endorsement.
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19United StatesPennsylvania. Democrats retake razor-thin majority in Pennsylvania state House, after a special election.
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5Latvia Evika Siliņa has taken office as Latvia's Prime Minister.
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35United StatesAlabama. Federal court rejects Alabama's congressional map and will draw new districts to boost Black voting power.
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40United StatesFlorida. Florida judge strikes DeSantis' gerrymandered map, siding with Black voters
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-27United StatesCalifornia. Nancy Pelosi announces she will run for reelection, refuting speculation that the former Speaker of the House would be retiring.
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9Singapore Tharman ShanmugaratnamWikipedia has been elected as the next President of Singapore.

August 2023

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20United StatesFlorida. Miami mayor Francis X. Suarez becomes the first U.S. presidential candidate to drop out of the race.
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-4Taiwan Terry Gou, founder of multinational electronics company Foxconn,Wikipedia has announced his candidacy for the 2024 elections.
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22Thailand Progressive business tycoon Srettha Thavisin has been elected as Thailand's new Prime Minister.
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-5Cambodia Hun Manet has been sworn in as Cambodia's new Prime Minister.
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10United StatesNorth Carolina. Self-described conspiracy theorist Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, who believes the moon landing was faked and that there's a secret class of reptilians controlling the world, is running for Governor of North Carolina.
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39Ecuador On the same day, Ecuadorians voted on a referendum and decided against oil drilling in one protected part of the Amazon Rainforest.
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24Ecuador Leftist Luisa González and businessman Daniel Noboa will battle for Ecuador's presidency in an October run-off.
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22Guatemala Progressive candidate Bernardo Alévaro wins runoff. Be on high alert for any coup attempts.
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22United StatesNew Hampshire. Chris Christie takes second place in New Hampshire GOP presidential primary polling, now slightly ahead of Ron DeSantis. Though neither candidate is likely to defeat Trump's powerful cult of personality.
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1Argentina Far-right Trump-wannabe takes shocking lead in the primaries for the Argentinian presidential election. He is a self-described anarcho-capitalist and supports a "free market in body organs". He also wants to abolish Argentina's central bank and currency, moving to the US dollar.
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9Ecuador Ecuadorian presidential candidate Fernando Villavivencio has been assassinated at a campaign event
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34United StatesOhio. Ohio voters reject the GOP-backed Issue 1, which proposed that a 60% majority would be required for any future ballot issues that would amend the state constitution. This was part of a larger attempt to sabotage future ballot issues regarding abortion.
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34United States Democrats have overperformed in 2023's special elections so far.
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31United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis's biggest donor threatens to cut off funds if he doesn't become more moderate. Mere hours later, DeSantis states that claims the 2020 election was stolen are "unsubstantiated".

July 2023

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17Spain in Spanish PNV (Basque Nationalist Party), whose support is key for PP's Feijóo to become Prime Minister, refuses to even consider supporting PP because of their relationship with Vox. PP is currently betting on a at the very least unlikely socialist abstention, saying that the Socialist Worker's party should assume they've "lost" the election and asking them to not block Feijóo
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-37Cambodia Cambodia's ruling party overwhelmingly wins election, after banning their biggest opposition party from running.
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23Spain Spain's elections end in a hung parliament. The right-wing People's Party won a plurality, but the center-left "Socialists" will likely have an easier path to a coalition, even if it will mean negotiating with regional parties to do so.
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13United Kingdom The ruling Conservative Party loses two parliament by-elections and wins one. Rishi Sunak plans to focus on migrants, crime and transgender rights after this result.
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13United StatesCalifornia. Surprising few, RFK Jr.'s campaign is receiving a lot of money from donors who typically give to the GOP. At least two billionaires and several current or former corporate & banking executives stand behind him.
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-12Thailand Thailand's military junta with a hold on the senate has blocked the popular progressive candidate who had emerged as the clear winner of the election. Parliament will now have to vote again.
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7Guatemala A top Guatemalan party has been barred by the courts, throwing the presidential election and Guatemala's democracy status into the unknown.

June 2023

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4Sierra Leone Julius Maada Bio sworn in as opposition cries foul.
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2Germany The far right AFD wins their first local governing post, in the Thuringian district of Sonneberg. The Thuringian AFD and its leader Bernd Björn Höcke are known to be particulary extremist.
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3United StatesFlorida. Francis X. Suarez has become the third Floridian to run for president in 2024.
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3United StatesNew Jersey. Chris Christie enters the 2024 race
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43United StatesAlabama. SCOTUS rules that Alabama's congressional map is an illegal racial gerrymander.
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15United StatesNorth Dakota. The 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries DLC characters keep on comin': Governor of North Dakota Doug Burgum is running for President.
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-18United StatesCalifornia. Cornel West has announced he's running for president in 2024... for the People's PartyWikipedia. The People's Party is an insane, bigoted, pro-Russia third party. Its only achievements currently are: 1) giving Bernie Sanders a petition to join the party, which he ignored, 2) announcing that they'd run "a dozen or more" candidates in the 2022 midterm elections, then ran zero, and 3) have their leader be credibly accused of sexual harassment, who then purged board members who sided with accuser. Curiously, West is also sat on the board of a pro-DeSantis company that supports and benefits from DeSantis' policies, alongside Christopher Rufo and the president of the Heritage Foundation.
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-4United StatesIndiana. Mike Pence is officially running in the 2024 presidential race.

May 2023

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37LatviaGay Pride Flag.svg Edgars Rinkēvičs is elected as president of Latvia, making him the first openly-gay president of a post-Soviet country.
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10Spain Spain’s conservative opposition trounces Socialists in key local and regional elections. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has announced general elections will be held on July 23, 2023
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-58Turkey Recep Erdoğan wins re-election as Turkey’s President.
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9United StatesLouisiana. Pastor charged with four counts of child cruelty announces bid for Louisiana House.
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-5United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis announces his bid to run for President of the United States in 2024.
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10GreeceGreece's center-right wins biggest election victory in half a century
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1Turkey Turkey election heads to a runoff between Erdoğan and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.
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27IndiaFlag of Karnataka, India.png The far-right BJP loses its majority in the Indian state of Karnataka.
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50Thailand Thailand opposition crushes military parties in election rout
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-27Chile Chile’s far-right party wins most seats on constitutional rewrite committee
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34United States Biden's current plan to get re-elected: oppose GOP book bans, support abortion rights, and defend Social Security. The fact that these stances poll very well seems to be the main reason why they were selected as a primary focus. Those who have watched voter priorities polling should know that he will need a broader economic message too, however.
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5Turkey Turkey's elections take place on May 14. Erdoğan and crew remain in political danger, so they've decided they need to get more homophobic.
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22United KingdomFlag of England.svg Conservatives trounced by Labour, LibDems and Greens in England's local elections. UKIP lost every seat it held. BBC source.
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16Paraguay Conservative Santiago Peña, from the Colorado Party, elected in Paraguay. The Colorado Party, which has ruled the country for all but five of the last 75 years (including the dictatorship under Alfredo Stroessner), and right-wing party candidates were also performing strongly in congressional elections and governorships, with some provinces recording a historic Colorado majority over opposition rivals.

April 2023

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-35United StatesNorth Carolina. North Carolina's supreme court overturns its previous anti-gerrymandering decision. Get prepared for North Carolina to become the new Wisconsin.
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1United StatesVermont. Bernie Sanders says he won’t run for the Democratic nomination in 2024, endorses Biden instead.
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14United States Poll: GOP presidential primary voters say that fighting 'woke' ideology is more important than stopping cuts to Social Security (and Medicare!).
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0United StatesDelaware. Joe Biden announces he’s running for re-election in 2024.
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-6United StatesCalifornia. Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race.
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22United StatesFlorida. DeSantis "isn't running" yet. But his support is collapsing. Trump holds a polling advantage. One DeSantis megadonor is literally dead. Others are getting cold feet. Another has pulled funding, citing his social extremism. Meantime, team Ron plan to copy Rudy Giuliani's 2008 "strategy". All in all, the GOP's most likely shot at a non-Trump nominee is not looking so likely. (But don't count him out yet?)
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14United StatesCalifornia. Democratic presidential primary candidate Marianne Williamson gains a following with young people, including on TikTok. The Intercept calls her a fusion of "Bernie Sanders and (early) Jordan Peterson". They also report: "A recent poll found Williamson hovering above 20 percent with voters under 30".
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5United StatesIndiana. Joe Exotic, who is currently serving time in prison for attempting to hire an assassin to kill a woman who started a non-profit, and who is also running for president, has switched parties from Libertarian to Democrat. He's now running as a Democrat. Yay.
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10Andorra The liberal coalition, led by Prime Minister Xavier Espot, has won the absolute majority of seats in the General Council in the 2023 Andorra parliamentary election.
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-3United StatesCalifornia. King of the anti-vaxxers, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., files paperwork to run for president as a Democrat. Update: he was apparently drafted by Steve Bannon.
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9United StatesArkansas. Asa Hutchinson enters the 2024 Presidential race, competing with Republicans Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy (real name), and Democrat Marianne Williamson.
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10Montenegro Jakov Milatović defeats Milo Đukanović in the Montenegro election. Milatović says: “Within the next five years, we will lead Montenegro into the European Union”.
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9United StatesIllinois. Progressive Brandon Johnson wins the Chicago mayoral election, defeating police union-backed DINO Paul Vallas.
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24United StatesWisconsin. Liberal Janet Protasiewicz wins election to the Wisconsin Supreme Court, giving liberals their first majority there in 15 years.
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18FinlandFinland's center-right party claims win amid tight election

March 2023

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10Kazakhstan Kazakhstan's ruling party Amanat wins the legislative election by 54%.
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38Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdoğan trails the opposition by more than 10 points ahead of an election in Turkey in May.
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12China Xi Jinping "reelected" for a third term.
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21Estonia In the Estonian parliamentary election, the Reform Party, led by Kaja Kallas, has won the most seats in the Riigikogu.
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15Nigeria Bola Tinubu of the ruling APC wins a disputed election. The opposing PPD and Labour Party have claimed the votes were doctored, and the election was marred with violence and technical issues.

February 2023

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23United StatesIllinois. Lori Lightfoot is ousted as the mayor of Chicago. A run-off election will occur between Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson.
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22United States Republican presidential primary candidates must agree to a "loyalty pledge" promising to support whoever wins the nomination in order to debate, the party's National Committee chair says. Can anyone guess who this is aimed at?
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18United StatesWisconsin. Liberal Janet Protasiewicz and conservative election denier Daniel Kelly advance in the primary for an open seat in the Wisconsin Supreme Court. This election will decide which side has a majority in the chamber, which will have huge implications on issues such as gerrymandering and abortion rights.
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27United StatesCalifornia. California dinosaur Senator Dianne Feinstein announces that she will not run for reelection, opening the door for what will likely be the most intense Senate primary of the cycle. Among those running to replace her are Reps. Adam Schiff and Katie Porter.
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18United StatesSouth Carolina. Nikki Haley announces she's running for President, making her the first Republican challenger to Trump.
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27United StatesPennsylvania. The PA State House has now officially flipped blue, after Democrats win three special elections in safe-blue Pittsburgh-area seats in order to replace Representative Summer Lee, Lt. Governor Austin Davis, and the late Tony DeLuca. Previously, there had been a bit of drama to get a speaker, as the three vacancies meant neither side had a majority.

January 2023

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21Czechia Former army general and independent politician Petr Pavel has won the Czech presidential election against his rival, populist former prime minister Andrej Babiš. He will replace the current president Miloš Zeman in March, who has been criticised for pandering to dictators like Putin, and politicking the largely ceremonial role.
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21United StatesArizona. Popular Democratic Arizona representative Ruben Gallego will challenge Independent Kyrsten Sinema for her US Senate seat.
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21United StatesVirginia. Democrat Aaron Rouse flips a Virginia State Senate seat in Virginia Beach during a special election, expanding Democrats' Senate majority in the state to 22-18. This comes as Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin is trying to pass a 15-week abortion ban.
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18United StatesSouth Carolina. South Carolina's House map ruled an unconstitutional racial gerrymander by a federal court. This is because of how black voters from Charleston were packed into the 6th district in order to make the 1st district safe for Republicans (comparison of both maps here). Of course, the result is likely to be appealed to the Supreme Court.
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38United StatesThe GOP-controlled House is off to a great start as Kevin McCarthy has failed fourteen votes for Speaker, leaving the legislature in limbo. Here's why 21 Republicans are refusing to support him. For those wondering, the last time the House failed to elect a Speaker was in 1923, almost exactly 100 years ago. Update: McCarthy has officially been elected as Speaker of the House on the 15th vote.