RationalWiki talk:What is going on in the blogosphere?

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Wisconsin[edit]

“We just enforce the law,” Sgt. Brandon Gray, a spokesperson for the Eau Claire post of the Wisconsin State Patrol, said in an interview. “If they don’t have a valid license, then obviously they receive a citation.”

This pisses me off so much. It's just so cowardly. If your duty is to enforce the law, and not protect the public, then you're taking moral responsibility for those laws, good and bad. People wonder why ACAB is such a common sentiment. This, right here? That's why. Carthage (talk) 18:29, 8 August 2023 (UTC)

Fake news and Gaza[edit]

Major media outlets spreading fake news at a time when a nuclear power is talking of committing genocide and is engaging in collective punishment of two million people is morally unforgivable. It's atrocious. Carthage (talk) 22:58, 11 October 2023 (UTC)

@Carthage This Daily Dot page verifies the claims at least to some extent, although they do say that they were unverified for a time. Would be nice of you to change the entry accordingly. Thanks IluzalsipalStone them! 11:19, 13 October 2023 (UTC)
I didn't add it. But ok. Carthage (talk) 12:16, 13 October 2023 (UTC)
Whoops, sorry. But thank you nevertheless. IluzalsipalStone them! 12:21, 13 October 2023 (UTC)
👍 Carthage (talk) 12:24, 13 October 2023 (UTC)

please note the publication date if the article is old[edit]

this especially matters for the ADL article. in light of recent events in israel-palestine, we don't want to give any extremist readers from either side any funny ideas. old news can sometimes be just as harmful as outright fake news. context matters. The G (talk) 12:53, 2 November 2023 (UTC)

972 mag article[edit]

If no one is brought before a tribunal after this war ends.... I will not be surprised. Utterly unsurprised. If your nation is close allies with the world hegemon who has hand on the veto button of the UNSC, your government will never meaningfully be held to account. That's not how geopolitics works. Carthage (talk) 00:52, 9 December 2023 (UTC)

Liberalism and "freedom"[edit]

Does capitalism establish freedom? It doesn't help that "freedom" is a concept that contains multitudes and contradictions. Liberals claim that capitalism enables choice on what clothing to wear, what food to eat, or where to live. It is certainly true that those with means are "free" by this definition, but what about those at the bottom? Those with much less wealth, so therefore with much less of a market share? By the definition of "freedom" offered here, those at the bottom of this hierarchy are limited in their freedoms by their relative lack of wealth (ie "less free") than those at the top. Abortion bans are a good example of this. Abortion bans are no big deal for those with the means to travel somewhere else, but those who can't, the poor, are stuck with limited access or degraded access to quality reproductive healthcare. Their choices have been limited. their reproductive freedom has been reduced. They are less free than those at the top.

What about property? For context, there is a difference between personal and private property. Personal property is something that can realistically be owned by one person and not be needed by the community to live or function. Private property is something that cannot be realistically used by oneself and is needed by the community to function. Under capitalism, vital community resources can be owned by one person, who can do with those resources as they see fit, no matter how much that might damage the community or keep the community poor and subservient to the property owner. This creates a power imbalance.

Liberal ideologues posit that the core values of liberalism are liberty, equality, and property. With the definition of property offered above, property would seem to contradict the other two values offered (if someone owns a well that is needed by the community to survive, the person who owns and controls that well has more power than everyone else given that they quite literally control the water supply.) According to liberal ideologues, in order for there to be "freedom" there must be private property. IOW, in order for there to be freedom there must be freedom to exploit others.

They say that the combination of property, equality, and freedom produces the "most freedom" overall, and that capitalism is the most efficient vehical foe this. This line of reasoning is questionable. It's true that workers can "choose" who to sell their labor to, but if they don't sell their labor period they will suffer. They don't have economic security the same way property owners do. That doesn't seem like much of a choice to me, that seems like coercion.

To use an analogy: imagine that a thug comes up to someone and offers them the "choice" of which implement will be used to harm them. Technically there is freedom of choice here, but only with the options presented by the thug. The person can't choose not to be harmed. Likewise, workers can't choose to opt out of the system. They must operate by the standards offered by the capitalists. To give an example of people opting out of the system and being negatively punished for it: an 81 year old man in New Hampshire who spent 27 years peacefully living off the grid was evicted by the property owner and sent to jail for resisting eviction. This man wasn't harming anybody, and was living peacefully, and indeed was actually using the land unlike the absentee landlord, but because his name wasn't on a slip of paper he got hauled off to jail. Where else is he gonna live? On the streets? Is this "ethical"?

People who try to opt out will get penalized. Everything's now owned by someone. You can't go live somewhere else off the grid because some rich fuck already owns that land. Your options are to work, rent, or get sent to jail if you try to opt out. This doesn't seem like "freedom" to me if you don't have the "freedom" to opt out. It is coercive. Carthage (talk) 11:15, 10 January 2024 (UTC)

The article (here's a non-paywall link: [1]) focuses on democracies, political rights, and freedom of speech. I don't think there is any question defending any of this is.
Capitalism has sort of a "worst system, except for all the others" thing going for it, in practice. My "cynical" viewpoint is that the system (when working properly) successfully harnesses the type-A assholes of the world and gets them to compete with each other instead of exploiting power. The problem is (and it's a truth of all the other economic systems, too) there is a tendency for, without safety nets and other features (eg anti-monopoly laws, unions and other worker protections), capitalism to become "just like the rest" where a few very powerful people control and exploit the general population. Such in itself is a threat to democratic norms (I'm not sure if the FTs of the world notice, that article definitely committed a "balance fallacy" with their progressive politics snide), and this is what I see the danger is with, say, how America is currently evolving: into a behind-the-scenes plutocracy where the democratic will is subverted by a few way too powerful billionaires. We've been there before, and IMHO we're there again, but I don't even think the Gilded Age was as bad regarding politicians openly embracing authoritarianism.
Other systems in practice (famously, communism) have evolved into authoritarian systems with the same plutocratic backbone but with no vote to change things one iota. I think it's fine to worry about the erosion of democratic norms; at least if such still exists, miscreants can be thrown out and systems tweaked. An America run solely by the plutocrats will probably end up looking little different than a Russia ruled by the crony mob. BobJohnson (talk) 13:25, 10 January 2024 (UTC)
If we are just temperature checking the room. Liberalism provides a lot of freedoms compared to feudalism but it is far from an ideally free society. I would agree with the marxist-lenninist diagnosis of liberal society as a dictatorship of the bourgeioise. On the micro scale, you can form a party, vote and campaign on various issues but on the macro scale you generally will be crushed the moment your interests as an individual push up against the interest of the wealthy. This can both be a passive by-product of the inequality produced by capitalism (which is a core feature of liberalism) or the result of violent interventions. In history there are plenty of vaguely idealistic individuals who sought to change things, who were voted into power and then deposed violently by, for lack of a better word, liberals. The idea that liberal capitalism is "the least bad" "because you can vote to change it kind of ignores how power works in liberal capitalism - you can vote to change it but your vote is easily nullified - and also ignores the fact that liberal societies are not above censuring, imprisoning and killing those who seek to bring an end to their society.
And I don't make the observation bitterly. It is perfectly natural for a soceity or group that believes their political order to be one of maximal happiness and freedom to fight tooth and nail to preserve that order whenever it is threatened. There is a moral question about how far a security service or political authority should be allowed to go to preserve its own existence but that's a seperate question I think.
These kinds of conversations do make me think back to my relatives who lived through the dissolution of the GDR and USSR. Especially in the latter case they technically won a lot of theoretic freedoms but lost a lot of the more tangible freedoms in terms of the services and opportunities for participation made available to them. I remember sitting with my uncles and aunts (I don't get to see that side of my family more than once every few years) as a wide eyed libertarian socialist asking them about what life was like in the USSR and GDR. I was expecting stories of horror but the consensus seemed to be a lot more ambivalent with the general sentiment that while they had a bunch of personal freedoms on paper, their ability to participate and be heard was greatly diminished.
I think one of my main problems with the de jure understanding of "democracy as liberal democracy" is that it prioritises a very specific idea of democracy. And I think it's no surprise that we in the west prioritise the kind of democracy where the financing of campaigns is a private matter, workplace democracy is completely ignored and elections are mediated through a news-sphere that is privately owned - i.e. a form of a democracy that is very easy to "manage". So yeah, liberalism is undeniably better than the medieval barbarism we had before but I really don't think it's the perfect formulation of freedom in theory OR in practice. Tikitime2 (talk) 21:30, 16 January 2024 (UTC)
Good post! but a minor tidbit: Is that Marxist-Leninist or just a general Marxist analysis; about liberal society being a dictatorship of the bourgeoisie? The Marxists I have talked to in general hold that sentiment, regardless of their specific ideological affiliation (leftcoms, Trots, Maoists et cetera). Carthage (talk) 21:36, 16 January 2024 (UTC)
Yeah I think that is fair. That concept isn't limited to Lenninists. Heck even anarchists use it. Tikitime2 (talk) 21:29, 17 January 2024 (UTC)

Supply and affordable housing[edit]

According to this Philadelphia Inquirer article the problem is not the supply of housing. In fact, according to data from the US Census, in many parts of the country there's no shortage of rental units, it's that people don't make enough to afford the market-rate rents. I certainly don't. So even if you build more market rate housing, there's no guarantee that people will make enough to afford those rents, especially in a country burdened with weak social infrastructure (you have to pay more out of pocket for food, water, housing, utilities, childcare, healthcare, education et cetera). That's something your Financial Times article doesn't take into account.

I'm gonna quote from the article now:

Renters with the most severe affordability problems have extremely low incomes.

Nationally, about 45% of all renter households spend more than 30% of their pretax income on rent — the widely recognized threshold of affordability. About half of these renters, 9.7 million in total, spend more than 50% of their income on housing, greatly impairing their ability to meet other basic needs and putting them at risk of becoming homeless.

Nearly two-thirds of renters paying at least half of their income on housing earn less than $20,000, which is below the poverty line for a family of three. Renters with somewhat higher incomes also struggle with housing affordability, but the problem is most pervasive and most severe among very-low income households.

For a household earning $20,000, $500 per month is the highest affordable rent, assuming the affordability standard of spending no more than 30% of income on housing. In contrast, the median rent in the U.S. in 2019 was $1,097, a level that’s affordable to households earning no less than $43,880.

And homes that rent for $500 or less are exceedingly scarce. Fewer than 10% of all occupied and vacant housing units rent for that price, and 31% are occupied by households earning more than $20,000, pushing low-income renters into housing they cannot afford.

This is also a problem for everyone according to the Inquirer, not just those on the lower end of the distributional spectrum:

The problem of housing affordability doesn’t affect only a few high-cost cities. It’s pervasive throughout the nation, in the priciest housing markets with the lowest vacancy rates like New York and San Francisco, and the least expensive markets with high vacancy rates, such as Cleveland and Memphis.

For example, in Cleveland, with a median rent of $725, 27% of all renters spend more than half of their income on rent. In San Francisco, with a median rent of $1,959, 18% of renters spend at least half their income on rent. And it’s even worse for the poorest residents. In both cities, more than half of all extremely low-income renters spend at least 50% of their income on rent.

In fact, there is not a single state, metropolitan area, or county in which a full-time minimum-wage worker can afford the “fair market rent” for a two-bedroom home, as designated by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Section 8, on the other hand, has made a meaningful difference in the lives of those unable to afford rent otherwise. To quote from the Inquirer article:

The $26 billion program currently serves about 2.5 million households, or only 1 in 4 of all eligible households. The version of the Democrats’ social spending bill passed by the House of Representatives included about $25 billion to expand the program.

While this would be the single largest increase in the program’s nearly 50-year history, it would still leave millions of low-income renters unable to afford a home. And that’s not a problem more supply can solve.

This would suggest the problem is with income, not supply. Or at the very least, the two aren't mutually exclusive. Carthage (talk) 14:43, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

Please, review supply curve and demand curve. If there are more houses available, the prices will fall. The article explains this. Usurprisingly, this is already happening.[2] GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 14:50, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
Please explain how that will make housing affordable for those on the lower ends of the distributional spectrum, ie those unable to afford rent regardless of market rate? Subsidized housing has made a meaningful impact on the lives of those unable to afford rent otherwise. But given how you arbitrarily dismiss every one of the points offered here, by a professor of urban policy and a professor of urban planning no less , I'm not gonna expect you to acknowledge or address this either. It's not what you do. You lecture, not discuss. Do you expect Professors McClure and Schwartz to not be aware of those theoretical principles you just spammed, or do they not consider them relevant, as they are talking about an income problem, not supply. Income is a problem even in areas with high vacancies (ie, high supply). But you ignored that too. Carthage (talk) 14:56, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
(EC) Regarding your question, sure, build more houses, as this will make rent more affordable. And yes, Subsidized housing is important to achieving this. I don't see your point. There are many studying showing how more hoses make prices drop.[3][4]. This one,[5] for instance, discovered that constructing a new market-rate building that houses 100 people ultimately leads 45 to 70 people to move out of below-median income neighborhoods, and this one[6] found out that a boom in construction of multi-unit housing in Auckland — predominantly at market rates — resulted in flattening off of rents in the city in real terms. We have enough evidence (like seriouly, every microeconimics book ever) that when the supply rises, the prices drop. Does that mean that building housing is a silver bulletpolicy is perfect? No. But I don't see how this is not the biggest answer. I'll ignore your ad hominems and appeal to authority. GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 15:08, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
Regarding the high vacancy, where are the houses with high vacancy? What is the status of these houses? The answer to these two questions might surprise you. GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 15:09, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── You don't understand what makes a usage of the appeal to authority fallacious. To quote our article:

A non-fallacious argument from authority grounds a claim in the beliefs of one or more authoritative source(s), whose opinions are likely to be true on the relevant issue. Notably, insofar as the authorities in question are, indeed, experts[note 1] on the issue in question, their opinion provides strong inductive support for the conclusion: It makes the conclusion likely to be true, not necessarily true. As such, an argument from authority can only strongly suggest what is true — not prove it.

I cite two experts on urban studies. Do you seriously believe they don't know what they're talking about? Even then, I only cite their status in response to your arbitrary dismissal, as you usually do. It's not the crux of my argument, that you also have to consider income in addition to supply. It's also rich for you to lecture me about my supposed fallacious usage of the appeal to authority when one of your staples is your usage of credentialism to undermine sources or bolster your own, but it's well known that you have inconsistent standards.

Anyway, for those in Auckland, they also possess a stronger social infrastructure than we do, which is what you ignore. We have weak social infrastructure. That's going to affect affordability.

In Cleveland, a city with a market rate of $725, 27% of renters pay more than half their income on rent. That's with a relatively low market and high vacancy rate. Why do you dismiss income as a relevant factor in housing affordability? According to two experts on urban policy, the problem isn't supply: it's income. We already have the supply, we don't have the income. Carthage (talk) 15:23, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

No, it's pretty much otherwise. If these "authorities" disagree with the vast majority of the literature available, then it is fallacious. I believe that they disagree with the evidence and with what most, if not all studies say: that the housing crisis is a supply crisis, and that by building more, the prices will drop. When did I dismiss income as a relevant factor in housing affordability? What I said is, when you have more houses, the prices drop. As the prices drop, people can afford more (and better) housing. Americans are much richer than Europeans. And yet, Europeans don't have, on average, the same issues that Americans on housing. Why? Because they build more homes. What does social infrastructure have to do with the problem? Do you think that the people writing the study I linked ignore this variable? Anyway, rich from you to ignore the other studies. I'll also ignore your whataboutism. Regarding Cleveland, they are facing a housing shortage.[7] GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 15:32, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
You don't understand what whataboutism is. If the double standard being raised is directly relevant, it's not a case of whataboutism. Pointing out your own double standard is therefore not whataboutism.
"What I said is, when you have more houses, the prices drop. As the prices drop, people can afford more (and better) housing." So... how will that better housing be manifested? This assumes that landlords won't cut corners. As for Americans being "richer" than Europeans... Europeans have stronger social infrastructure. I'd rather be a European with a relatively lower income who has available healthcare and education rather than an American with a nominally higher income but has to shovel more money out for rent (remember that 27% of Cleveland renters pay more than half their income on rent), healthcare, childcare, food, water, and utilities. Your broad generalization also ignores systemic differences in how that wealth manifests.
"If these "authorities" disagree with the vast majority of the literature available, then it is fallacious." That's not how a fallacy works. Popularity does not determine truth value, nor does it affect the structure of an argument. Please point to me the problems with the data that McClure and Schwartz presented. Hell, I doubt you actually read the link because they acknowledge the importance of increasing supply:

As experts on housing policy, we agree that increasing the supply of homes is necessary in areas with rapidly rising housing costs. But this won’t, by itself, make a significant dent in the country’s affordability problems — especially for those with the most severe needs.

It's quite rich how you manifestly proclaim something to be fallacious when you didn't even read the damn link. Consensus is not equivalent to settled science, especially in a field like economics, which is not like physics no matter how much you crow it is. Does physics have as much of a replication problem as economics? Are physicists beset by the same problems as economists?
Hell, they're not even disputing that there is a supply problem. They're simply exploring material realities which you ignore. You refuse to explain the "problems" with the data they present.
Anyway, what they disagree with is how much of an effect that will have on those with the most severe needs. Your social denialism does not change the fact that not everyone can afford market rates even in areas with relatively low rates and high vacancies. Subsidized housing is necessary for those on the lower ends of the distributional spectrum. Carthage (talk) 15:45, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
(EC) Yes, it is whataboutism because other discussions are irrelevant here. And yes, authority is only relevant when the source is credible. If people believe the authority is wrong, then their credentials are irrelevant. Anyway, since those "experts" tend to disagree with whole literature on the subject, appealing to their authority is a terrible argument. "So... how will that better housing be manifested?" Because, as more homes become available, people can affort to move to better neighborhood. This isn't that complex. " This assumes that landlords won't cut corners." What does that even mean? If supply's higher, landlords also lose their market power. They'll become price takers, not price makers. You don't understand how wealth works too. Americans are still 40% richer than Europeans even when you adjust the cost of living.[8] So your point is irrelevant. "Subsidized housing is necessary for those on the lower ends of the distributional spectrum." I've already asked you, and I'll ask you again., when did I say that subsidies aren't important? Of course they are, they are one of the ways to increase supply. You started a thread claiming that "the problem is not the supply of housing." Now you're saying that your sources only disagree with is how much of an effect that will have on those with the most severe needs. Can you see by yourself how your argument changed? The policy you're suggesting is one that is used to increase supply. So I'm inclined to say that even your sources argue that it is a supply issue and you didn't read them (as you always don't).GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 15:58, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── My argument has always been that income is also a relevant factor (and I did read the article, so piss off with that nonsense. I've been citing multiple paragraphs from it. I'm the one that pointed out that you didn't read the article, because if you had you would've known that the contention of the authors is one of income, not supply.) Your cited Financial Times article doesn't mention subsidization either, so going with what you cited, I could be forgiven for thinking you ignore relevant social qualifiers. After all, the article you cited does, only mentioning "affordable" housing, and not subsidized:

One argument is that only by building affordable housing can you increase affordability. Market-rate dwellings will simply go to people on higher incomes, leaving lower earners high and dry. But recent studies from the US, Sweden and Finland all demonstrate that although most people who move directly into new unsubsidised housing may come from the top half of earners, the chain of moves triggered by their purchase frees up housing in the same cities for people on lower incomes.

This article has a pretty explicit premise, that building more market rate housing will increase affordability even for those on the lower ends of the distributional spectrum. As we can see already, this ignores income and other relevant social qualifiers (like the racial wealth gap, unemployment or underemployment et cetera). You only bring up subsidized housing in response to criticisms I raised.

To quote from the Inquirer article again:

Renters with the most severe affordability problems have extremely low incomes.

Nationally, about 45% of all renter households spend more than 30% of their pretax income on rent — the widely recognized threshold of affordability. About half of these renters, 9.7 million in total, spend more than 50% of their income on housing, greatly impairing their ability to meet other basic needs and putting them at risk of becoming homeless.

Nearly two-thirds of renters paying at least half of their income on housing earn less than $20,000, which is below the poverty line for a family of three. Renters with somewhat higher incomes also struggle with housing affordability, but the problem is most pervasive and most severe among very-low income households.

For a household earning $20,000, $500 per month is the highest affordable rent, assuming the affordability standard of spending no more than 30% of income on housing. In contrast, the median rent in the U.S. in 2019 was $1,097, a level that’s affordable to households earning no less than $43,880.

This is a problem not just for the most vulnerable, of course, but it's a problem especially for the most vulnerable. Feel free to cheerfully ignore the data, again, but even in areas with relatively high vacancies and low market rates the rent rates are still unaffordable as per the metrics used here. What's not hard to understand about that? Multiple areas in the US, as per the Census Bureau, have high vacancy rates. That could easily mean that we have the supply, at least for parts of the US. The problem is affordability. There are also potential solutions to this problem that you refuse to consider, like using eminent domain to expropriate property for the common welfare.

"And yes, authority is only relevant when the source is credible. If people believe the authority is wrong, then their credentials are irrelevant." That's not how this works. You have to show how the authority is wrong. You haven't shown how the data they present on income, affordability, vacancy rates and whatnot are wrong. You've cited studies that are not in contradiction with the link I posted, which you yourself acknowledge argues for increasing supply. Also you haven't even read the article lol. You can't raise a problem with the data presented, so you attempt to undermine the source instead. Carthage (talk) 16:50, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

At this point you're deliberately lying, so I see little point of keeping this conversation. "My argument has always been that income is also a relevant factor". And again, when did I deny it is? From my second post in this thread: "Subsidized housing is important to achieving this. (resolving the housing crisis)". That being said, you started the thread by arguing that "the problem is not the supply of housing". So, yes, you completely said that supply is not the issue. Unlike me, as I've never denied that subsidized housing is also important (and is one thing that helps us building more homes). You changed what you were saying and you know it. Regarding the FT article, to quote Wikipedia, "subsidized housing is often called "affordable housing", so yes, they've mentioned it too. Even if they didn't mention it, that would be irrelevant because 1: their article is about building more housing, not about subsidized housing (that would require another one, and newspaper writers can only write a certain amount of words) and 2: again, subsidized housing is part of the supply response to the housing crisis. Regarding the vacancy rates, I've asked you before in this discussion and in another one. You still haven't answered: where are these houses? Supposing they are in the areas where people are (hint, most of they are not), what is their status? Are they ruins or actual places where people can live? Since you hardly answer my questions, I expect you to ignore this as well. I've already brought you many studies showing that everywhere, where you build more homes, the prices drop. And yet you started a thread claiming that "the problem is not the supply of housing". Can you at least admit that you were wrong on this one? That yes, it is a supply issue? Regarding your solitary source, it argues that we should subsidize housing more. This is compatible (and one of the ways) to tackle the housing shortage (that yes, you denied when you said it's not a supply issue). If the authors are denying that as well, then their view is as fringe as the sources denying climate change. GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 17:10, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
Oh, and before I forget, according to the census that you mentioned, housing vacancy rates are near historic lows. GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 17:21, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
What do you not understand about how the cited article ignores relevant social factors?
"I've already brought you many studies showing that everywhere, where you build more homes, the prices drop." It doesn't matter if the prices drop if people still have to choose between rent or food. It's really not that hard to understand.
"Regarding your solitary source, it argues that we should subsidize housing more. This is compatible (and one of the ways) to tackle the housing shortage (that yes, you denied when you said it's not a supply issue). If the authors are denying that as well, then their view is as fringe as the sources denying climate change." So you still haven't read the article, I see. The article argues to increase subsidies, which you also agree with. Your cited article still dismisses subsidized housing. What's not dismissive about this quote:

One argument is that only by building affordable housing can you increase affordability. Market-rate dwellings will simply go to people on higher incomes, leaving lower earners high and dry. But recent studies from the US, Sweden and Finland all demonstrate that although most people who move directly into new unsubsidised housing may come from the top half of earners, the chain of moves triggered by their purchase frees up housing in the same cities for people on lower incomes.

"That being said, you started the thread by arguing that "the problem is not the supply of housing". So, yes, you completely said that supply is not the issue." You can blame poor wording on my part. You can easily see from this sentence here: "So even if you build more market rate housing, there's no guarantee that people will make enough to afford those rents, especially in a country burdened with weak social infrastructure (you have to pay more out of pocket for food, water, housing, utilities, childcare, healthcare, education et cetera). That's something your Financial Times article doesn't take into account" that I was arguing to include relevant social qualifiers, which your article ignores. I have made myself quite clear: it doesn't matter if prices drop if you have to choose between healthcare or housing. You bring up how Europeans have lower incomes than Americans generally? This a) ignores the systemic inequities in the distribution of wealth (the homeless person with a dollar to their name can't afford housing at even the lowest market rates, as one example of this) and b) Europeans don't have to shovel out significant portions of their income on healthcare, childcare, education, and whatnot. It's paid for by the state. That leaves them with room to pay rent and still have money to spare for everything else. Carthage (talk) 17:40, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
The point is, Americans are still 40% richer than Europeans even when you consider the cost of living. if we use the median income (so, robust to outliers) the difference is 50%. So yeah, the vast majority of Americans have more money to spend on everything, from food to housing, than Europeans. Europeans have the same trade-off, except that they have less money to spend on those issues. And please, don't talk about welfare state, because having higher taxes mean that they have even less money at their disposal. My point was simple: when you build more housing the prices fall. You started a thread denying this and now you're making excuses. And I loved how you are still ignoring my questions on the condition and location of the vacancy, as well as the fact that ever since the 1950s vacancies haven't been so low. GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 17:51, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
"Americans have more money than Europeans to spend on housing" and yet 27% of people in Cleveland spend more than half their income on rent. Also don't talk about the welfare state and pretend that alternative taxation schemes exist that remove the brunt of the tax burden from the common people. Progressive taxation, land value tax, et cetera are all schemes that can be used to reduce the burden of taxation on the common people. Hell, speaking about America specifically, the military and the police get absurdly oversized budgets. You take some of those funds and transfer them to social infrastructure and see what happens.
America is a country with 400 million people, even if we overgeneralize that's a lot of people who are gonna be outliers. Going by minimum wage, according to the Inquirer article:

In fact, there is not a single state, metropolitan area, or county in which a full-time minimum-wage worker can afford the “fair market rent” for a two-bedroom home, as designated by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

But of course this is yet another datapoint you have ignored because it inconveniences your narrative. How many full-time minimum wage workers in the States are there, Gee?
Also, to repost this because you keep ignoring this:

Nationally, about 45% of all renter households spend more than 30% of their pretax income on rent — the widely recognized threshold of affordability. About half of these renters, 9.7 million in total, spend more than 50% of their income on housing, greatly impairing their ability to meet other basic needs and putting them at risk of becoming homeless.

These renters still exist, no matter what your arbitrary metrics and irrelevant comparisons to Europe (which you use as a cudgel against any economically progressive talking point) does not change the fact that 9.7 million renters spend more than half of their income on housing. Carthage (talk) 18:33, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
Europe is relevant because people that make much less than Americans aren't facing this problem, or at least not the same level as America. What are they doing? I argued that they are building more houses. So income cannot be the major issue here if the richest people in the world can't afford something but others can. What is the cause of the American housing crisis? I said that there is a shortage of houses. You denied that, claming that "in many parts of the country there's no shortage of rental units". I'm asking again (though I've asked so many times that I don't expect you to answer). 1 Where are the houses? Are these houses decent homes or just ruins? 3 How come there is no shortage if, according to your own source, America's has currently the lowest housing vacancy rates in history? GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 19:28, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
What's so hard to understand about in a local context. You're the one who said not to bring up the welfare state. Why not? You love to generalize an entire continent with varying domestic policies, and compare that to a gargantuan and incredibly diverse country with a similar size to the EU. There's obviously going to be variation. Which European countries have progressive taxation regimes? Which have regressive taxation regimes? How does that affect the welfare state, and the size of people's income as determined by class, gender, ethnic or national origin, and whatnot? 9.7 million renters, of the poorest renters in America, spend more than 50% of their income on rent. The obvious solution is to build more subsidized housing. Your cited article dismisses that. (As an aside, you can also, you know, expropriate vacant housing using the power of eminent domain, or shift to models that don't create an exploitative landlord-tenant relationship, but to you housing is a commodity and not a human right. The ethics of a situation where a resource needed by the community to survive (in this case, housing) being owned by a single individual (which also creates a power imbalance) is irrelevant to you. You don't care. That power imbalance and exploitative relationship is an acceptable trade-off to you.) Carthage (talk) 19:44, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── There is not a single argument in the last post. I've already said, by building more houses, landlords lose market power. Why do you hate the poor so much, Carthage? Why don't you want them to have decent homes? 9.7 million renters, of the poorest renters in America, spend more than 50% of their income on rent, and you're denying that they face a house shortage (despite your own source claiming that) and believe that they should either move to rundown homes and neighborhoods, and/or to places that are often hundreds of miles away. Why? GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 20:00, 30 January 2024 (UTC)

"You're denying that they face a house shortage." Whereas what I actually said: " 9.7 million renters, of the poorest renters in America, spend more than 50% of their income on rent. The obvious solution is to build more subsidized housing." So, no, I haven't denied shit. What am I arguing for is an increase in the welfare state so that they don't have to so oppressively burdened by precarity. Your insinuation that I "hate the poor" because you can't address substance is bad faith as fuck. W are done here. Carthage (talk) 20:08, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
Funny because you said that "in many parts of the country there's no shortage of rental units" in your first post (by using a source that claims that America has never seen such a huge shortage of vacancies). You don't want policies that work, you just want to be right and deny the entire literature and evidence on the subject, just like you did in the inflation discussion. And before I forget, why didn't you answer my questions even though I've answered every single one of your posts and asked you to answer mine dozens of times? GeeJayKWhere all evil dwells Where every lie is true 20:14, 30 January 2024 (UTC)
Okay, kids. I've been following this and this is my judgement - you're both right. How the hell is this even possible? The old micro/macro economics issue, that's why.
Gee is talking in macroeconomics terms, as similar to the FT is. Yes, it is correct that if you increase ratio of supply/demand for housing, prices shall ultimately fall [assuming everything else is the same, nach]. That's supply and demand, which is perhaps as hard a law as you can find in economics. But the important bit here is 'ultimately'. Think decades; in some cases, it would take several of them to sort out the overheated housing in places like London or New York. But to paraphrase; in the long run we are all dead and you cannot feed a starving man with predictions of future harvests.
Carthage is talking from the opposite end; that of the micro. Yes, while 'building more McMansions and luxury apartments' might make total price/income ratios fall eventually, that doesn't help things now. If I'm a body with thousands of people needing housing with a max budget of £1200 p/m, I'm not gonna be happy if I find out almost all the local new housing stock is gonna be luxury homes at £3000 a month. It's a zero-sum immediate game; those folks taking the homes will not be the ones I want to help and chances are, very few would be vacating existing local properties which would be suitable for my waiting-list. What's more, if I am a political body with a long waiting-list for affordable/social homes and only a very limited amount of 'building' going on within my zone, hell yeah I am gonna prioritise those poor folks, if only for political reasons [the vast majority of Anglo metros are long-term stronghold of left-of-centre politics]. Even the 'building new houses raises prices' makes sense in this context; if you're living in a housing estate where the average rent is £1500 a month and a new devleopment constains many at £3000 a month, yes people will think the 'development raised local prices' because the median price has risen.
Now, I cannot talk about the American situation but the critical issue we have in England is that the folks who have the responsibility to 'sort out' their local patches housing-wise don't have any macro levers to actually do so, while the folks in Westminster who do have these levers don't have much incentive to do so because it will cost a lot of cash and political capital for a programme which they'll be politically dead [most likely] by the time the fruits are eaten. That is assuming they are not ideologically hidebound by a poisonous combination of 'public spending bad', 'the market will provide' and 'don't piss off the NIMBYs'. This raises the question of whether 'the market' could even sort out say, London's housing shortage without concreting over every bit of green space from Colchester to Oxford. Even worse, 'letting the market provide' [as the FT normally shall suggest; I know their MO] shall invaribly end up simply shoving up tons of poorly built new houses in which shall be the overcrowded future slums in twenty/thirty years time.
One aspect of the FT article I don't buy at all is the 'gentrification does not push out the poor' claim. Gentrification might not hurt property-owners, but sure as hell whips low-income renters in the area. And even secure social tenants are not immune; their landlord may ultimately get their head turned by the 'redevelopment' prospects, particulary if the units in question are old/shabby enough [which is common these days in the UK]. In fact, in my skim-read of the study, I would say they don't claim that gentrification does not push out the poor', merely that normally, they are not 'pushed out' into worse areas than their pre-gentrified area was. But then again [as they note] gentrification is normally a slow-burner and [as they don't note] it is often done in a manner which the poorer inhabitants are slowly 'weeded out' not by evictions and purchase and tear-downs but simply not being replaced when they organically die, downsize, end-of contracts etc. KarmaPolice (talk) 21:30, 30 January 2024 (UTC)