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- 20:11, 18 June 2025 diff hist +4 m Draft:Bayesian statistics Caught a minor grammar error. current
- 06:19, 18 June 2025 diff hist +222 Draft:Bayesian statistics Really didn't like the second example, it just sort of halted with a moral that felt disconnected from the prior portions. Rewrote it to reveal the key takeaways more gradually and naturally.
- 02:19, 18 June 2025 diff hist +202 User talk:Hjhornbeck →Sysop current
- 15:22, 6 May 2025 diff hist +267 Draft:Bayesian statistics Had to tweak some of the grammar in that last example, it was bothering me.
- 15:01, 6 May 2025 diff hist +776 Draft:Bayesian statistics Fixed a number of formatting issues in the Examples section, minor edits to some paragraphs therein.
- 07:03, 6 May 2025 diff hist +10,498 Draft:Bayesian statistics Mostly finished the second example. Used the "standard medical example" to make a point about over-indexing on the "one true test" and to take priors seriously.
- 15:47, 7 March 2025 diff hist +2,338 Draft:Bayesian statistics Felt the precognition example ended too abruptly, plus saw some value in cherry-picking an ideal pro-precognition hypothesis. Started writing the next example, which should be much shorter!
- 05:43, 7 March 2025 diff hist +345 N File:Bem 2011 cherrypicking.svg current
- 08:44, 1 March 2025 diff hist +2 m Draft:Bayesian statistics Swapped a word, as it was bugging me.
- 08:40, 1 March 2025 diff hist +5,179 Draft:Bayesian statistics Finished off the precognition example.
- 05:28, 27 February 2025 diff hist +3,569 Draft:Bayesian statistics Almost done with the precognition example. The main points are all in place, though I suspect RationalWiki readers will want to see the analysis from more than one experiment.
- 04:48, 27 February 2025 diff hist +509 N File:Bayesian Beta conjugate priors vs. frequentist p-values, Ex2 from Bem (2011).svg current
- 07:35, 26 February 2025 diff hist +1,797 Draft:Bayesian statistics More progress on the precognition example, plus some clarifying edits to the Prior section.
- 16:56, 25 February 2025 diff hist +1,641 Draft:Bayesian statistics Advanced the precognition example, fixing an earlier error as well. Debating how to show how the math is derived, without making an already-long page even longer.
- 07:20, 24 February 2025 diff hist +2,865 Draft:Bayesian statistics Started work on the precognition example.
- 06:07, 21 February 2025 diff hist +2,563 Draft:Bayesian statistics After much debate, added a paragraph on conjugate priors. Not sure it's required, but I plan on using them for at least one example. Also filled in the section on marginalization, and made sure not to accidentally use the wrong capitalization in a heading.
- 05:50, 19 February 2025 diff hist +5,871 Draft:Bayesian statistics Think I have a solid write-up for the section on priors.
- 05:09, 18 February 2025 diff hist +9 m Draft:Bayesian statistics Forgot to insert a critical word ("observed evidence" vs. "evidence") when first mentioning priors.
- 04:43, 18 February 2025 diff hist +220 Draft talk:Bayesian statistics
- 04:40, 18 February 2025 diff hist +6,268 Draft:Bayesian statistics Continued to poke away at this draft. Added a second summary paragraph, and completed the sections on hypotheses and hypothesis testing.
- 18:40, 17 February 2025 diff hist +200 User talk:Hjhornbeck
- 18:33, 17 February 2025 diff hist 0 Talk:Bayesian Changed header name to be more in line with RationalWiki standards current
- 08:04, 17 February 2025 diff hist +5,458 Draft:Bayesian statistics Minor tweaks to the intro paragraph, finished the quantized belief section, spun out "Relativism" from "Hypotheses."
- 00:31, 17 February 2025 diff hist +556 Talk:Bayesian
- 00:22, 17 February 2025 diff hist +2,887 N Draft:Bayesian statistics Created page with "{{draft}} Formerly known as '''Inverse probability,'''<ref name="fienberg_2006" /> '''Bayesian statistics''' is one of two main frameworks of statistics used within science...."
- 17:25, 10 September 2021 diff hist +2,378 Harriet Hall Added some new citations, corrected some old botched ones, and added evidence Hall engaged in plagiarism.
- 05:37, 9 July 2021 diff hist +722 Harriet Hall Added references to the reviews by external experts that Novella/Gorski pledged to solicit.
- 15:44, 3 July 2021 diff hist -2 Harriet Hall Forgot to add a comment: Changed a line to emphasize this isn't the first time Hall has promoted misinformation about transgender people.
- 15:42, 3 July 2021 diff hist +117 Harriet Hall
- 06:39, 2 July 2021 diff hist -8 m Harriet Hall Minor grammar edit.
- 06:32, 2 July 2021 diff hist 0 m Harriet Hall Minor update to citation formatting.
- 06:29, 2 July 2021 diff hist +2,977 Harriet Hall Added references to the follow-up by Novella and Gorski, plus further evidence unearthed in a blog post I published.
- 16:25, 19 June 2021 diff hist +5 m Harriet Hall Mentioning the year of Hall's book review seems like a good idea. :P
- 15:32, 19 June 2021 diff hist 0 m Harriet Hall Whoops, "Science-Based Medicine" has a hyphen in it.
- 15:28, 19 June 2021 diff hist -3 m Harriet Hall Removed some extra periods I'd added. Also, forgot to mention this last edit: updated the discussion of Hall's 2018 articles with another source, and added the recent controversy over her book review.
- 15:24, 19 June 2021 diff hist +375 Talk:Harriet Hall
- 15:18, 19 June 2021 diff hist +1,659 Harriet Hall