Debate:How will the 2008 US election break down?

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In the spirit of massive multi-sectioned debates that have been in the vogue around here lately I present a chance to strut our predictive power for the 2008 US election.

Nation wide popular vote[edit]

  • Obama-52 percent, McCain 47 percent, Other 1 percent tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Total electoral college break down[edit]

  • 263 Obama, 217 McCain, 58 toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Alabama 9 ec[edit]

  • McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Alaska 3 ec[edit]

  • With Palin, this is now McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Arizona 10 ec[edit]

  • McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Arkansas 6 ec[edit]

  • The south is the south, McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

California 55 ec[edit]

  • Obama solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Colorado 9 ec[edit]

  • This is really close but I say Obama pulls it off. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Connecticut 7 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Delaware 3 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

D.C. 3 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Florida 27 ec[edit]

  • Another close one, I want to give this to Obama, and he just might do it, but I am going to say McCain pulls it off. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Georgia 15 ec[edit]

  • McCain, weak, but he will get it. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Hawaii 4 ec[edit]

  • Obama solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Idaho 4 ec[edit]

  • McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Illinois 21 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Indiana 11 ec[edit]

  • McCain, but will have to waste resources to solidify it. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Iowa 7 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Kansas 6 ec[edit]

  • McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Kentucky 8 ec[edit]

  • McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Louisiana 9 ec[edit]

  • McCain solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Maine 4 ec[edit]

  • This one can split its votes by congressional district, McCain is going after one of them but I don't think he will get it. Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Maryland 10 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Massachusetts 12 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid, duh. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Michigan 17 ec[edit]

  • McCain has now pulled out, a once battleground state this is solid for Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Minnesota 10 ec[edit]

  • This one keeps me up at night, this is too early to call either way. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Mississippi 6 ec[edit]

  • McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Missouri 11 ec[edit]

  • McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Montana 3 ec[edit]

  • McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Nebraska 5 ec[edit]

  • McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Nevada 5 ec[edit]

  • Battleground, but I see it going to McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

New Hampshire 4 ec[edit]

  • This is Obama's now. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

New Jersey 15 ec[edit]

  • Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

New Mexico 5 ec[edit]

  • Yay for my home state! Obama 2008. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

New York 31 ec[edit]

  • Like California, this can not be lost for Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

North Carolina 15 ec[edit]

  • Too close to call, this is a toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

North Dakota 3 ec[edit]

  • McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Ohio 20 ec[edit]

  • It is all about Ohio...again...toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Oklahoma 7 ec[edit]

  • McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Oregon 7 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Pennsylvania 21 ec[edit]

  • This will tip Obama in the end. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Rhode Island 4 ec[edit]

  • Obama, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

South Carolina 8 ec[edit]

  • McCain, easy. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

South Dakota 3 ec[edit]

  • McCain again. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Tennessee 11 ec[edit]

  • McCain, solid. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Texas 34 ec[edit]

  • Some day this will tip blue, but McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Utah 5 ec[edit]

  • This will never tip blue. McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Vermont 3 ec[edit]

  • Obama easy. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Virginia 13 ec[edit]

  • Too close to call, this is a toss up. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Washington 11 ec[edit]

  • Obama. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

West Virginia 5 ec[edit]

  • McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Wisconsin 10 ec[edit]

  • Obama in the end. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Wyoming 3 ec[edit]

  • McCain. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

US House break down[edit]

  • 242 dem, 192 rep. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

US Senate break down[edit]

  • 55 dem, 44 rep, 1 Lieberman. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)

Path to victory[edit]

  • McCain is spread thin, if Virgina, North Carolina, Ohio or Minnesota break for Obama he wins. If Florida, Indiana, or Missouri break of Obama it is going to be a landslide. McCain has to have a perfect night, Obama only needs one break. tmtoulouse 14:50, 3 October 2008 (EDT)