Information icon.svg Nominations and campaigning for the RationalWiki 2020 Moderator Election are completed. Voting is live now, until 20:00 UTC, 1 December!

Talk:Hindsight bias

From RationalWiki
Jump to: navigation, search

A mess indeed. The definition given here contradicts the one on the cognitive bias page & really doesn't make sene. The "example" confuses things further. Surely hindsight bias means applying assumptions to past events based on our knowledge of later events (e.g. "the Second World War was inevitable" or "I knew that girl was gonna be trouble"). ΨΣΔξΣΓΩΙÐWeaselly.jpgMethinks it is a Weasel 12:32, 14 November 2009 (UTC)

By all means find out what it is an clean it up, I was going to zap it until a search turned up actual discussion of it. I thought it was just another post hoc fallacy from the description in the article. - π 12:37, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
Wikipedia's article on it is a stub. I think it can be summed up in a sentence or so, so I'm going to redirect this back to the cognitive bias page. ΨΣΔξΣΓΩΙÐWeaselly.jpgMethinks it is a Weasel 12:43, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
http://psychology.about.com/b/2009/07/25/hindsight-bias-psychology-definition-of-the-week.htm - at least sight it what ever you do. - π 12:44, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
http://psychology.about.com/od/hindex/g/hindsight-bias.htm - more fun. - π 12:45, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
http://www.apa.org/releases/hindsight.html - sciency. If I keep finding good stuff like this I might resurrect the article. - π 12:54, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
Go for it. It would probably be an OK article. I just objected to the completely fallacious and confusing definition that was here before. ΨΣΔξΣΓΩΙÐWeaselly.jpgMethinks it is a Weasel 13:30, 14 November 2009 (UTC)
I'll add it to my list after all doubleplusungood maths purge is finished. - π 13:34, 14 November 2009 (UTC)

Black Swans[edit]

Should there be a cross linking?

Where is the hindsight bias of the event that happened 30 years ago this Saturday? Anna Livia (talk) 18:56, 4 November 2019 (UTC)