User talk:Gracelandtm

Welcome

What is going on? World Blogs Clogs Elections The Bar (talk) (talk) (talk) (talk) (hic) Welcome to RationalWiki, Gracelandtm! Check out our guide for newcomers and our community standards! Tell us how you found RationalWiki here! If you are interested in contributing: Read what our articles are intended to be Check out the to-do list See our help page and Wikipedia's formatting cheatsheet If writing a new article, consider writing up a draft And most importantly: Pull up a goat and have some fun!

FuzzyCatPotato!™ (talk/stalk) 19:40, 25 July 2015 (UTC)

Meow! You've been whacked with a cat. Take this seriously. Somebody won't let this trout-based warfare settle down without a manufactured escalation of arms.

catb0t^{(Totally Not A Bot!)} 22:53, 26 July 2015 (UTC)

Loss of information

He's flatly wrong. Some links:

• Claim CB102 at Talk Origins
• Richard_Lenski#Lenski.27s_long-term_E._Coli_evolution_experiment_and_intelligent_design ([1])
• Nylon-eating bacteria and Peppered moth evolution
• Question 1: How Does Evolution Add Information?
• Types of mutations, some of which add info [2][3][4][5]

FuzzyCatPotato of the African Driptrays (talk/stalk) 19:55, 25 July 2015 (UTC)

So, first, welcome to the wiki. I'm Iggles. FuzzyCatPotato beat me to the welcome template and the Lenski bits, so I'm just gonna jump in on the numbers! Bear in mind, I am almost as bad with statistics as I am with biology, but I read this one somewhere.

1. Get a six sided die.
2. Roll that die. You rolled a 1. Your odds of getting a 1 are 5 to 1. My odds of predicting the 1 are the same. Simple.
3. Roll again. You rolled a 2. Your odds of getting a 2 are 5 to 1. Still simple, right? But my odds of having predicted the 2 are 35 to 1, since I got the first prediction.
4. Keep rolling. 18 more times. I get every prediction right. The odds of you getting the numbers you get are 5 to 1 individually, but my odds of being right get smaller, and smaller, and smaller, until at roll 20, my odds of being right are 3656158440062975 to 1.

Now, if this doesn't seem to track, since we're talking about a hypothetical, and anything is possible in a hypothetical, consider the notion that whether I was right or wrong on my predictions, the die was rolled 20 times, and a specific sequence came from it. That specific sequence has the same probability of occurring as me being right on all 20 predictions. If we roll a further 20 times, and keep the sequence going, the odds of you coming out with the sequence that results is 13,367,494,538,843,734,067,838,845,976,575 to 1 (for fun: thirteen nontillion three hundred-sixty-seven octillion four hundred-ninety-four septillion five hundred-thirty-eight sextillion eight hundred-forty-three quintillion seven hundred-thirty-four quadrillion sixty-seven trillion eight hundred-thirty-eight billion eight hundred-forty-three million nine hundred-seventy-six thousand five hundred-seventy-five to one). Astronomic odds, if they were ever found. And yet, they just happened. In the course of ten minutes or less, you will have done something that has a distinct possibility of having never happened before in human history. Just because the odds of it happening are exceptionally slim doesn't mean they're zero. Have fun editing! Iggles (talk) 20:06, 25 July 2015 (UTC)

Forum:Hello

Could you give this Forum thread a more meaningful name, please?--Arisboch ☞✍☜☞✉☜ 01:00, 9 August 2015 (UTC)

I dont know how to edit my thread title...^{— Unsigned, by: Gracelandtm / talk / contribs}

Use the "relocate"-function link at the top of the page.--Arisboch ☞✍☜☞✉☜ 13:43, 9 August 2015 (UTC)