Talk:Gambler's fallacy

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Monty Hall problem[edit]

Is there a connection with the Monty Hall problemWikipedia? It seems like a sort of inverse gamler's fallacy: a situation where your odds do actually improve but your gut feeling is that it's still an even game. WëäŝëïöïďWeaselly.jpgMethinks it is a Weasel 20:23, 10 February 2015 (UTC)

That's really a stretch. The Monty Hall problem purposefully exploits the fact that people don't realize they've been given information. Whereas the gambler's fallacy is far more about a conflation of the long term probabilities with the short term, a class of misunderstanding. Ikanreed (talk) 20:35, 10 February 2015 (UTC)


Some content from,, FᴜᴢᴢʏCᴀᴛPᴏᴛᴀᴛᴏ, Esϙᴜɪʀᴇ (talk/stalk) 01:39, 1 October 2015 (UTC)


Is it a fallacy if, after '(a significant number) of a kind in a row' to ask for (at least one of) the coins, dice etc, and 'the person doing the activity' to be changed? Anna Livia (talk) 15:15, 14 December 2018 (UTC)