RationalWiki:What is going on with the elections?

From RationalWiki
(Redirected from WIGO:Elections)
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Icon politics.svg Keep up to date with all the polls, propaganda, lies, and statistics surrounding the world's elections here. The most popular entries are found at Best of the elections and the older entries are found in the archives.

What is going on?

(talk) (talk) (talk) (talk) (hic)
Oh no, they're talking about
Politics
Icon politics.svg
Theory
Practice
Philosophies
Terms
As usual
Country sections
United States politics British politics Canadian politics Chinese politics French politics Indian politics Iranian politics Israeli politics Japanese politics South Korean politics

February 2024

upneutraldown
-3United StatesSouth Carolina. Donald Trump wins the South Carolina primary.
upneutraldown
14United StatesWisconsin. Wisconsin governor Tony Evers signs new legislative maps, replacing the old gerrymandered ones drawn by Republicans.
upneutraldown
18United StatesWest Virginia. After months of speculation, Senator Joe Manchin says he will not run for president in 2024 as a third-party or independent candidate.
upneutraldown
20Pakistan Protests have erupted in Pakistan over election rigging and military interference.
upneutraldown
16United Kingdom The Conservatives lose 2 more ‘safe’ parliamentary seats to the Labour Party in by-elections.
upneutraldown
6United StatesMaryland. The far-right Bethany Mandel is running for the Board of Education in deep blue Montgomery County, Maryland.
upneutraldown
24United StatesNew York. Democrats pick up one seat in the House of Representatives, where Republicans are a majority only by a razor-thin margin. This was a special election triggered by the expulsion of George Santos from the chamber.
upneutraldown
-7Georgia Following Irakli Garibashvili's resignation, Irakli Kobakhidze has been approved as the new prime minister.
upneutraldown
5Finland Centre-right former prime minister Alexander Stubb has won narrowly against Green candidate Pekka Haavisto, to be the next president of Finland.
upneutraldown
13United StatesCalifornia. Marianne Williamson has suspended her 2024 presidential campaign.
upneutraldown
10United StatesNevada. Biden projected to win Nevada's Democratic presidential primary with something like 90% of the vote.
upneutraldown
14United StatesNevada. Nikki Haley is projected to lose to the option "None of these candidates" in the symbolic Nevada primary, the first ever candidate from either party to do so. Trump did not appear on the ballot, instead focusing on the Nevada caucus, which actually awards delegates.
upneutraldown
11United StatesSouth Carolina. Biden won the South Carolina primary with 96 percent of the vote.
upneutraldown
8El Salvador El Salvador's Bukele re-elected as president in landslide win. His New Ideas party is expected to win almost all of the 60 seats in the legislative body, which means Bukele will wield unprecedented power and be able to overhaul El Salvador's constitution, something that his opponents fear will result in scrapping of term limits.
upneutraldown
4United KingdomIreland A nationalist SDLP MLA has lost his whip (party affiliation) after he left early during a historic meeting of the Northern Irish Assembly, so he could participate in a GAA football match as a team manager.
upneutraldown
23United StatesFlorida. Florida will vote, via a ballot initiative this year on whether to add abortion rights to its state constitution. Similar measures have succeeded in deeply red-leaning states like Kansas and Ohio, so one may expect this to succeed.

January 2024

upneutraldown
-7United StatesArizona. Proposed bill would give the Arizona legislature the authority to override the popular vote.
upneutraldown
13United Kingdom A former cabinet minister leads a plot among UK's Tories to oust Rishi Sunak as party leader before the next election.
upneutraldown
14United States Trump: anybody who donates to Nikki Haley "will be permanently banned from the MAGA camp."
upneutraldown
6United StatesNew Hampshire. Donald Trump wins the New Hampshire Republican primary. Joe Biden also won the Democratic primary despite only being a write-in candidate.
upneutraldown
4Comoros Azali Assoumani is elected as President of the Comoros for the 4th time.
upneutraldown
11United StatesPennsylvania. One Pennsylvania state poll has Biden doing decently, per a pollster FiveThirtyEight rates "B+". Polls for the general presidential election have been somewhat mixed recently.
upneutraldown
32United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis drops out of the Republican primary.
upneutraldown
24Japan Support for Japan's ruling LDP has plummeted to 14.6%, some of the worst numbers in the party's entire history.
upneutraldown
18Guatemala Bernardo Arévalo is inaugurated as president of Guatemala after many delays.
upneutraldown
8United StatesGeorgia (U.S. State). RFK Jr. traveled to Atlanta (MLK Jr's birthplace) for a campaign event the day before Martin Luther King Jr Day. There, he defended the JFK administration wiretapping MLK Jr with authorization from RFK: "My father gave permission to Hoover to wiretap them so he could prove that his suspicions about King were either right or wrong... they had to do it."
upneutraldown
24United States Vivek Ramaswamy drops out of the presidential race.
upneutraldown
0United StatesIowa. Donald Trump wins Iowa caucuses.
upneutraldown
31Taiwan William Lai wins the presidential election in Taiwan, which is likely to anger China.
upneutraldown
23United StatesRhode Island. Rhode Island election officials found the names of several dead people on nomination papers for Vivek Ramaswamy.
upneutraldown
15United States John Anthony Castro, the man who filed 33 suits challenging the 2020 US presidential election results, is now the second GOP presidential hopeful to be indicted. Say what you want about the Dems currently on the ballot, but it seems that none of the Dems currently running for POTUS have been criminally indicted. Or, in other words: business as usual in the party of corruption.
upneutraldown
2United Kingdom Osborne has hinted the date of general election being 14th November 2024, after he said a little birdie in Sunak's government told him.
upneutraldown
9United States Chris Christie drops out of the 2024 presidential race.
upneutraldown
14United Kingdom Former pensions secretary Chris Skidmore has resigned as a MP due to Sunak's backtracking on his green pledges, while another Conservative MP is being investigated over allegedly breaking parliamentary rules by using taxpayer money to fund Conservative Party work.
upneutraldown
8United Kingdom Andrew Bridgen has left Laurence Fox's Reclaim Party and withdrawn the party whip, allegedly because of "difference in the direction of the party".
upneutraldown
16United StatesIllinois. Trump refuses to sign decades-old Illinois ballot agreement in which he would pledge not to "advocate the overthrow of the government".
upneutraldown
7United StatesColorado. The Supreme Court will decide if Trump can appear on the Colorado ballot.
upneutraldown
13United States Vivek Ramaswamy has sold stock worth 33 million in preparation for "significant investment" in his bid for the GOP nomination.
upneutraldown
10United Kingdom Sunak has ruled out a May 2024 general election, but hinted at an election in the latter half of 2024. Election experts point to an October 2024 election.
upneutraldown
11United StatesCalifornia. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s campaign has hired noted anti-vaxxer Del Bigtree as communications director.

December 2023

upneutraldown
12United StatesColorado. Lauren Boebert runs for re-election in a different district that's much redder than the one she narrowly won in 2022.
upneutraldown
22United StatesMaine. Maine’s top election official has removed Donald Trump from the state’s 2024 ballot.
upneutraldown
27United StatesWisconsin. Wisconsin Supreme Court strikes down the state's gerrymandered legislative maps.
upneutraldown
21United StatesIowa. Republican caucusgoers in Iowa more worried about Trump's comments on terminating parts of the Constitution or locking up political opponents than his comments about immigrants "poisoning the blood" of America.
upneutraldown
6United StatesNew Hampshire. Nikki Haley gets a polling surge in GOP's New Hampshire presidential primary. Update: Another poll also has her up in NH, this time just four points behind Trump. So there's your new challenger to throne; last one to get this close was DeSantis.
upneutraldown
-23United StatesWest Virginia. Joe Manchin again flirts with running for President, denies he'd be a "spoiler" candidate. He plans to launch a speaking tour around the country.
upneutraldown
31United StatesColorado. Colorado Supreme Court rules that Donald Trump is ineligible to appear on the 2024 ballot.
upneutraldown
9United Kingdom Conservative MP Peter BoneWikipedia loses his seat after a successful recall petition by his constituents. Bone had previously been suspended from the Conservative Party and Parliament for 6 weeks after allegations of bullying and sexual misconduct. By-election to come early next year.
upneutraldown
-3Serbia Aleksandar Vučić wins the Serbian election, again.
upneutraldown
27Chile Chile rejects the Constitution written by the conservatives and the far right.
upneutraldown
21United States A national survey of Jewish voters found that while overall Jewish voters overwhelmingly support Biden, there is a marked age gap in support for Biden's unconditional support of the Israeli war effort among Jewish voters, with younger Jewish voters more likely to oppose Biden's actions and unconditional support than older voters.
upneutraldown
18United States RFK Jr. went on CNN to claim he's not anti-vax. They instantly played a clip of him saying there are no safe and effective vaccines.
upneutraldown
13United StatesIowa. Casey DeSantis encourages non-Iowans who support her husband to come "descend upon the state of Iowa to be a part of the caucus". She now adds: she didn't mean illegal voting, but just showing "support".
upneutraldown
34Poland Liberal-Conservative Donald Tusk has been elected as Poland's new prime minister.
upneutraldown
14United States There will be no more RNC-approved GOP presidential primary debates for 2024.
upneutraldown
16United States Apparently no longer considering him a useful idiot, Fox News grills RFK Jr. about whether he was on Jeffrey Epstein's jet (apparently, he was).
upneutraldown
24Venezuela The "Guayana Esequiba" referendum seems to have backfired on Maduro due to very low voter turn-out indicating heavy disapproval (despite a 95% "Yes" vote which is believed to have been a rigged result) among the population. Guyana seems relieved at the moment with how unpopular it is.
upneutraldown
8United StatesNorth Dakota. Doug Burgum dropped out of the 2024 Republican presidential primary.
upneutraldown
6United StatesFlorida. Alternative presidential candidates not allowed to appear on Florida Democrats' primary ballots. This is an especially bizarre move since Biden was at little current risk of losing the primary anyway.

November 2023

upneutraldown
17United States Biden's polling worsens further. The one with a trendline that looks better for him is from Rasmussen Reports... take that how you will.
upneutraldown
1United Kingdom Some Tories already seem to be thinking ahead of a prospective election loss in 2024 or 2025. Government minister Kemi Badenoch may end up as Rishi Sunak's successor in party leadership, as she's apparently a favorite of the Jordan Peterson-cofounded Alliance for Responsible Citizenship, whose conference she spoke at last month. Badenoch is favored by very-conservative activists as a successor to Sunak since she is viewed as more ideological — so much so that she was endorsed by Britain First last year.
upneutraldown
8United KingdomUnited States The former British prime minister, the lettuce called Liz Truss has written an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal endorsing Trump for president in 2024.
upneutraldown
25United States In a great sign for Ron DeSantis's campaign, his top strategists are literally on the verge of fist fights with each other.
upneutraldown
-19Netherlands Geert Wilders' PVV party has won the largest share of seats in the Dutch Parliament.
upneutraldown
-7Netherlands Netherlands votes for a new government & new prime minister. Based on the polls, the winner could be Conservative Liberal party VVD again (the new leader, Dilan Yeşilgöz-ZegeriusWikipedia, isn't ruling out working with PVV, despite stating that there are too many differences between them), Dutch Trump & his cronies, Frans TimmermansWikipedia, former EU Commissioner for Climate Change, who leads the progressive coalition PVDA-GL, & Pieter OmtzigtWikipedia, a hardcore Christian who's been pretty vague on what he wants if he gets elected as Prime Minister, besides making it clear that he doesn't want to rule with Wilders or tinfoiler BaudetWikipedia.
upneutraldown
5Liberia Joseph Boakai is elected President of Liberia in the run-off, defeating incumbent George Weah.
upneutraldown
10United StatesWest Virginia. Joe Manchin and daughter fundraising through some sort of dark-money non-profit. Appears to be either a way to launch a bid for president, or a way to make donors think that's what it is before running out the back door with the money. Hard to tell at this stage.
upneutraldown
-36Argentina Javier Milei wins the Argentina election. (English-language source.)
upneutraldown
19Spain Pedro Sánchez is re-elected as the Prime Minister of Spain, after extending amnesty to Catalan separatists.
upneutraldown
26United StatesVirginia. Genius analysis by a random GOP representative from Virginia says the Republicans lost the recent elections because they weren't anti-abortion enough.
upneutraldown
18United StatesNew York. Representative George Santos/Anthony Devolder/whatever his real name is won't run for reelection after a scathing House Ethics report.
upneutraldown
5United StatesWest Virginia. Joe Manchin says he would "absolutely" consider running for President. He is one of the country's most unpopular Senators.
upneutraldown
-6United States RFK Jr. somehow polls better than both Trump and Biden among young voters in some key battleground states. We could be looking at a kookier Ross Perot over here.
upneutraldown
17United StatesSouth Carolina. Tim Scott drops out.
upneutraldown
7United StatesArizona. Jake Angeli, the QAnon Shaman is running as a Libertarian in Arizona’s 8th district for Congress.
upneutraldown
-12United States Trump has said that he'd consider Tucker Carlson as his vice president pick.
upneutraldown
-16United States Vivek Ramaswamy proposes building a border wall to keep the Canadians out.
upneutraldown
23United StatesKentucky. The reason Kentucky's Democratic governor won reelection: relatively low turnout among Trump voters (53% turnout) compared to Biden voters (79%).
upneutraldown
14Argentina Taylor Swift's first concert in Argentina is unexpectedly political with an upcoming run-off election (taking place on the nineteenth): one fan poster near the event location read, "A Swiftie Doesn't Vote Milei". Fans referenced Swift's endorsement of Biden in 2020.
upneutraldown
11United StatesWest Virginia. DINO extraordinaire, Joe Manchin is retiring from the Senate in 2025. The race seems to guarantee a spot for a Republican to step in.
upneutraldown
-11United StatesMassachusetts. Jill fucking Stein is now running for President. As a Green, obviously.
upneutraldown
21United StatesVirginia. Trans flag.svg Danica Roem has been elected as Virginia’s first openly transgender senator.
upneutraldown
-8United StatesMississippi. Republican Tate Reeves wins reelection for governor in Mississippi, albeit by a narrower margin than Republicans were hoping for.
upneutraldown
8United StatesVirginia. What could go wrong? Democrat Susanna Gibson is narrowly trailing her Republican rival in a Virginia House of Delegates contest, after the Republicans revealed that she performed sex acts online for "tips"
upneutraldown
12United StatesPennsylvania. Democrat Dan McCaffery wins election to an open seat on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, giving Democrats a 5–2 majority.
upneutraldown
23United StatesVirginia. Democrats flip Virginia's state House while retaining the Senate, thwarting Republicans' attempts to gain a trifecta.
upneutraldown
17United StatesKentucky. Kentucky's Democratic governor Andy Beshear wins re-election.
upneutraldown
30United StatesOhio. Ohio voters vote to enshrine abortion rights in the state consitution and also to legalize recreational cannabis, becoming the 24th state to do so.
upneutraldown
7United States Trump ahead of Biden in multiple key states. Rather than an increase in support for Trump, it seems to mainly be a collapse in support for Biden, especially among young voters and black voters. Although his stance on Israel is suggested as a likely cause, these shifts began prior to the war (see e.g. here).
upneutraldown
14United States RFK Jr. promises to make the National Institutes of Health stop studying infectious diseases for eight years if elected president. He has previously said: "I do not believe that infectious disease is an enormous threat to human health."
upneutraldown
6United StatesOhio. Virginia. Ohio and Virginia purged tens of thousands of voters off their registries right before their respective elections.

October 2023

upneutraldown
19United StatesIndiana. Mike Pence has officially dropped out of the presidential race.
upneutraldown
16United StatesWyoming. Kanye West has come out of the woodwork to dispel what his lawyer said, and say that he is "100%" still running for President.
upneutraldown
9United StatesCalifornia. Larry Elder has dropped out of the Presidential race.
upneutraldown
6United StatesMinnesota. Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips has announced his bid for Democratic President against Biden.
upneutraldown
-11United StatesNorth Carolina. North Carolina has approved its new GOP-favouring gerrymandered maps.
upneutraldown
10United Kingdom Bad news for Sunak, as another possible by-election is on the horizon due to the suspension of Peter Bone, due to sexual misconduct allegations.
upneutraldown
19Argentina Argentina votes for president and national congress. There's an actual chance they could elect anarcho-capitalist Javier Milei as president. Argentinian polling (which AP calls "notoriously unreliable"), though, indicates a run-off in November is likely. Update: results indicate a run-off election.
upneutraldown
20United StatesWyoming. Kanye West has dropped out of the 2024 Presidential race.
upneutraldown
8United StatesMichigan. Perry Johnson drops out of the 2024 race for Republican nomination.
upneutraldown
6United StatesCalifornia. Harlan Crow gives maximum campaign donation to Cornel West. UPDATE: West has returned the money.
upneutraldown
18United States Yet another poll indicates that RFK Jr. could end up helping Biden beat Trump, in true Frankenstein fashion. That is, assuming he has ballot access.
upneutraldown
16United Kingdom Two parliamentary by-elections take place, with Labour winning both seats that were previously Conservative strongholds.
upneutraldown
39Poland Ballot count makes it official: right-wing PiS government loses its parliamentary majority in Poland to a coalition of centre-right, liberal, and leftist parties.
upneutraldown
3EcuadorDaniel Noboa, from the centrist National Democratic Action, narrowly defeats the Correist Luisa González. At 35, he is the youngest president in Ecuador's history.
upneutraldown
31Poland Right-wing PiS party appears to have just lost their majority in parliament to the three main opposition parties, based on exit polling. Rest in PiSS.
upneutraldown
-6United StatesLouisiana. Republican Jeff Landry has won the Louisiana governor's race, making Louisiana's Governor a Republican again for the first time in eight years.
upneutraldown
1New Zealand The centre-right National Party defeats the incumbent Labour Party in the New Zealand general election. Combined with ACT, they will have a very slim majority in parliament, making it unclear whether they require the support of NZ First. Former businessman Christopher Luxon will be the new PM, and he promises tax cuts for middle-income earners and a crackdown on crime.
upneutraldown
0United StatesMontana. Corey Stapleton drops out of the 2024 race for Republican nomination.
upneutraldown
-11United StatesCalifornia. Cenk Uygur is officially running for the Democratic nomination, apparently, despite being ineligible to run.
upneutraldown
-2United KingdomScotland East Kilbride MP Lisa Cameron has defected from the SNP to the Conservatives, over allegations of “toxic and bullying” treatment towards her.
upneutraldown
8United StatesTexas. Will Hurd drops out of the 2024 Presidential race.
upneutraldown
17United StatesCalifornia. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is switching from the Democratic Party to an independent.
upneutraldown
9United StatesRhode Island. Steve Laffey, the former mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island, drops out of the race for the Republican nominee for President.
upneutraldown
16United States Team Trump prepares attacks against RFK Jr. after reports that he will run as an independent, and that he could take slightly more votes from Trump than Biden.
upneutraldown
20United StatesAlabama. Federal judges redrew Alabama's Congressional map to undo its racial gerrymander, turning AL-02 and AL-07 into Black-majority districts that will likely vote Democratic next year.
upneutraldown
13United KingdomScotland Labour wins the Rutherglen and Hamilton West parliamentary by-election off of the Scottish National Party. The previous SNP MP, Margaret Ferrier, had been ousted by her own constituents for breaking Covid restrictions in 2020.
upneutraldown
0United StatesCalifornia. Cornel West is switching from the Green Party to an independent.
upneutraldown
-3United Kingdom The mayor of the West Midlands region, the Conservative Andy StreetWikipedia has threatened to leave the party over the government's plan over to shrink the building of a HS2 high-speed rail line to just a London-to-Birmingham service, and not further towards Manchester. Update: He has stated he will not quit and instead praised the Conservative Party.
upneutraldown
-2New Zealand Right-wing opposition in New Zealand poised to form a coalition government, according to a poll ten days before the election. Depending how the chips fall, that may require the National and ACT parties to team up with New Zealand First.
upneutraldown
17United StatesCalifornia. RFK Jr. is expected to announce on October 9 that he will switch his run for president from one as a Democrat to one as an independent.

September 2023

upneutraldown
-23SlovakiaLeft wing populist and pro-Putin Robert Fico and his party win the parliamentary elections in Slovakia
upneutraldown
-4United StatesCalifornia. Cenk Uygur of The Young Turks reportedly "staffing up" for a 2024 presidential run as a Democrat. Of course, it's unclear if he is even constitutionally eligible to run. Update: He is running.
upneutraldown
6Spain The People's Party's Feijoo's prime minister career dies before it even starts, failing to reach simple majority on the second vote. The king has set the 2nd and 3rd of October for a second round of talks with the political parties, with the second candidate being very likely to be current prime minister Pedro Sanchez.
upneutraldown
-22United States Terrisa Bukovinac, founder of Pro-Life San Francisco and Progressive Anti-Abortion Uprising (PAAU), is running for president as a Democrat.
upneutraldown
8United StatesArizona. Kari Lake to run for US Senate after losing election for Arizona governor. She is a massive Trump sycophant, so expect his endorsement.
upneutraldown
19United StatesPennsylvania. Democrats retake razor-thin majority in Pennsylvania state House, after a special election.
upneutraldown
5Latvia Evika Siliņa has taken office as Latvia's Prime Minister.
upneutraldown
35United StatesAlabama. Federal court rejects Alabama's congressional map and will draw new districts to boost Black voting power.
upneutraldown
40United StatesFlorida. Florida judge strikes DeSantis' gerrymandered map, siding with Black voters
upneutraldown
-27United StatesCalifornia. Nancy Pelosi announces she will run for reelection, refuting speculation that the former Speaker of the House would be retiring.
upneutraldown
9Singapore Tharman ShanmugaratnamWikipedia has been elected as the next President of Singapore.

August 2023

upneutraldown
20United StatesFlorida. Miami mayor Francis X. Suarez becomes the first U.S. presidential candidate to drop out of the race.
upneutraldown
-4Taiwan Terry Gou, founder of multinational electronics company Foxconn,Wikipedia has announced his candidacy for the 2024 elections.
upneutraldown
22Thailand Progressive business tycoon Srettha Thavisin has been elected as Thailand's new Prime Minister.
upneutraldown
-5Cambodia Hun Manet has been sworn in as Cambodia's new Prime Minister.
upneutraldown
10United StatesNorth Carolina. Self-described conspiracy theorist Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, who believes the moon landing was faked and that there's a secret class of reptilians controlling the world, is running for Governor of North Carolina.
upneutraldown
39Ecuador On the same day, Ecuadorians voted on a referendum and decided against oil drilling in one protected part of the Amazon Rainforest.
upneutraldown
24Ecuador Leftist Luisa González and businessman Daniel Noboa will battle for Ecuador's presidency in an October run-off.
upneutraldown
22Guatemala Progressive candidate Bernardo Alévaro wins runoff. Be on high alert for any coup attempts.
upneutraldown
22United StatesNew Hampshire. Chris Christie takes second place in New Hampshire GOP presidential primary polling, now slightly ahead of Ron DeSantis. Though neither candidate is likely to defeat Trump's powerful cult of personality.
upneutraldown
1Argentina Far-right Trump-wannabe takes shocking lead in the primaries for the Argentinian presidential election. He is a self-described anarcho-capitalist and supports a "free market in body organs". He also wants to abolish Argentina's central bank and currency, moving to the US dollar.
upneutraldown
9Ecuador Ecuadorian presidential candidate Fernando Villavivencio has been assassinated at a campaign event
upneutraldown
34United StatesOhio. Ohio voters reject the GOP-backed Issue 1, which proposed that a 60% majority would be required for any future ballot issues that would amend the state constitution. This was part of a larger attempt to sabotage future ballot issues regarding abortion.
upneutraldown
34United States Democrats have overperformed in 2023's special elections so far.
upneutraldown
31United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis's biggest donor threatens to cut off funds if he doesn't become more moderate. Mere hours later, DeSantis states that claims the 2020 election was stolen are "unsubstantiated".

July 2023

upneutraldown
17Spain in Spanish PNV (Basque Nationalist Party), whose support is key for PP's Feijóo to become Prime Minister, refuses to even consider supporting PP because of their relationship with Vox. PP is currently betting on a at the very least unlikely socialist abstention, saying that the Socialist Worker's party should assume they've "lost" the election and asking them to not block Feijóo
upneutraldown
-36Cambodia Cambodia's ruling party overwhelmingly wins election, after banning their biggest opposition party from running.
upneutraldown
23Spain Spain's elections end in a hung parliament. The right-wing People's Party won a plurality, but the center-left "Socialists" will likely have an easier path to a coalition, even if it will mean negotiating with regional parties to do so.
upneutraldown
13United Kingdom The ruling Conservative Party loses two parliament by-elections and wins one. Rishi Sunak plans to focus on migrants, crime and transgender rights after this result.
upneutraldown
13United StatesCalifornia. Surprising few, RFK Jr.'s campaign is receiving a lot of money from donors who typically give to the GOP. At least two billionaires and several current or former corporate & banking executives stand behind him.
upneutraldown
-12Thailand Thailand's military junta with a hold on the senate has blocked the popular progressive candidate who had emerged as the clear winner of the election. Parliament will now have to vote again.
upneutraldown
7Guatemala A top Guatemalan party has been barred by the courts, throwing the presidential election and Guatemala's democracy status into the unknown.

June 2023

upneutraldown
4Sierra Leone Julius Maada Bio sworn in as opposition cries foul.
upneutraldown
2Germany The far right AFD wins their first local governing post, in the Thuringian district of Sonneberg. The Thuringian AFD and its leader Bernd Björn Höcke are known to be particulary extremist.
upneutraldown
3United StatesFlorida. Francis X. Suarez has become the third Floridian to run for president in 2024.
upneutraldown
3United StatesNew Jersey. Chris Christie enters the 2024 race
upneutraldown
43United StatesAlabama. SCOTUS rules that Alabama's congressional map is an illegal racial gerrymander.
upneutraldown
15United StatesNorth Dakota. The 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries DLC characters keep on comin': Governor of North Dakota Doug Burgum is running for President.
upneutraldown
-18United StatesCalifornia. Cornel West has announced he's running for president in 2024... for the People's PartyWikipedia. The People's Party is an insane, bigoted, pro-Russia third party. Its only achievements currently are: 1) giving Bernie Sanders a petition to join the party, which he ignored, 2) announcing that they'd run "a dozen or more" candidates in the 2022 midterm elections, then ran zero, and 3) have their leader be credibly accused of sexual harassment, who then purged board members who sided with accuser. Curiously, West is also sat on the board of a pro-DeSantis company that supports and benefits from DeSantis' policies, alongside Christopher Rufo and the president of the Heritage Foundation.
upneutraldown
-4United StatesIndiana. Mike Pence is officially running in the 2024 presidential race.

May 2023

upneutraldown
36LatviaGay Pride Flag.svg Edgars Rinkēvičs is elected as president of Latvia, making him the first openly-gay president of a post-Soviet country.
upneutraldown
10Spain Spain’s conservative opposition trounces Socialists in key local and regional elections. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has announced general elections will be held on July 23, 2023
upneutraldown
-58Turkey Recep Erdoğan wins re-election as Turkey’s President.
upneutraldown
9United StatesLouisiana. Pastor charged with four counts of child cruelty announces bid for Louisiana House.
upneutraldown
-5United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis announces his bid to run for President of the United States in 2024.
upneutraldown
10GreeceGreece's center-right wins biggest election victory in half a century
upneutraldown
1Turkey Turkey election heads to a runoff between Erdoğan and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.
upneutraldown
27IndiaFlag of Karnataka, India.png The far-right BJP loses its majority in the Indian state of Karnataka.
upneutraldown
50Thailand Thailand opposition crushes military parties in election rout
upneutraldown
-27Chile Chile’s far-right party wins most seats on constitutional rewrite committee
upneutraldown
34United States Biden's current plan to get re-elected: oppose GOP book bans, support abortion rights, and defend Social Security. The fact that these stances poll very well seems to be the main reason why they were selected as a primary focus. Those who have watched voter priorities polling should know that he will need a broader economic message too, however.
upneutraldown
5Turkey Turkey's elections take place on May 14. Erdoğan and crew remain in political danger, so they've decided they need to get more homophobic.
upneutraldown
22United KingdomFlag of England.svg Conservatives trounced by Labour, LibDems and Greens in England's local elections. UKIP lost every seat it held. BBC source.
upneutraldown
16Paraguay Conservative Santiago Peña, from the Colorado Party, elected in Paraguay. The Colorado Party, which has ruled the country for all but five of the last 75 years (including the dictatorship under Alfredo Stroessner), and right-wing party candidates were also performing strongly in congressional elections and governorships, with some provinces recording a historic Colorado majority over opposition rivals.

April 2023

upneutraldown
-35United StatesNorth Carolina. North Carolina's supreme court overturns its previous anti-gerrymandering decision. Get prepared for North Carolina to become the new Wisconsin.
upneutraldown
1United StatesVermont. Bernie Sanders says he won’t run for the Democratic nomination in 2024, endorses Biden instead.
upneutraldown
14United States Poll: GOP presidential primary voters say that fighting 'woke' ideology is more important than stopping cuts to Social Security (and Medicare!).
upneutraldown
0United StatesDelaware. Joe Biden announces he’s running for re-election in 2024.
upneutraldown
-6United StatesCalifornia. Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race.
upneutraldown
22United StatesFlorida. DeSantis "isn't running" yet. But his support is collapsing. Trump holds a polling advantage. One DeSantis megadonor is literally dead. Others are getting cold feet. Another has pulled funding, citing his social extremism. Meantime, team Ron plan to copy Rudy Giuliani's 2008 "strategy". All in all, the GOP's most likely shot at a non-Trump nominee is not looking so likely. (But don't count him out yet?)
upneutraldown
14United StatesCalifornia. Democratic presidential primary candidate Marianne Williamson gains a following with young people, including on TikTok. The Intercept calls her a fusion of "Bernie Sanders and (early) Jordan Peterson". They also report: "A recent poll found Williamson hovering above 20 percent with voters under 30".
upneutraldown
5United StatesIndiana. Joe Exotic, who is currently serving time in prison for attempting to hire an assassin to kill a woman who started a non-profit, and who is also running for president, has switched parties from Libertarian to Democrat. He's now running as a Democrat. Yay.
upneutraldown
10Andorra The liberal coalition, led by Prime Minister Xavier Espot, has won the absolute majority of seats in the General Council in the 2023 Andorra parliamentary election.
upneutraldown
-3United StatesCalifornia. King of the anti-vaxxers, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., files paperwork to run for president as a Democrat. Update: he was apparently drafted by Steve Bannon.
upneutraldown
9United StatesArkansas. Asa Hutchinson enters the 2024 Presidential race, competing with Republicans Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy (real name), and Democrat Marianne Williamson.
upneutraldown
10Montenegro Jakov Milatović defeats Milo Đukanović in the Montenegro election. Milatović says: “Within the next five years, we will lead Montenegro into the European Union”.
upneutraldown
9United StatesIllinois. Progressive Brandon Johnson wins the Chicago mayoral election, defeating police union-backed DINO Paul Vallas.
upneutraldown
24United StatesWisconsin. Liberal Janet Protasiewicz wins election to the Wisconsin Supreme Court, giving liberals their first majority there in 15 years.
upneutraldown
18FinlandFinland's center-right party claims win amid tight election

March 2023

upneutraldown
10Kazakhstan Kazakhstan's ruling party Amanat wins the legislative election by 54%.
upneutraldown
39Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdoğan trails the opposition by more than 10 points ahead of an election in Turkey in May.
upneutraldown
12China Xi Jinping "reelected" for a third term.
upneutraldown
21Estonia In the Estonian parliamentary election, the Reform Party, led by Kaja Kallas, has won the most seats in the Riigikogu.
upneutraldown
15Nigeria Bola Tinubu of the ruling APC wins a disputed election. The opposing PPD and Labour Party have claimed the votes were doctored, and the election was marred with violence and technical issues.

February 2023

upneutraldown
23United StatesIllinois. Lori Lightfoot is ousted as the mayor of Chicago. A run-off election will occur between Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson.
upneutraldown
22United States Republican presidential primary candidates must agree to a "loyalty pledge" promising to support whoever wins the nomination in order to debate, the party's National Committee chair says. Can anyone guess who this is aimed at?
upneutraldown
18United StatesWisconsin. Liberal Janet Protasiewicz and conservative election denier Daniel Kelly advance in the primary for an open seat in the Wisconsin Supreme Court. This election will decide which side has a majority in the chamber, which will have huge implications on issues such as gerrymandering and abortion rights.
upneutraldown
27United StatesCalifornia. California dinosaur Senator Dianne Feinstein announces that she will not run for reelection, opening the door for what will likely be the most intense Senate primary of the cycle. Among those running to replace her are Reps. Adam Schiff and Katie Porter.
upneutraldown
18United StatesSouth Carolina. Nikki Haley announces she's running for President, making her the first Republican challenger to Trump.
upneutraldown
27United StatesPennsylvania. The PA State House has now officially flipped blue, after Democrats win three special elections in safe-blue Pittsburgh-area seats in order to replace Representative Summer Lee, Lt. Governor Austin Davis, and the late Tony DeLuca. Previously, there had been a bit of drama to get a speaker, as the three vacancies meant neither side had a majority.

January 2023

upneutraldown
21Czechia Former army general and independent politician Petr Pavel has won the Czech presidential election against his rival, populist former prime minister Andrej Babiš. He will replace the current president Miloš Zeman in March, who has been criticised for pandering to dictators like Putin, and politicking the largely ceremonial role.
upneutraldown
21United StatesArizona. Popular Democratic Arizona representative Ruben Gallego will challenge Independent Kyrsten Sinema for her US Senate seat.
upneutraldown
21United StatesVirginia. Democrat Aaron Rouse flips a Virginia State Senate seat in Virginia Beach during a special election, expanding Democrats' Senate majority in the state to 22-18. This comes as Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin is trying to pass a 15-week abortion ban.
upneutraldown
18United StatesSouth Carolina. South Carolina's House map ruled an unconstitutional racial gerrymander by a federal court. This is because of how black voters from Charleston were packed into the 6th district in order to make the 1st district safe for Republicans (comparison of both maps here). Of course, the result is likely to be appealed to the Supreme Court.
upneutraldown
38United StatesThe GOP-controlled House is off to a great start as Kevin McCarthy has failed fourteen votes for Speaker, leaving the legislature in limbo. Here's why 21 Republicans are refusing to support him. For those wondering, the last time the House failed to elect a Speaker was in 1923, almost exactly 100 years ago. Update: McCarthy has officially been elected as Speaker of the House on the 15th vote.