Debate:How will the 2008 US election break down?
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In the spirit of massive multi-sectioned debates that have been in the vogue around here lately I present a chance to strut our predictive power for the 2008 US election.
Nation wide popular vote[edit]
- Obama-52 percent, McCain 47 percent, Other 1 percent tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Total electoral college break down[edit]
- 263 Obama, 217 McCain, 58 toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Alabama 9 ec[edit]
- McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Alaska 3 ec[edit]
- With Palin, this is now McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Arizona 10 ec[edit]
- McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Arkansas 6 ec[edit]
- The south is the south, McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
California 55 ec[edit]
- Obama solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Colorado 9 ec[edit]
- This is really close but I say Obama pulls it off. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Connecticut 7 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Delaware 3 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
D.C. 3 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Florida 27 ec[edit]
- Another close one, I want to give this to Obama, and he just might do it, but I am going to say McCain pulls it off. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Georgia 15 ec[edit]
- McCain, weak, but he will get it. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Hawaii 4 ec[edit]
- Obama solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Idaho 4 ec[edit]
- McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Illinois 21 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Indiana 11 ec[edit]
- McCain, but will have to waste resources to solidify it. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Iowa 7 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Kansas 6 ec[edit]
- McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Kentucky 8 ec[edit]
- McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Louisiana 9 ec[edit]
- McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Maine 4 ec[edit]
- This one can split its votes by congressional district, McCain is going after one of them but I don't think he will get it. Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Maryland 10 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Massachusetts 12 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid, duh. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Michigan 17 ec[edit]
- McCain has now pulled out, a once battleground state this is solid for Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Minnesota 10 ec[edit]
- This one keeps me up at night, this is too early to call either way. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Mississippi 6 ec[edit]
- McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Missouri 11 ec[edit]
- McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Montana 3 ec[edit]
- McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Nebraska 5 ec[edit]
- McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Nevada 5 ec[edit]
- Battleground, but I see it going to McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
New Hampshire 4 ec[edit]
- This is Obama's now. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
New Jersey 15 ec[edit]
- Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
New Mexico 5 ec[edit]
- Yay for my home state! Obama 2008. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
New York 31 ec[edit]
- Like California, this can not be lost for Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
North Carolina 15 ec[edit]
- Too close to call, this is a toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
North Dakota 3 ec[edit]
- McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Ohio 20 ec[edit]
- It is all about Ohio...again...toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Oklahoma 7 ec[edit]
- McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Oregon 7 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Pennsylvania 21 ec[edit]
- This will tip Obama in the end. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Rhode Island 4 ec[edit]
- Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
South Carolina 8 ec[edit]
- McCain, easy. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
South Dakota 3 ec[edit]
- McCain again. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Tennessee 11 ec[edit]
- McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Texas 34 ec[edit]
- Some day this will tip blue, but McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Utah 5 ec[edit]
- This will never tip blue. McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Vermont 3 ec[edit]
- Obama easy. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Virginia 13 ec[edit]
- Too close to call, this is a toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Washington 11 ec[edit]
- Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
West Virginia 5 ec[edit]
- McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Wisconsin 10 ec[edit]
- Obama in the end. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Wyoming 3 ec[edit]
- McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
US House break down[edit]
- 242 dem, 192 rep. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
US Senate break down[edit]
- 55 dem, 44 rep, 1 Lieberman. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)
Path to victory[edit]
- McCain is spread thin, if Virgina, North Carolina, Ohio or Minnesota break for Obama he wins. If Florida, Indiana, or Missouri break of Obama it is going to be a landslide. McCain has to have a perfect night, Obama only needs one break. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)