Stopped clock

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This clock is correct at 12:27AM, and 12:27PM

The "stopped clock" argument refers to the fact that "even a stopped clock gives the right time twice a day." Someone, even a crank, denialist, or a conspiracy theorist can be correct once in a while by chance alone. Often this may be because predictions just happen to come true but also it can be the one exception to the rule of crank magnetism. I.e., a crank may find some crankery that is so crankerous that they can't help but denounce it as crank quite vocally.

This analogy is one counterpoint to the fallacy fallacy, which is the mistake of assuming that any conclusion derived from fallacious reasoning must be false. To extend the analogy a bit further, a clock stopped at 3:48 will always conclude that the current time is 3:48. Thanks to its faulty premises, though, this conclusion happens to be correct only for a total of two minutes out of any given day, or roughly 0.14% of the time.

[edit] Source of the analogy

The term refers to an analogue clock with the standard twelve-hour dial face. "Flip digital" clocks (where the numbers are affixed to small plastic cards that "flip" into position when driven by an electric clock mechanism) can also be considered to be "right" twice a day. Such a clock set up for 24-hour time would still be right once a day. Clocks with LED or LCD displays that are stopped are always wrong because they go blank, falsely implying that, for some bizarre reason, time no longer exists (hence the lack of time to keep track of).

[edit] Objections to the analogy

Without a frame of reference, there is no way of knowing when a stopped clock is right... or not. So to determine the time that a stopped clock is correct you'd need another clock, and if you have another clock why bother with the stopped one? Plus, if you cannot tell when the stopped clock is right then it is worse than a clock displaying the wrong time which, so long as the timing mechanisms work, can at least inform you of the passage of time. Plus, plus, the concept of the 'right time' is subject to quite a bit of uncertainty - not least because of relativity. A stopped clock with a second hand is right twice a day to an uncertainty of one second, but technically is it only right for one planck time, a measurement so small as to be pointless. But this is why analogies are just that, analogies.

[edit] See also

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