RationalWiki:Predictions

The RationalWiki Predictions page is a simple tool to allow users to make long-term predictions, in the spirit of Longbets.org. Predictions should generally relate to the mission, or be generally relevant to politics, science, society, or economics. Once a prediction is settled, it will be archived as correct or incorrect.

Vote up (green) if you agree with the prediction, down (red) if you disagree, or meh (amber) if you're unsure/don't care.

When adding predictions, try to present statements in a way that makes them easy to judge as true or false when the excrement hits the rotating blades.