The problem with low probabilities
... is in persuading people that 'such things do happen' (and the cumulative probability of 'one or several of many low probability events' may be quite high - eg meeting someone you know/have talked to recently in an unexpected place at least once in your lifetime).
- The article you're looking for might be "Improbable things happen". Reverend Black Percy (talk) 15:13, 23 December 2016 (UTC)
- One element perhaps - and eg 'knowing people with birthdays on several successive days' (one knows logically that 'of one's X hundred friends and acquaintances' there are likely to be some patterns, but it still seems odd when it occurs). It may well be a quirk of human nature - some 'low odds' are accepted (on occasion all the various bits of public transport will align and you end up an hour early, rather than the expected catch some, miss some and be the right number of minutes early)/luck of the draw; and those which #seem# too low to be plausible and pareidolia starts interfering.