2016 U.S. presidential election
|Hail to the Chief?|
|Persons of interest|
“”We're now living in a world where Billy Bush is worth $10 million to someone. How is that possible? I could replace Billy Bush with a fern and get the exact same ratings... And yet, consider the outcome for the two men involved in that pussy-grabbing video: Bush got $10 million, and Trump got elected president.
The 2016 U.S. presidential election took place on November 8, 2016, finally putting to rest fears that President Obama is a commie-Muslim King doing everything possible to further rob the GOP base of their few remaining freedoms and usher in Sharia law before Hillary replaces it with Halakha. Her opponent was Donald J. Trump, unwitting hero to the thousands of Americans that enjoy writing “WHY DOES EVERYTHING HAVE TO BE ABOUT RACE?!” in the comments section of every Yahoo article.
This election was the first one in recorded history where both major candidates had higher unfavorable ratings than favorable ratings. Dems came to regret that she was the only option, and some Republicans are probably kicking themselves for decades of anti-Clinton rhetoric.
This election is like the 2000 election in two ways. The first is that once again, the Electoral College ruined everything and swore in a wingnut instead of the democratically elected candidate. Second is, if either party had nominated anyone else, they would've had it in the bag.
- 1 Key issues
- 2 Background noise
- 3 Democratic Party
- 4 Republican Party
- 5 Libertarian Party
- 6 Green Party
- 7 Minor third party candidates
- 8 Repudiation
- 9 See also
- 10 Videos
- 11 External links
- 12 Notes
- 13 References
“”Trump's making it clear: The election will be referendum on whether Muslim Americans are a fifth column.
“”Trump's true innovation was showing how few voters actually crave the small government/let the market decide rhetoric, including GOP base.
The biggest difference between the two is the most important, which is that Trump has no connections or loyalties to the Carlyle group or PNAC. Polls continue to show that Americans are narrowly in favor of free trade generally, but Republicans are not, reflecting the influence of the anti-trade nominee. And trade agreements remain unpopular in battleground states such Ohio, where it is blamed for years of manufacturing job losses.
The way things are going, Dems will be free trade international capitalists in opposition to nationalistic central planners. The times we live in.
Mass deportations and scaling back outsourcing is almost guaranteed to increase wages for the bottom two-thirds of the workforce. It will likely come at the expense of stock prices (since most companies outsource and then use the proceeds to do stock buybacks) and inflation (which was the big legacy from Reagan). These are problems that don't hit the mid/lower classes whose livelihoods are determined by their wages as opposed to dividends (401ks).
Supporting mass deportation is going to lose you ~20% of the Hispanic vote right off the bat. The GOP knows this. Their first choice in the primary was Jeb Bush, who is a moderate on the issue. After he crashed and burned they moved on to Rubio, who is pretty damn reactionary on everything except for immigration. Rubio was the establishment's way of telling the base they can have anything they want, as long as they compromise on this one point. But Republicans just can't resist labeling each other "soft" on immigration. Cruz wanted a wall, increased border control with sci-fi technology, all kinds of crazy stuff.
Traditionally, the GOP has avoided addressing those who employ illegal immigrants and gone after the employees. Usually it's just LIEberals who argue going after the employers. (Which why Bush-Rubio's idea for mandatory E-Verify was laughed out of the debates.)
Whoever decided that Obamacare should get rate hikes on Nov. 1 should never work in government again. One week before the general election, everybody got a big bill showing their health care costs increasing. Repeal remains popular, so if the Republicans were to repeal it, they'd likely benefit electorally.
Issues that affected the general election, but played no substantial part in the primaries or debates.
- SCOTUS: Voters may not like his rhetoric, or him, but they made this Faustian bargain for other reasons. Trump holds the Senate and the house. He'll have four years, and likely will get two or three Supreme Court seats to fill; with the Senate in hand, he can go as far right as he likes. That will be very far right, since he'll be trying to solidify his base in order to win a second term.
- Don't you think she looks tired?: The tops of the major tickets are the oldest they have ever been in history. Both major candidates were forced to cough up their medical records.
- Donald's a heart attack waiting to happen, subsists entirely on fast food, brags about only getting 3-4 hours of sleep (ah, fascists and their love of lack of sleep), and has family history of dementia—but at least he isn't being hoisted like a scarecrow into a waiting van.[note 1]
- Syria: There's a complex argument to be had over the reality that supporting these groups always leads to bad things down the line vs. the other reality that these guys are pretty good at killing the people we want them to. But we're light-years away from that discussion as the current discourse stands.[note 2]
- PC Culture: Social conservatism doesn't fly as far as it did in the '90s, and the materialist streak that drove conservatism in the '80s is becoming increasingly radicalized towards welfare chauvinism, to reflect the growing progressive chorus on the left. This is actually pretty smart, because it appeals to young people who might hate certain aspects of liberalism, but can't relate to the old culture war stuff.
- Guns: 87% of people support the idea that suspected terrorists shouldn't be allowed to purchase assault weapons. Furthermore, 90% of Republicans support this. The problem is that plenty of law-abiding people were placed on the terror watchlist erroneously. That's the problem with secret lists, secret courts, and zero meaningful oversight.
- Another likelihood is that Democrats would rather use this issue as a hammer to bonk Republicans over the head with come November. This election will be about turnout, so both parties need their bases to be riled up.
- Worth noting: The GOP is likely to retain their raw numerical advantage in the House, but their cushion will be hit. The Senate is statistically likely to flip, and that cushion is the only thing preventing gun laws from being passed.
- Net Neutrality: Ike attacked the military. Nixon opened China. Reagan fucked the elderly. Bush turned Texas brown. Trump, the first meme President: Net neutrality must go!
- Citizens United: In exchange for Bernie's endorsement, Hillary pledged to introduce an amendment to overturn Citizens United in her first 30 days as President. First of all, the lion's share of her big-money donations came from corporations; approximately 27% of it is dark money coming through SuperPACs. This is not the profile of a person who is going to turn off the spigot.
- Second, despite the common view of SCOTUS as a tool of the executive branch, rehearing a case that's less than a decade old is not something the Court likes to do. Furthermore, an amendment takes a 2/3 vote, which is an untenably high bar for at least the next two elections (and probably the next four). You think the GOP is going to make it essentially illegal to run attack ads on Hillary Clinton again? Without their cooperation, any campaign finance reform is dead on arrival.[note 3]
“”Let me warn you, and let me warn the nation, against the smooth evasion that says: “Of course we believe these things. We believe in social security. We believe in work for the unemployed. We believe in saving homes. Cross our hearts and hope to die! We believe in all these things. But we do not like the way that the present administration is doing them. Just turn them over to us. We will do all of them, we will do more of them, we will do them better and, most important of all, the doing of them will not cost anybody anything!"
|—Franklin D. Roosevelt, address at the Democratic State Convention, 1936|
Sanders and Trump showed that if you convince people you're out to take on the system, you can get a lot further than your actual political acumen would otherwise take you. Trump never had a coherent plan, but Bernie - and Hillary, for that matter - was almost never going to get what he wanted done either given the Republican Congress. In terms of policy, Trump and Sanders were on the opposite ends, but in terms of campaigning and tactics, Bernie and Trump were very similar. They both made impractical promises and offered laughable solutions to turn those into reality. They both sold themselves as anti-"insider". Both claimed to be a victim of the media while benefiting tremendously from it. They both presented themselves as the only man who can clean up DC and serve the American people. They both presented their opponents as stooges/sell-outs. They both had vociferous and loyal supporters who questioned everything their opponents did while giving a huge pass to their favorite candidate. Most Democrats aren't blue-collar workers, but they still continue to treat Bernie as the epitome of honesty, even though he tried to flip super-delegates after losing primaries.
This isn't to leave Hillary off the hook either. Given the Republican Congress, she too would have been blocked by the right wing, and that would have led to absolute gridlock since the GOP outright refused to let her work at all (see McCain vowing to let the entire Supreme Court die out just so he wouldn't have to appoint her SCOTUS pick).
A largely-untested GE campaigner, Clinton coasted on her name. Her '08 campaign was shockingly open to the public after her own staff kept leaking their own emails; she was so bad at running it that they wanted to make it clear the dysfunction wasn't from them. 
Former New York Senator and Secretary of State
|Advantages: The celebrity gap cannot be overemphasized. The DNC will have Bryan Cranston. (The Churchillian leadership and thundering oratory of Chachi will surely unite Republicans.)
Wins with seniors, southerners, minorities, women... Hillary basically wins wherever there are people. The most business-friendly candidate running: if your job depends on stability, you don't want a president who is cavalier with the national debt. Also has a bit of a baked-in advantage: Republicans are conceding the election in advance.
"Heartless Hillary"? He's now 0/2. Clinton's lucky in that her first name has 3 syllables. Makes it hard for any nickname to roll off the tongue. Politics in 2016, amirite?
|Disadvantages: Hillary's got the Jimmy Carter problem: She's not good at sound bites. No one's going to read through her website and parse her policy positions.
You can see some similarities between Hillary and your abuela. Of course, pretty sure your abuela couldn't win a national election, because she has a lot of unlikeable things about her. It's a miracle if she fills up a high school gym.
Hey, Mrs. Clinton, I'm here to fix 7 holes in your wall. A half-competent campaign would have left Sanders in the dust with O'Malley. And where are the mythical Clinton surrogates? Answer: They sat it out to fundraise. But now it looks like they overreached in some states (like GA) when their own core constituent states needed focus, which killed another third Clinton term.
Junior Senator from Virginia
|Advantages: One of 20 people in US history to serve as Mayor, Governor, and Senator. Served on Committee of Armed Services, Committee on the Budget, and Committee on Foreign Relations.
Kaine and his wife belong to a majority-black Catholic congregation, and he was elected Mayor by a majority-black City Council. On the other hand, this doesn't bring anything new to Clinton. Kaine also took a break from law school to do missionary work in Honduras, and is fluent in Spanish as a result. He has, in fact, delivered the first-ever senate speech all in Spanish, which will help in crucial states such as Florida.
His response to the Virginia Tech shooting in 2007 while governor.
Enjoys 100% rating by Planned Parenthood, Brady Campaign (gun control), National Education Association, Human Rights Campaign and NARAL; a over 90% rating by League of Conservation Voters, Progressive Punch and AFL/CIO; and an even more impressive 0% rating by American Conservative Union and Family Research Council.
Served as chairman of the Democratic National Committee from 2009 to 2011, meaning this guy knows how to raise money.
|Disadvantages: He was supposed to counter the chaos emanating from Trump, but Mike "Freaking Unflappable" Pence had him beat.
His support for the TPP put him at serious odds with the base. Clinton passed over some more enticing choices, such as Villaraigosa (the first Latino on a major ticket) and Warren (the first two woman major ticket), Sanders (the first democratic socialist), or hell, even Booker.
Bernie let the tinhattery fester for too long. He started off very positive and treated Hillary with kid gloves, but after one of his staffers got caught snooping in the Clinton database, the DNC blocked access to voter data from his campaign, and the tone completely changed. (Fuck me? No, fuck you.) A lot of his supporters honestly believed that the DNC stole the election from Sanders.
Talk of "voter fraud", even as just dog whistles, tends to be infectious in the minds of those new to politics, because it furthers youth disenchantment and helps drive down their turnout numbers.
The Republican nominee is known popularly for kicking Gary Busey off his game show.
|Advantages: "Self-funding" his campaign and can say what he wants, in defiance of Rove's Law; this made him stand out on a stage full of empty suits.
The Trump campaign is operating at a lemonade stand level, but that doesn't matter, because he's still testing Clinton (who had 51 field offices to his 1) where it counts. His "campaign" is pretty much entirely cable news.
Trump is an anomaly because he says stuff that's all over the map. People seem to latch onto what they like and ignore the rest. The past 5 elections went to the more charismatic candidate; Hillary can't compete with Trump there. The more people listen to Trump, the more he'll convert.
|Disadvantages: Jabba didn't get so rich and control so many systems by being a generous overlord. Also continuing to show he has no idea what he's talking about.. ("Let's shut down their part of the Internet... infiltrate the Internet...") He really can't handle the idea of someone else dominating the news, for any reason; if he can't shut down his Mexican Tourette's then he's in trouble.
He's popular with one Black, so he's got that going for him. Further isolating Republicans across the board (while reaching out to Sanders supporters weirdly) is just an awful strategy all around if he wants to win in Nov. First major presidential candidate to have been called a fascist in the international press. Endorsed by President Putin(?).
New Yorkers already dislike Trump but the pizza incident unforgivable.
Mike "Like It in the Crapper? You Get the Zapper" Pence
Governor of Indiana
|Advantages: As soon as Trump picked Pence, it was all over for Hillary in Iowa.
Pence is a damn maniac as well, but at least it's an ethos. Helps shore up the evangelical vote and establishment Repubs. Might be the most right-wing pick (who else?) Agnew. Pence is also boring and invisible which is exactly how Trump prefers it.
|Disadvantages: Gives the creeps to anyone who was considering Trump as a protest vote. It doesn't help that Trump has declared in interviews that he intends to give the "boring" day-to-day presidential work to Pence. Swell.
Just call him Typhoid Mike. The crisis originated from an anti-gay law which he foolishly passed, and which ended up costing the state tons of business, forcing him to repeal it. Thus far, Trump has not targeted the LGBT community. Wouldn't want them to feel left out, would we?
The Fire Rises
|“||TV turns [Trump] on and only TV can turn him off... He has no need for the RNC. He already owns primetime.||”|
Conventional campaigning was just wasted money this cycle, as "vanity" candidates like Trump and Carson began way ahead of the candidates spending millions on field operations. He absolutely crushed Rand Paul and Jeb Bush, both of whom had robust field campaigns.[note 4] CNN's job is to make money, and Trump brings eyeballs. More to the point, their core base is dying off, so Republicans need to run more TV/movie stars. Worked with Reagan, Schwarzenegger, and now a reality show star (face it, he was better at that than real estate). It's not irrelevant that Clint Eastwood, of all people, was given a prime-time speaking slot at the last convention.
The GOP pretending to hate Trump is flim-flam. Nearer the Convention, Hillary Clinton will tell a reporter she prefers bacon chips over salted. This will be the biggest scandal since Hillary caused both 9/11s while Bush was busy keeping us safe. The GOP spin doctors will take over Trump's campaign, and he will be sold on Angry Gentleman AM™ as the best thing that ever happened to America since the war of independence or
white sliced bread. We'll take your calls after these ads for motorized wheelchairs, herbal boner pills, gold scams and help for tax cheats. Even if Clinton could have broken 50% of the popular vote (which looked unlikely anyway), they'd have said the election results were simply a referendum on Trump and not actually reflecting the desires of the American people.
Adding to that, you can see by the step change in the graph here that the leadership had plenty of time to coalesce and stop Trump, but kept their heads firmly in their asses. 17 nominees, fucking really?
Gary is the first Libertarian candidate to poll over 10%, so that's a breath of fresh air to a drowning man. Most of his "supporters" were waiting for an excuse to jump ship like the rats they are.
Former Governor of New Mexico
|Advantages: If the Kochs are throwing money at him, he'll get his 5 minutes on Jimmy Fallon.
Clinton stupidly pulled out of Colorado, thinking she wasn't going to bleed voters to Trump, but what has happened is that her absence led to a bleeding of voters to Johnson. Colorado is a libertarian-friendly state and, of course, is a state with legal marijuana. Not that it mattered, as she ended up winning Colorado anyway.
|Disadvantages: Gary's run before, and failed to inspire the kind of enthusiasm it takes to matter. At best he'll be a spoiler who throws votes to Donald. The next serious third-party contender will have to borrow the mold from Ross Perot, as in "be a billionaire."
Johnson was picked for marketability; don't mistake the nomination for having the support of his party.
A net win for Hillary as she holds onto the Latino and women vote. Libertarians ought to be in a sweet spot with the "socially liberal, fiscal conservative" crowd, but they just can't get on board with his crazy ideas. Here we have a politician who wants to end the war on drugs, but also launched the private prison industry...
Former Governor of Massachusetts
|Advantages: Picking Weld as his running mate was a stroke of genius: The LP now has a more qualified ticket than the GOP. In fact, he's second-most qualified in a race against HRC. Just let the full magnitude of that statement sink in.[note 5]
Legal counsel during the Watergate inquiry, an odd coincidence. Weld gained national recognition in fighting public corruption: he won 109 convictions out of 111 cases.
|Disadvantages: Failed to unseat John Kerry of all people. Weld supports gay and abortion rights... and also co-chaired Romney's campaign in New York. Weld endorsed his pal Romney again for president in 2012. Connections trump principles!
When was ridiculed for his lily-white heritage and wealth and all that (his ancestors came over on the Mayflower), he responded, "Actually, they weren't on the Mayflower. They sent the servants over first to get the cottage ready."
By the end, Weld was openly campaigning for Hillary Clinton out of fear that Trump could be elected.
I just got a nomination, but I got high
Johnson doesn't believe in gun background checks, but he's open to discussion about it, which opponents took to mean he's soft on guns. (Liberals want to melt down every gun in America!) And they just 'never mind' that contractor who shot up an army base because he thought his microwave was sending demonic messages to his brain.
A small-but-significant minority turned out to vote "Not Trump" while staying true to the party down-ballot. A number of them said they'd vote Johnson or maybe Clinton (or, if you're in Utah, Evan McMullin), but in the privacy of the voting booth, they caved. In every single state, the number of people who voted for Gary Johnson was significantly less than his projected share of the vote. In fact, if 1% of the voters had chosen Johnson instead of Trump (like they kept telling pollsters), Clinton would be president.
Remember, we're dealing with Libertarians. You don't want to go down that rabbit hole:
|Advantages: Doctor Jill Stein has been an advocate for single-payer for a long time.
A nationwide switch to green energy and green jobs is her #1 issue. Stein suggests that she'd rather shut down nonrenewable power plants over time as they're replaced with wind/solar/geothermal. If her party continues to mellow out, we may see them attract more swing voters.
|Disadvantages: Jill is that mom on Facebook you unfollow because she has a monopoly on "being the right kind of mom": Dense as a rock and has no clue what she is talking about 90% of the time..
She's not generating a lot of media buzz, which isn't good when there are so many low-information voters. She can't even win in her home town.
The base is aggressively anti-nuclear, anti-GMO, and anti-vax, and while the party has since toned down those planks (e.g. anti-vax spam is now banned on their Facebook page), Jill remains wishy-washy on those topics. Apart from the GMOs, that is: her goal is to ban all GMO food unequivocally. The Green party still endorses "other healing approaches".
|Advantages: Longtime human rights activist.
Looks exactly like Captain Ben Sisko.
|Disadvantages:Baraka, like Farrakhan, is a black supremacist. He talks like no black person or Muslim has ever done anything wrong in history (except for working with whites and non-Muslims, rather than instigating a race war).
Globalresearch-type moonbat. He denounced the Charlie Hebdo rallies as a "white power march" (?) thinks the Charlie Hebdo shooting and Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 were false flag operations, and accused Bernie Sanders of promoting white supremacy (!) and being an "establishment prop". Nice choice, Doc, this will definitely will get the disaffected Berniebros on board.
$hill $tein is owned by the Big Crystal lobby
To save some people the trip to Google: Yes, Darryl Cherney was the Green Party candidate running against Jill Stein. You Jillbots never give up, do you? Last we checked, the party doesn't vote until August! #SeeYouInHouston
Oh, and it's worth mentioning that in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, if everyone who voted for Jill Stein voted for Clinton, she'd have won those states and thus the presidency. We hope you learned life's most important lesson: Never give your money to a hippie. Unless it's for drugs.
Minor third party candidates
The following candidates may be standing in one or more state. They ranged from long-established minor parties to joke candidates.
- Bob Whitaker for the American Freedom Party, whom even Wikipedia describes as a "white supremacist"
- Tom Hoefling for the Constitution Party and its off-shoot America's Party
- James Hedges for the Prohibition Party
- Gloria La Riva, a community activist and organiser for the American Indian Movement, for the Party for Socialism and Liberation in Colorado and the Peace and Freedom Party in California
- Mimi Soltysik for the Socialist Party USA
- Alyson Kennedy, for the Socialist Workers Party
- Monica Moorehead, a former teacher and one-time supporter of the Black Panther Party from Alabama, for the Workers World Party
- Chris Keniston, for the Veterans Party of America
- Evan McMullin, anti-Trump conservative Republican running as an independent candidate in Utah
- Rod Silva, a restauranteur standing for the Nutrition Party, at least in Colorado
- Rocky De La Fuente, for Reform Party and his own American Delta Party; he had previously campaigned for the Democrat nomination in 2016
- Dan R. Vacek, a pro-marijuana activist for Legal Marijuana Now, standing in Iowa and Minnesota
David French, attorney and blogger for National Review. Ah, just what this country needs: someone who reviews Game of Thrones episodes, while complaining about its SJW fanbase, every week as president. French, who is a registered Independent, put out a statement saying that he deeply considered running, but decided not to.
“”There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen.
|—Apocryphal quote by Lenin|
Have to hand it to Trump. Somehow he sensed a path to victory. We know he didn't use data or anything, because he doesn't trust statistics. Apparently Trump just held mass rallies at the places where he thought the most people would show up. Zero data or voter mobilization. Everyone was mocking him for campaigning in Clinton's northern firewall. Using pure animalistic instinct, he discovered whites in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania were willing to switch parties, and he dragged the Republicans kicking and screaming over the finish line.
Actually, the polling wasn't too far off. The issue is the razor-thin margins by which Trump took (what were thought to be) Democratic-leaning counties. The polling led a lot of liberals to believe they didn't even need to vote, and led Trump supporters to believe they needed to vote en masse to prove a point. Clinton mistook damage control for party disloyalty, and it cost the Democrats big in down-ballot races:
- Unfortunately, national hatred toward Clinton was just too strong, driving voters to Stein and—just to show you how ideologically barren these people really were—Johnson. Democratic turnout was depressed across the board.
- Clinton's improvement with college kids was undermined by low black turnout and a Reaganesque collapse among the
black-lunglabor union households (exit polls).
- The big shock was Pennsylvania going for Trump,[note 6] despite the terrible things he said about the state. In hindsight, it wasn't too difficult for Trump to win in PA: it was redder in 2012 than Michigan or Wisconsin, and Trump did better during the primaries in PA than in the other two (where he fared poorly). Trump's efforts to convince non-voters to vote this year explains why polling was so spectacularly wrong.
- Oddly, Clinton made the right move by campaigning in the Sun Belt: North Carolina and Florida are trending blue, and Arizona is a possibility. Unfortunately, that move was perhaps too soon, as securing the Rust Belt was more prudent.
Pokémon Go (to the polls)
“”Mexican government policies are pushing migration north. There isn't any sensible approach except what we need to do simultaneously, you know — secure our borders, technology, personnel, physical barriers if necessary, in some places.
“”I have an especially purulent contempt for those Democrats who went cravenly along with the bellicose frenzy back in ’03, as opposed to the more formal “Morning, Sam/ Morning, Ralph” enmity I feel toward Republicans, who are, by their own cheerful admission, out-and-out villains. My feeling toward Republicans is like my feeling about sharks... It may be true that sexism was a factor in this campaign—I myself voiced my suspicion months ago that America still hated women more than it hated black men—but, in the end, Hillary Clinton lost because she deserved to.
|—Tim Kreider in 2008|
Hillary outsourced the campaign to her inner circle of yes-men and ivy league undergrad interns. If you read the post-mortem and Podesta's emails, it's like they're trying to assemble this simulacrum half-blind, whereby whatever they decide will be what the simulac candidate (most qualified of all time) not only has always been, but is also ipso facto evidence of her being the most qualified of all time. Bill was chomping at the bit to campaign in Michigan and Wisconsin, but he was sidelined during the campaign.
She didn't make it easy for herself either, with the whole shyness from the press, "Like with a cloth?", her tepid support of the Flint situation, "basement dwellers" (a leaked email where she empathizes with jobless youth was re-characterized as an insult), and her lawyer husband having an "impromptu" meeting with the attorney general when she was being investigated, prompting Lorretta Lynch to recuse herself. James Comey is such a partisan hack that he did pretty much everything you should not do as head of the FBI and then made it obvious by handling the Trump investigation differently. Nate Silver did the analysis and came back saying that the Comey Letter (which Giuliani boasted about knowing was coming for weeks until people pointed out that it was illegal for him and the FBI to be sitting on) was enough to push Trump over the top at precisely the right time. Clinton collapsed from a 4% lead to 2% in the week following their little stunt.
Three-fifths of a vote
Surveys showed Hillary polling lower among Cubans than in other states with a high Latino population. Still, North Carolina should have almost been in the bag for Clinton, and Arizona was still in play. In all three states, people of color make up a much larger share of the population than they do in other states. Because whites are basically the only demographic who felt energized by Trump, pollsters significantly overestimated her chances.
Lots of minorities were effectively banned from the polls. In 2013, the Roberts Court struck down a crucial part of the Voting Rights Act which mandated the DOJ to review changes in states with a history of voter discrimination (i.e. the entire South), to make sure they doesn't disproportionately effect people of color (and poor whites). This freed up Republicans to prevent as many Democrats from voting as possible. Several hundred polling places were closed in these states, disproportionately in areas with non-white residents, and many had to wait hours in line in order to cast a vote--if they bothered to show up at all. Voter ID laws, which disproportionately effect people who lack the time to register for them (e.g. poor people), also played a role.
Not to be outdone, Governor Rick Scott (R-FL) announced they wouldn't reschedule the deadline for voter registration, even after a hurricane swept the state just days prior. A federal judge overruled him.
These states also have "tough on crime" measures that result in minorities losing their right to vote. If rural white backlash cost the Democrats the north, Jim Crow policies cost them the south.
- Bradley effect — Giving the near-universal contempt for Trump amongst minorities, and the linking of his campaign with racist attitudes, you may expect the Bradley Effect to come into play this cycle.
- 2016 Republican Party presidential nomination — In the meantime, maybe you should check out the other circus elephants; it'll be fun, we promise.
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential nomination — Or perhaps you're more into
- 2016 Republican National Convention — A convention like no other.
- 2016 primaries and caucuses — For reference.
- Brexit — To conservatives, this was their golden opportunity to remind the world that voters still have power.
- Captain America: Uncivil War
- Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton. Epic Rap Battles of History - "Are you fucking kidding me!?"
- Donald Trump is Waldo - We should really be using Kojima and Brooker to predict the future at this point.
- B-but Emails...
- MSM's worst nightmare
- Political commentator Rof L. Wellman confirms Cherney will win the contested Green party convention. - #FeelTheChern
- Bernie supporter wins her New York state Senate Democratic primary. Proceeds to promise she'll join group that supports GOP - Viva la revolucion
- Here's one reason to peek out from the Despair Bunker: Hillary's pneumonia is playing out sympathetically with the public. It seems that this election, negatives are positives and positives are negatives. Conducting yourself with decorum makes you "establishment," and getting caught in career-ending situations is the big, bad media trying to get you. War is peace!
- Let's see if we can untangle this: When WaPo reported that Trump seemed to insinuate that Obama is working with terrorists, they lost their press credentials. The next day, Trump congratulated himself for being "right" about Obama working with terrorists. (Top-tier journalism as always at Breitbart.) He literally cannot go 24 hours without contradicting himself. (It's 24 hours on a good day. If Trump was in a coma, he'd wake up once a day, say "I'm fine", then fall back into the coma.)
- One might argue that state CFR could be used to challenge the ruling, but Montana already tried that, only to get slapped down with a 9-0 for being insubordinate. Statewide CFR would be ineffective, seeing how you could just move your PAC somewhere else.
- Jeb! is already sorely missed. We enjoyed Trump roughing him up on national TV, but it got unduly nasty sometimes. He generally seemed to profess sincere beliefs and kept it to politics, rather than all this dick-waving, white victim crap. Now that the more politically focused among the party are disillusioned and silent, we are truly left with only the most odious and pathetic caricatures. So settle in and prepare to have your minds awakened (again and again) to the sad plight of the white man, burdened and repressed all at once by the Great Strahweh, peace be upon him.
- There hasn't been a Presidential ticket with two governors since 1948. Combined, they have more executive experience than any other ticket in the last 68 years.
- Specifically, one lowly-rated poll showed him winning PA. Almost every poll in the state also showed Katie McGinty (D) beating the incumbent, Pat Toomey (R), in the Senate race, shortly before she got her ass kicked.
- Magary, "The Least Influential People of 2016", GQ 12.21.16.
- Christie tells Obama, "We are gonna kick your rear end out of the White House!" WaPo 1.15.16. (Preeetttty sure he was leaving anyways, bro.)
- Diamond, Jeremy, "Trump tweet evoking anti-Semitic imagery first posted on fringe message board", CNN (7/3/16 at 6:36 PM ET).
- 11:40 AM - 13 Jun 2016 Tweet.
- 31 Oct 2016 Tweet, 2:12 PM.
- Torry, Jack, "Free Trade is Key Issue in Race for U.S. Senate in Ohio", Columbus Dispatch (3/20/16 at 7:16 PM).
- Jobson, Barney, "FT survey shows US business balks at backing Trump", Financial Times (5/18/16 at 9:15 am). You thought investors in new jobs were rare before? Wait until they have no way to anticipate the future because there's no way of knowing what idiotic changes to the market will happen with a "nimble" administration at the helm.)
- Easley, Jonathan, "Trump: Bush’s wife influences his immigration positions", WaPo (07/08/15 11:23 PM EDT). The true measure of a man is the underwear model he keeps!
- Sean Sullivan and Katie Zezima, "It’s on: Rubio and Cruz clash over immigration and the GOP’s future", WaPo 11.9.15.
- Strauss, Daniel "Trump fumes as Cruz steals wall mojo", Politico (Updated 01/06/16 02:43 PM EST).
- Tuttle, Ian, "Donald Trump Thinks American Workers Aren’t Good Enough for the Trump Organization", National Review (2/25/16 at 4:58 PM).
- McAlone, nathan, "Uber may become an issue in the US presidential race as Hillary Clinton vows to crack down on worker 'misclassification'", Business Insider (7/13/15 at 1:09 PM ). Uber and airbnb undercutting taxis and hotels = good, Mexicans undercutting Americans = bad
- [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Transcript of Republican Candidates Debate in Cleveland, Ohio 6 August 2015.]
- Demko, Paul, "Obamacare's November surprise", Politico (05/02/16 05:22 AM EDT).
- McMcalmont, Lucy, "Gallup: New low for Obamacare", Politico (11/17/14 06:00 AM EST).
- Montgomery, Peter, "Trump Turns To Far-Right Heritage Foundation For Future Supreme Court Nominees", Right Wing Watch (3/22/2016 1:53 pm).
- Bruenig, Elizabeth, "Is Donald Trump Sparking a Conservative Culture War?", New Republic 1.26.16. The new social conservatism is more of vague rejection of "PC culture", which can be defined as pretty much anything you don't like.
- Flowers, Andrew, "The Problems With Using The Terrorist Watch List To Ban Gun Sales", FiveThirtyEight (6/20/16 at 9:00 AM ).
- Gambino, Lauren, "Hillary Clinton pledges to make gun control a 'voting issue' for Democrats ", The Guardian (11/4/15 at 8:22 EST).
- Waldman, Paul, "Republicans may finally pay a price for toeing NRA line on guns", WaPo (6/17/16).
- "The 2016 Presidential Candidates' Views on Net Neutrality and Broadband", Gizmodo (3/01/16 at 6:00am).
- McGough, Michael, "Democrats united in (over)promising to reverse Citizens United ", LA Times (7/26/16, 2:05 PM).
- Bier, Daniel, "Bernie Sanders on Open Borders: Silly, Tribal and Economically Illiterate" Newsweek (7/30/15 at 12:43 PM).
- Proposed legislation on TBTF. Four whole pages of legislation on how to deal with the largest financial system in the world!
- Kruger, Allan B., "The Minimum Wage: How Much Is Too Much?", 10.9.15.
- Sanders, Bernie, "To Rein In Wall Street, Fix the Fed", NYT op-ed 12.23.15.
- Carey, Kevin, "The Trouble With Hillary Clinton’s Free Tuition Plan", NYT 7.19.16.
- Wolfers Justin, "Uncovering the Bad Math (or Logic) of an Economic Analysis Embraced by Bernie Sanders" NYT 2.26.16.
- Wagner, John, "An expensive reminder that Sanders still hasn’t dropped out: His Secret Service detail", WaPo 6/19/16. It's costing taxpayers $38,000 every day he remains in the "race".
- Debenedetti, Gabriel, "Bernie's Roman holiday", Politico (Updated 04/17/16 11:42 AM EDT). Hit the music!
- Patterson, Thomas E., "Pre-Primary News Coverage of the 2016 Presidential Race: Trump’s Rise, Sanders’ Emergence, Clinton’s Struggle", Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics, and Public Policy (6/13/16 at 6:00 am).
- Italie, Hillel, "Sanders has book deal; will reflect on campaign", Associated Press (7/14/16 at 10:47 AM EDT). $27 says the forward is his stump speech.
- Ye Hee Lee, Michelle, "Sanders’s claim that he ‘does not have a super PAC’", WaPo 2.11.16.
- Berman, Richard, "The Democrats' dark money hypocrisy", The Hill (05/09/16 09:00 AM EDT).
- Mac, Tim, "Bernie Sanders Loves This $1 Trillion War Machine", Daily Beast (02.08.16 9:01 PM ET).
- Epstein, Jennifer, "Sanders’ Quest for Superdelegates Loses One After Virgin Island Official Flips to Clinton", Bloomberg (5/17/16 at 11:46 AM PDT ).
- Green, Joshua, "The Front-Runner’s Fall", Atlantic Sept. 2008.
- Peters, Jeremy W., "Speakers at Donald Trump’s Convention: Tim Tebow, Peter Thiel, but No Sarah Palin?", NYT 7.13.16. Night one of the RNC is dedicated to Benghazi. Really.
- Kirkland, Allegra, "RNC Speaker Scott Baio Tweeted Meme Referring To Hillary Clinton As A C**t", TPM (7/18/16 at 3:05 PM EDT).
- Bernstein, David S., "Donald Trump Needs 7 of 10 White Guys", Politico 3/4/16.
- Ramesh Ponnuru, Hillary Clinton & 2016 Election Winner", National Review.
- Tami Luhby, CNN Money. You'd never know America's middle class was in trouble from watching the Republican debates... until Bernie trolled them via Twitter.
- Stokols, Elis, "Clinton eagerly cedes the spotlight to Trump", Politico (08/11/16 05:49 PM EDT).
- Enten, Harry, "Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking", FiveThirtyEight (5/5/16 at 8:29 AM).
- Niall Stanage and Amie Parnes, "Hillary Searches For Theme", WaPo (10/6/15 at 6:00 am).
- Douglas Perry, "Anti-Donald Trump Republicans believe they can make Gen. James Mattis president," The Oregonian. ... to the point of plotting to take advantage of Twelfth Amendment tiebreaker rules if the party splits due to Trump.
- Ballhaus, Rebecca, "Hillary Clinton’s Growing Problem With Independents", WSJ (5/3/16 at 9:42 am ET).
- Lieven, Anatol "A Hawk Named Hillary", The Nation (11/25/14).
- Greenberg, Jon, "Sanders spins the facts when he says campaign did not 'go out and take' Clinton data", Politifact (12/2215 at 3:19 p.m.).
- Snyder, Riley, "Allegations of fraud and misconduct at Nevada Democratic convention unfounded", Politifact (6/18/16 at 6:40 p.m.).
- Papple, Dawn, "‘Not Me, Us’ Was Not Just A Slogan, And Bernie Sanders Is Not A ‘Sell Out’", Inquisitur 7.13.16.
- FactChecking the CNBC Debate.
- Tracy, Abigail, "Campaign Feud Between Top Trump Aides Gets Ugly", Vanity Fair (5/25/16 at 11:05 am).
- Gabriel, Trip, "Trump Campaign Vows to Fund Florida Push, Official Says, but Cash Is in Limbo", NYT 9.20.16.
- Smith, Adam C., "While Hillary Clinton touts 51 Florida field offices, Donald Trump still has just one", Tampa Bay Times (9/1/16 at 11:07am).
- Ellefson, Lindsey, "CBS CEO on Trump Campaign: It ‘May Not be Good for America, but It’s Damn Good for CBS’", Mediate (2/29/16 4:18 pm). Why would Trump spend money on airtime when all he needs to do is open his big stupid mouth?
- Emily Atkin, Tweet (5/26/16 at 11:05am). In fairness, an empty podium is vastly preferable to an actual Trump speech.
- Alvarez, Joshua, "Trump Disrupts Cuban-American Politics", The Atlantic. 3.17.16.
- Shafer, Jack, "The Limits of Fact-Checking", Politico, 12.24.15.
- Gold, Hadas, "Fox News takes on Trump", Politico (03/04/16 12:55 AM EST). When you hold his feet to the fire on a fact pattern, he does not handle it well.
- Scott Bixby and Tom McCarthy, "Donald Trump: critics who allege antisemitism are 'sick people'", Guardian (7/6/16 at 19:42 EDT). The House is having Comey testify, and instead of that being the big story, we get incoherent rambling about Saddam and the Star of David tweet (AGAIN), mosquitoes, sleepy eye Chuck Todd, fucking Jack Niklaus and Don King.
- Hohmann, James, "The Daily 202: Trump’s attacks on the GOP’s most prominent Latina, Susana Martinez, should alarm Republicans", WaPo (5.25.16. at 8:49 pm.) It's not clear whether the Trump campaign understands that Latinos and women have the right to vote.
- Kevin Cirilli, Michael C. Bender, and Jennifer Jacbos, "Trump Orders Surrogates to Intensify Criticism of Judge and Journalists", Bloomberg (7/6/16 at 1:08 PM PDT, Updated 7/6/16 at 2:22 PM PDT).
- Black, "The founder of a white nationalist website says Donald Trump is helping his cause", Business Insider 12.14.15.
- That black support Trump promises he'll win? It doesn't exist.
- Bump, Phillip, "Why is Trump trailing? Half of Republicans wish they had a different nominee.", WaPo 6.30.16.
- Wolf, Leon H., "Trump Can’t Keep Himself from Attacking Republicans for One Month", RedState 9.4.16.
- Schreckinger, Ben, "Trump vows to contest the West Coast", Politico (06/01/16 11:41 PM EDT). Did you see the film Game Change? That part about Palin only caring about what Alaska voters thought of her? That's Trump and the west coast.
- Blake, Aaron, "Donald Trump’s bad month just got worse, because Sanders backers just rallied to Clinton", WaPo (6/26/16 at 9:10 AM). All he needs is 137% of white conservative voters and he's got this election IN THE BAG!
- Tom LoBianco and Jennifer Agiesta, "At the starting gate: Clinton leads Trump by double-digits", CNN (Updated 5/4/16 10:13 AM ET).
- Barbaro, Michael & Parker, Ashley, "A G.O.P. Majority in New Hampshire Pipes Up: We’re Not for Donald Trump", The New York Times.
- Schloss, Eva, "Anne Frank's stepsister: 'Donald Trump is acting like Hitler'", Newsweek.
- Donald Trump has gone too far for French far-right leader Marine Le Pen Vox, 11 Dec 2015.
- Laughland, Oliver, Trump on Putin's crackdown on journalists: 'It’s never been proven', The Guardian 12.20.15. He knows no-zing!
- Edgar Sandoval & Helen Kennedy, "Sarah Palin, Donald Trump split a pepperoni pizza", NY Daily News 6.1.11. Trump took Palin out to have a true "New York experience." He took her to a Famiglia (a mediocre pizza chain, it's like saying you're going to get authentic Chinese then going to Panda Express) and ate his pizza with a knife and fork.
- "Why voters in Iowa are leaning towards Donald Trump", Economist (9/13/16 at 11:59).
- Enten, Harry, "Mike Pence Is A Really Conservative And Mostly Unknown VP Pick", FiveThirtyEight (7/14/16 at 3:06 PM).
- Brown, "To My Former TV Colleagues: Just Stop.", Politico 12.11.15.
- Frank Luntz: "My legs are shaking looking at these numbers."
- Wang, Sam, "The GOP’s deadline problem", Princeton Election Consortium (2/11/16, 3:31pm). Thanks to state GOP rules that were designed to stop extreme candidates from getting delegates, he was able to claim 100% of South Carolina's delegates despite getting barely a third of the popular vote. Oops.
- Waldman, Paul, "Beware of this new #NeverTrump scam", WaPo 5.5.16.
- Salaky, Kristin, "#NeverTrump to Rebrand as #EventuallyTrump", TPM (3/4/16, 1:19 AM EST). Mitt Romney appears to be the only actual member of the #NeverTrump 'movement'. Small movement.
- Silver, Nate, "Why Republican Voters Decided on Trump", FiveThirtyEight (5/4/16 at 2:51 AM).
- Carl Bialik and Harry Enten, "The Polls Missed Trump. We Asked Pollsters Why.", FiveThirtyEight (11/9/16 at 4:53 PM).
- Weigel, David, "Libertarian hopeful Gary Johnson denies rumor of ‘eight-figure’ Koch campaign donation", WaPo (5/19/06 at 1:38 PM).
- Leo Shane III and George R. Altman, "This poll of the U.S. military has Gary Johnson tied with Donald Trump in the race for president", Military Times 9.21.16.
- Johnson is certainly aiming for Sanders supporters. Even borrows his slogans.
- Ames, "The Gary Johnson Swindle and the Degradation of Third Party Politics", NSWCORP (11/6/12 at 12:10 p.m.).
- Chandrasekhar, Brett, "Ron Paul Won’t Vote for Gary Johnson, and He’s Right", Libertarian Republic 10.1.16.
- GovGaryJohnson -329 points. Let them eat empty platitudes!
- Lund, Jeb, "Presidential hopeful Gary Johnson is no Libertarian. He's a pro-pot Trump", The Guardian (1/7/16 at 13:15 EST).
- Evans, Zefron, "Gary Johnson Talks Rand Paul, Presidency, Prisons, and More on Reddit", Reason (8/27/14, 12:01 pm).
- Nelson, Louis, "VP Libertarian candidate Weld: I'm 'vouching for Mrs. Clinton'", Politico (11/02/16 07:03 AM EDT).
- "Gary Johnson Shoots Himself in the Foot: Throws Out Austin Petersen’s Gun", LibertyHangout.org 5.30.16. Austin Petersen's gun can't melt steel beams. (It's like, not only is this guy a dick, he's a Lumbergh from Office Space-type of dick who will throw away gifts.)
- 2016 Libertarian Debate, 20m 00s.
- B-but she has motherly values!
- She's still "the most successful female candidate in history", though!
- Speaking of 90%, in the course of explaining why she wants to take votes away from Hillary, she accidentally tweeted her ISideWith test which showed she agreed with Clinton on almost everything.
- Her AMA went to shit pretty fast. She gave a well-thought out response which totally made sense, and then she said she was vegan + fish and some dairy. She pulled a Bill Clinton!
- "How DOCTOR Jill Stein Will Erase Student Loan Debt, The Young Turks 6.8.16.
- Kinane, Seán, "Jill Stein says Edward Snowden would be in her cabinet if she becomes president", WMNF 7.13.16. Well, Trump is letting 4chan run his campaign, it seems natural for Stein to let Reddit run hers.
- Facciani, Matthew, "Five Reasons Why This Bernie Sanders Supporter Cannot Vote for Jill Stein", Patheos 7.15.16.
- Facciani, Matthew, "Jill Stein thinks Wi-Fi could be dangerous for our brains", Patheos 8.1.16.
- Stein, "Stein Calls Britain a Wake Up Call", 6.24.16. (Nice try, Doctor. Here is the original.)
- Clifton, Allen, "Green Party Hero Jill Stein Busted Trying to Cover Up Her Praise of Bigotry-Driven Brexit", Forward Progressive 6.27.16.
- Facciani, Matthew, "Jill Stein finally gives a more direct answer about vaccines…and it’s terrible", Patheos 7.29.16.
- Power to the People Plan
- 2016 Platform Amendment Proposal: Health Care
- Baraka, "The Charlie Hebdo White Power Rally in Paris - A Celebration of Western Hypocrisy", Dissident Voice 1.14.15.
- Resnik, Gideon, "The Wild Beliefs of Ajamu Baraka, Jill Stein’s Green Party Running Mate", Daily Beast (08/16/16 at 10:00 PM ET).
- Pullam-Moore, Charles, "The Green Party’s new VP candidate has some questionable views on Beyoncé", Fusion.
- Darryl Cherney manifesto. How in the fuck is he going to pardon Assange when he's been charged in Sweden? (Duh, because he said he's gonna apply the Constitution internationally. One World!)
- Tracey, Michael, "The Jill Stein “Recount” Nonsense Was A Scam From The Beginning", Medium 12.8.16.
- Peace and Freedom Party picks Gloria La Riva as presidential nominee, LA Times
- Haberman, Maggie, "Evan McMullin, Anti-Trump Republican, Mounts Independent Presidential Bid", NYT 8.8.16.
- Interview with Dan Vacek, Legal Marijuana Now Presidential Nominee, Independent Political Report
- Chait, Jonathan, "Desperate Bill Kristol Recruits Blogger David French to Run for President Against Trump", New York Magazine (5/31/16 at 5:51 p.m.). R.I.P. #NeverTrump. They can't even get this random idiot to run for President, and you have to assume that he was one of the last ones they asked.
- "GoT Recap: Social Justice Edition".
- Cohen, Nate, "How the Obama Coalition Crumbled, Leaving an Opening for Trump", NYT 12.23.16.
- Sargent, Greg, "These coal country voters backed Trump. Now they’re worried about losing Obamacare." WaPo 12.27.16.
- "Former Miss Pennsylvania will pay Trump $5 million for defamation, despite her pleas the award will “financially devastate” her", New York Post 7.4.13.
- Brian X. McCrone and Lauren Mayk, "Trump in Philadelphia Calls Out Mayor Kenney for 'Doing a Terrible Job'", NBC 10 (9/4/16 at 12:14 AM EDT). PA is a boring state with no future! Sad!
- Eli Watkins and Rachel Carson, "Trump campaign doubles down on election fraud claims: 'If Hillary Wins PA Then She Cheated'", CNN (Updated 8/13/16 at 11:18 AM ET). When was the last time Pennsylvania swung red in a presidential election, you ass?
- Wasserman, David, "How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote", FiveThirtyEight (9/15/16 at 6:28 pm).
- Hillary Clinton says US need to secure borders, and illegals should be deported and build a wall , Council on Foreign Relations.
- Krieder, [http://www.thepaincomics.com/weekly080521.htm "When Will It End?", The Pain 21 May 2008.
- Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes, "Clinton campaign plagued by bickering", The Hill (04/12/17 at 6:00 AM EDT).
- Ben Brody, and Chris Strohm, "FBI Surprises With Files on Clinton ’01 Pardon of Marc Rich", Bloomberg (updated 11/1/16 at 4:11 PM PDT).
- "At Russia hearing, FBI Director James Comey mum about possible Trump probe", Chicago Tribune 1.10.17 at 6:55PM). "Nevermind!" - Gilda Radner.
- Savransky, Rebecca, "Nate Silver: Clinton 'almost certainly' would've won before FBI letter", The Hill (12/11/16 01:52 PM EST).
- Wang, Sam, "The Comey effect", Princeton Election Consortium (12/10/16 at 10:06pm).
- Compare what FiveThirtyEight projected for her compared to what she actually won - 45.4% projection in Arizona compared to 45.13% result, 48.1% projection in Florida compared to 47.82% result, and 48.2% projection in North Carolina compared to 46.17% result (1/5/17 at 7:25 am)
- "New Voting Restrictions in Place for 2016 Presidential Election", Brennan Center for Justice (1/5/17 at 7:31 am).
- Berman, Ari, "There Are 868 Fewer Places to Vote in 2016 Because the Supreme Court Gutted the Voting Rights Act", The Nation (1/5/17 at 7:37 am)
- Dayanite Ramest, Coleman Lowndes, and John Kerr, "Strict Voter ID Laws Are The New Jim Crow Laws - Right-Wing Media Falsely Cry “Voter Fraud” To Keep Citizens From Voting", Media Matters (1/5/17 at 7:27 am)
- A federal judge overruled him (1/5/17 at 7:16 am)
|United States 2016 presidential election articles on RationalWiki|
| Topics: Affordable Care Act - Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission - DAESH - Gun control - Illegal immigration - Koch Industries - United States Electoral College - Trump's Wall
Parties: Democratic Party (primaries) - Green Party - Libertarian Party - Republican Party (primaries • Convention • Tea Party)
Candidates: Bush (R) - Carson (R) - Christie (R) - Clinton (D) - Cruz (R) - Huckabee (R) - Jindal (R) - Johnson (Lib) - Kasich (R) - Paul (R) - Perry (R) - Sanders (D) - Stein (Green) - Trump (R) - Walker (R) - Webb (D) • Running mates: Kaine (D) - Pence (R)
Winner: Donald Trump