RationalWiki:What is going on with the elections?
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Keep up to date with all the polls, propaganda, lies, and statistics surrounding the world's elections here. The most popular entries are found at Best of the elections and the older entries are found in the archives. |
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November 2024
   | 0 |  Trump endorsed by podcaster Joe Rogan. |
| 12 | Republicans are bringing back fake electors in battleground states. |
| 23 | Northwestern University data scientist Thomas Miller: Trump blew his lead in the election, and the October 27 MSG rally was the turning point. |
| 21 |  Kamala Harris surprisingly up by 3 points in Iowa in Ann Selzer's final poll. Selzer's polls were historically unusual for their accuracy. (See the Wikipedia article on Ann Selzer.) Quote Nate Silver: "It won't put Harris ahead in our forecast because there was also another Iowa poll out today that was good for Trump. But wouldn't want to play poker against Ann Selzer." |
| 13 |  Kemi Badenoch is elected as new leader of the Conservative Party, replacing Rishi Sunak. |
| 25 |  A Redding, California property manager claimed on Reddit to have stolen absentee ballots from four former tenants who apparently failed to officially change their address (and to have voted as a proxy for his wife) in order to vote for Trump and against Propositions 2 and 33 a total of six times. Following r/BoomersBeingFools members tracking him down and reporting him to the FBI for blatant voter fraud, he's been fired and is now under criminal investigation. Lesson here: don't think you can commit a federal crime just because racist rhetoric has convinced you that the other side is doing it, and whether or not it's hyperbole as this idiot claims, certainly don't brag about doing so on Reddit. |
October 2024
| 39 | Arnold Schwarzenegger endorses Kamala Harris, stating he will "always be an American before I am a Republican". |
| 29 | House Speaker Mike Johnson promises to abolish Obamacare if Republicans win the 2024 elections. Update: House Speaker Mike Johnson says when he said they'll get rid of Obamacare, that didn't mean they'll get rid of Obamacare. |
| 15 | Trump surrogate and "efficiency"-chief-to-be Elon Musk keeps saying Trump will tank the economy; he says their plans will bring "some temporary hardship, but it will ensure long-term prosperity." (Also reported in CNBC, NYT, and WaPo.) |
| 16 |   Ballot boxes were torched in Washington and Oregon. |
| 18 |  Right-wing vatnik party Georgia Dream ensures control of the country's parliment. Opposition does not recognize the results and calls for protests. |
| 17 |  Chile's regional election: the moderate right made some gains, the left avoided a crushing defeat and the far-right, despite making some gains, fell short of expectations. |
| 25 |  One of Latin America’s strongest democracies, Uruguay, heads to a runoff between center-left and center-right, with the center-left at advantage |
| 18 |  Right and center-right (but not the far-right) win the city elections in Brazil, with Lula and Bolsonaro being the greatest losers of the election. |
| 10 | Trump promises to give anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. authority over health and food regulation, if re-elected: "I'm going to let him go wild on health. I'm going to let him go wild on the food. I'm going to let him go wild on the medicines." |
| 22 | Harris defends the CHIPS Act after Trump criticized it on Joe Rogan's podcast. The bipartisan Act is centered on federal investment into US computer chip manufacturing and scientific work. |
| 21 | Republicans are trying to apply the 'Lie about your opponents doing the thing you are trying to do' strategy with Project 2025 by making up and funding 'Progress 2028' |
| 19 |  Trump's Madison Square Garden event features crude and racist insults; That is to say, everything is Business As Usual. Update: Backlash from both Democrats and Republicans. |
| 17 |  In a blow to the new Prime Minister of Japan Shigeru Ishiba (LDP), who called for a snap election only a week after taking office, the coalition led by Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party has lost its majority in the lower house of the Diet for the first time in 15 years. |
| 23 |  Voters appear ready to reject Arizona’s abortion ‘compromise’. Arizonans are poised to handily reject the 15-week ban and add abortion protections to their state constitution, just as voters did in Michigan, Ohio and other red and purple states while facing six-week and near-total bans. |
| 12 |  Freedom Caucus leader Andy Harris suggests calling North Carolina's electoral votes for Trump before votes are even counted |
| 17 | Jeff Bezos, who owns The Washington Post, personally intervened to stop the paper from endorsing Kamala Harris. This comes shortly after the billionaire owner of The Los Angeles Times (Patrick Soon-Shiong) similarly blocked that paper from making an endorsement. |
| 22 | Stacey Williams alleges Donald Trump groped her in 1993, in a "twisted game" with Jeffrey Epstein, said to have introduced the two. Perhaps this is the "October surprise", though POLITICO gave that title to choice words recently made by some of Trump's former advisers. Update: Williams says Trump was one of three people Epstein mentioned the most often to her in the months she knew Epstein, with the other two being Les Wexner and Ghislaine Maxwell. |
| 16 | Trump cosplays as a McDonald's worker while dodging questions about minimum wage raises. At the same time, Harris took the opportunity to endorse a federal minimum wage increase. |
| 20 | "Central Park Five" sue Trump for defamation over his claims about them at the presidential election debate. |
| 26 |  A razor-thin majority (50.46%) of Moldovan citizens have voted in favor of a referendum that supported joining the European Union. Moldova's government accused Russia of interfering with the vote through methods like bribing people to vote "no". |
| 16 | Trump promises to abolish the Department of Education, and suggests defunding schools that teach students about slavery. At a separate appearance, a child asked him about his favorite presidents; he said Lincoln was one of his favorite presidents, but then criticized Lincoln for not "settling" with the South. |
| 11 | Recent reports on Elon Musk-funded super PACs: ~25% of the reported door-knocks from one may have been fake; the PACs are using contradictory micro-targeted advertising based on demographic; and they seem to be implicitly impersonating the Harris campaign in text messages. |
| 11 | Donald Trump thanks his most loyal followers. |
| 16 | Trump responds to an undecided voter about the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot: "Ashli Babbitt was killed, nobody was killed. … But that was a day of love". |
| 19 | Harris campaign proposes federal legalization of recreational marijuana. Her campaign tied this to plans for the black community, stating black men had "been over policed for marijuana use". |
| 11 | Trump giving mixed messaging on national abortion ban: "off the table" but also "we'll see what happens." He claims overturning Roe v. Wade was what "every Democrat and Republican wanted" and the "issue has been, in my opinion, largely defused" by the decision. |
| 11 | Elon Musk spent $74,950,000 on pro-Trump super PAC between 3 July and 5 September. |
| 6 | Fox News polling claims Harris could lose the popular vote yet win with the electoral college. |
| 10 | Kamala does an interview on Fox News to try and garner some more votes. It went as expected, with Fox News also playing deceptively edited footage of Trump's recent calls of Democrats being "the enemy within" that may need handling by the National Guard or military. |
| 23 | Former KKK leader David Duke has endorsed Green Party candidate Jill Stein, condemning Trump’s “subservience to Israel and to the Jewish lobby”. Her team rejected the endorsement. |
| 13 | Most economists polled by the Wall Street Journal (conducted Oct. 4th through 8th) predicted "inflation, interest rates and deficits" would be worse with policies proposed by Trump (68 percent of respondents) rather than those proposed by Harris (12 percent). |
| 18 | Vance: a 2nd Trump administration would cut any funding to Planned Parenthood. |
| 48 |  Democrats suspect Netanyahu is attempting to interfere in the 2024 US presidential election in Trump's favor. |
| 19 |  Trump calls for Israel to bomb Iran's nuclear power plants. And, Liz Cheney is a "low IQ War Hawk". |
| 19 |  Resurfaced 2022 post from Republican candidate for US Senate from Minnesota: "The bad guys won in WWII." |
| -18 |  Harris campaigning with Liz Cheney. |
| 24 |  Anti-trans advertising in Texas for the benefit of Ted Cruz's US Senate reelection campaign may be a relative waste of money for Republicans. At best it may mobilize a small part of the Republican voter base. |
September 2024
| 30 | Former Japanese defense minister Ishiba Shigeru has won the Liberal Democratic Party's leadership election, and he will become PM when the Diet convenes. Ishiba is seen as being on the more moderate side of his party, and he emphasizes the importance of military deterrence and partnership with the United States. He also supports legalizing same-sex marriage. |
| 19 | Leaked emails show pollster Rasmussen Reports coordinating directly with the Trump campaign. This was actually enough to finally get Nate Silver to label them as a Republican partisan source. |
| 9 | CBS released the rules for the VP debate, which will take place on 1 October at 9 PM Eastern Time. |
| 9 |  Far-right Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) projected to win a parliamentary plurality for the first time ever. The party had Nazi roots, and opposes aid to Ukraine, seeking "an axis of far right-wing actors in the European Union". |
| 9 | MP for Canterbury and notable TERF Rosie Duffield has quit Labour, and attacked the policies of the prime minister Keir Starmer. Note: she left the party for an actually good reason, that being Starmer's insistence on keeping the two child benefits cap and scrapping the winter fuel payment while accepting personal gifts worth tens of thousands of pounds. |
| -8 | Harris endorsed by Emgage, a large Muslim-American voter mobilization group. "While we do not agree with all of Harris' policies, particularly on the war on Gaza, we are approaching this election with both pragmatism and conviction." Many similar groups have simply made no endorsement either way. |
| 13 | The governing right-wing LDP has chosen defence hawk and moderate Ishiba Shigeru as its next leader. He would certainly replace the current prime minister Kishida Fumio who is standing down. |
| 16 | Ken Klippenstein (formerly of The Intercept) published the Trump campaign's internal vulnerability analysis on J. D. Vance. Major news organizations refused to publish it because it was allegedly obtained by an Iranian hacker (although the information within it is publicly verifiable, and often previously-reported). |
| 25 |  Election Fraud 2: Electric Boogaloo in Georgia as investigation reveals coordinated plot to swing the election in Trump's favor. |
| 19 |  Mayor of only Muslim-run city in the US endorses Donald "Muslim Ban" Trump for president. Note: this is the city and mayor that banned LGBT pride flags from public property. |
| 16 |  In Sri Lanka marxist Anura Kumara Dissanayake defeats incumbent neoliberal president Ranil Wickremesinghe. The country was under significant austerity measures from an IMF fund after the previous right-wing government ruined the economy. |
| 14 | Georgia's elections board voted 3-2 to require that all ballots in each precinct be counted by hand 3 times despite objections by state officials and poll workers. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, a Republican, had warned that a hand count would introduce the possibility of "error, lost or stolen ballots, and fraud". So be prepared: results from Georgia (a critical swing state) will take a long time to be finalized. |
| 18 | All of Mark Robinson's staff resign except a bodyguard and two spokespeople. Update: Apparently the mass resignations were influenced by the fact Robinson refused offers for internal investigation by IT specialists, despite his denial of the reports. IP logs unearthed by Politico have further indicated the accuracy of CNN's exposé, and National Republicans appear to have ceased ad buys for Robinson. |
| 24 |  Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democratic Party has narrowly defeated the far-right AfD in the closely-watched Brandenburg state elections. |
| 15 | A comparison of Harris and Trump on healthcare. |
| 11 | North Carolina GOP releases statement affirming support for Mark Robinson, reiterating his denial of the allegations, and denouncing Democrats for "trying to demonize him via personal attacks". The deadline for Robinson to drop out of the governor's race has passed. |
| 9 |  Republicans try to help Trump by proposing a change in how Nebraska allocates its currently-split electoral votes, so it would instead be a "winner takes all" system for the whole state. Update: The proposal is opposed by a key Republican state senator, meaning that it wouldn't pass a filibuster. |
| 29 | Online posts to a porn forum by Mark Robinson, the GOP's candidate for governor in North Carolina, have resurfaced in a CNN exposé. In these posts, Robinson calls himself a "black NAZI", describes "peeping" on women in gym showers, advocates bringing back slavery, and refers to MLK Jr. as "Martin Lucifer Koon". Update: Despite being the "family values" candidate, his email has also now been found on a site for people seeking to cheat on their spouses. |
| 20 | "Vote for Kamala Harris to Support Science, Health and the Environment: Kamala Harris has plans to improve health, boost the economy and mitigate climate change. Donald Trump has threats and a dangerous record" For only the second time in its 179-year history, Scientific American endorsed a presidential candidate; the previous time was for Joe Biden in 2020. |
| 26 | A YouGov poll from 12 September indicates that 52% of Republicans genuinely believe that Haitian immigrants are eating peoples' pets. |
| 16 | RFK Jr. placed under federal investigation for beheading a dead whale with a chainsaw. |
| 19 | Brazilian mayoral candidate for São Paulo (the largest city in the Americas) smashes political rival over the head with chair during a debate |
| 12 |  Trump "safe following gunshots in his vicinity." A suspect was detained near his Florida golf club and a long gun was recovered. According to initial reports "officials believe an armed individual intended to target Trump". |
| 19 | Financial Times: Harris maintains a small polling lead over Trump on the economy (44%/42%). The lead is especially strong among people who watched the debate, at a 48%/42% split. However, perhaps contradicting themselves, "voters still believed that they would be better off financially if Trump were re-elected" (40%/35%). They also saw Harris as better representing "people like them", while Trump was seen as representing large corporations and the wealthy. |
| 11 | Vance asked about Laura Loomer's racist comments towards Harris's Indian heritage, because Vance has an Indian-American wife. He responded "I don't like those comments … What Laura said about Kamala Harris is not what we should be focused on." |
| 31 | Project 2025 adviser and former Trump aide: "Can someone track down the women Kamala Harris says are bleeding out in parking lots because Roe v Wade was overturned?" This was in reference to something she said at the debate. In response, thousands of women gave him their stories. (Illustrative of why the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists says: "Without question, abortion can be medically necessary.") |
| 1 |  Pope Francis encourages Catholics to vote in the American presidential election, but makes no endorsement other than "the lesser evil". With this he also made anti-abortion and pro-immigrant comments. |
| 22 |  Utah judge voids ballot initiative that, if passed, would have allowed the legislature to repeal all passed ballot initiatives. |
| 47 | Jill Stein leads Kamala Harris among Muslim voters in several swing states. |
| 25 | Feds increased security for 6 January 2025 in the hopes of avoiding another attack. Better late than never. |
| 23 | Laura Loomer, a self-identified white nationalist, accompanied Trump to the debate. She recently ate dog food, and has made comments about Kamala Harris's race. You may also remember she handcuffed herself to Twitter's NYC headquarters in 2018. |
| -27 | Taylor Swift, one of the popular celebrities currently, has come out on Instagram as a supporter of Kamala Harris with a photo of her with a cat. Update: Trump responded: "she'll probably pay a price for it in the marketplace." The U.S. General Services Administration reported that by 2 PM EST on 9/11/24, Swift's custom Vote.gov URL in her endorsement post had sent 337,826 visitors to the site. |
| 10 | The presidential debate is still set for 9 PM Eastern Standard Time on September 10. |
| 14 | Jeffrey Epstein's lawyer, Alan Dershowitz, leaves the Democrats. Well, they had to balance out gaining Cheney somehow. |
| -18 | Former VP and Dark Lord of the Sith Dick Cheney will vote for Kamala Harris, according to his daughter Liz, who lost her seat in Congress for voting to impeach Trump. Liz has also endorsed Colin Allred in his race to unseat Ted Cruz. Update: Dick has released a statement: "There has never been an individual who is a greater threat to our republic than Donald Trump... As citizens, we each have a duty to put country above partisanship to defend our Constitution. That is why I will be casting my vote for Vice President Kamala Harris." |
| 25 | A convicted murderer who Trump released from prison is convicted in Florida for choking his wife, and he isn't the first Trump pardon/clemency recipient to be a recidivist. Meantime, Trump is set to speak in North Carolina to the Fraternal Order of Police, to present himself as tough on crime. The group endorsed him in 2020. |
| 19 |  Canada's New Democratic Party has ended its parliamentary support for PM Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party, raising the risk that Trudeau could suffer a no-confidence vote. |
| 19 | Goldman Sachs projects a Harris presidency, paired with Democratic control of Congress, would have better net impact on US economy than a second Trump term (whether or not the Republicans controlled Congress, Goldman Sachs projected a net negative impact for a second Trump term). |
| 18 | Trump considers appointing Elon Musk to a "government efficiency" commission if re-elected. |
| -6 | From 2019: Kamala Harris allegedly actively covered up sexual abuse scandals within the Catholic Church when she was San Francisco's District Attorney. Just when things were starting to look up for this election... |
| 13 | AfD has a historic victory in the eastern state of Thuringia, becoming first far-right party to win German state election since the original Nazis. They also had a strong performance in Saxony. The far-left BSW, a fledgling vatnik party that shares AfD's anti-immigration sentiment, came in third in both states. |
| 9 | Trump endorses Florida ballot initiative for recreational marijuana legalization, if "done correctly". (See: the initiative's Ballotpedia entry, which notes Ron DeSantis is an opponent of the initiative.) |
| 16 | RFK Jr. is suing North Carolina to get his name off the ballot after the state's election board refused to do it. The lawsuit says the state "irreparably harmed" Mr. Kennedy. |
August 2024
| 12 | Trump says he'll vote against Florida Amendment 4, a.k.a. the Amendment to Limit Government Interference with Abortion, a ballot initiative that would amend the state constitution to protect abortion rights prior to fetal viability and in exceptional cases. (See: the initiative's entry on Ballotpedia.) |
| 19 | Penn Wharton Budget Model analyses, per Axios: "Keeping Trump's campaign promises would increase the national debt by $5.8 trillion over 10 years, while Harris' would cost $1.2 trillion." |
| 11 |  Trump's golf club hosting "J6 Awards Gala" fundraiser for people accused of rioting or storming the US Capitol. |
| 19 | Republican candidate for US Senate won't seek votes from suburban women, says it's "delusional" and "cucked". |
| 18 | It is too late for RFK Jr. to remove himself from the ballot in Michigan, Nevada, and possibly North Carolina and Wisconsin. Update: Wisconsin will also keep RFK on the ballot. |
| 15 | Utah's state legislature is asking voters to approve a ballot initiative that would allow the legislature to overturn ballot initiatives. |
| 19 | National Federation of Republican Assemblies claims Harris is ineligible to run for President, cites overturned 1800s Supreme Court decision as evidence. The case, Dred Scott v. Sandford, reinforced the legality of slavery at the time and ruled black people had no constitutional rights. Most of the news stories don't seem to cite the original document but rather an unreliable screen capture. The original document is here.[1] The Dred Scott resolution is on page 37. Wikipedia softpedals this group as "conservative", which they might have been once. The document shows that they are clearly under the umbrella of white Christian nationalism (page 15). |
| 9 | RFK Jr. has dropped out of the Presidential election, and has endorsed Trump. |
| 15 | RFK Jr.'s running mate Nicole Shanahan says their campaign has two options: Drop out and endorse Trump or risk Harris win |
| 17 |  Ballot initative to protect abortion rights in Montana approved for November ballot |
| 4 | Republicans are attempting to suppress voting rights in Arizona by claiming thousands of voters can only vote in congressional elections |
| 4 | Trump claims to have "like 93 percent" support in nonexistent polls, then asks: "Why are we having an election?" |
| 2 | Republican operatives are pushing to get Cornel West on ballots in swing states. In one incident, in Arizona, somebody allegedly forged a woman's signature to sign her up as an elector for West. (A candidate requires enough willing electors to be on the ballot there.) |
| 11 | Trump posts AI deepfake images of Taylor Swift endorsing him on the platform Truth Social. |
| 20 | Frank Luntz: "(Harris is) bringing out people who are not interested in voting for either Trump or Biden. So the entire electoral pool has changed … I'm trying to do a focus group tonight with undecided voters under the age of 27 for a major news outlet. And I can't recruit young women to this, because they don't exist as undecided voters. … (Trump is) committing political suicide." |
| 14 | J. D. Vance gets possessed by a Know Nothing ghost, blames crime in the 1800s on Irish, German, and Italian immigrants. He cites a fictional movie he watched as evidence. The movie was Gangs of New York (2002), if you were curious. |
| 15 | News media outlets opt not to publish internal Trump campaign materials leaked to them by a hacker. |
| 10 | Trump gushes about giving a GOP megadonor the civilian Presidential Medal of Freedom, says it's a better award than the Medal of Honor granted to injured or dead soldiers. Update: Trump's comments called "asinine" by the Veterans of Foreign Wars. |
| 23 | Teamsters President who spoke at RNC flips on Trump, says his newly stated support for firing striking workers is "economic terrorism". Additionally, the United Auto Workers are suing Trump and Musk for their comments, alleging "attempts to threaten and intimidate workers." |
| 16 |  Missouri will also have a ballot initiative about abortion. Initiatives in Montana, Nebraska, and Arkansas are under legal review and may or may not appear on ballots. |
| 18 | Measure to restore abortion rights in Arizona will be on November ballot. |
| 19 | Trump now using Jeffrey Epstein's jet to fly to events. |
| 26 |  In an echo of the previous tech disaster when Twitter hosted Ron DeSantis's campaign launch last year, Elon Musk's much-hyped interview with Donald Trump on Twitter crashed immediately at the start and was delayed one hour due to technical glitches. Musk blamed a DDOS cyberattack for the tech disaster, but company sources told The Verge that Musk was lying. |
| 15 | Three incumbent extremist Republicans lose in Ottawa County, Michigan primary: After two years of far-right rule in a Michigan county, one chance to change it |
| 23 | Trump campaign hacked, internal communications leaked. |
| 20 | Trump now agrees to a debate with Harris hosted by ABC News. At time of writing, it's scheduled for September 10. |
| 15 | Trump goes after podcaster Joe Rogan for praising RFK Jr. (Rogan endorsed Bernie Sanders in 2020 but later said he'd "rather vote for Trump than Biden".) |
| 12 | JD Vance tries to stalk Kamala Harris to an airport for some reason, doesn't find her there. |
| 20 | Project 2025 leader Kevin Roberts gives the game away like the idiot he is: "Trump is claiming to distance himself from us so he can win an election but our relationship is very good." |
| 16 | Batshit crazy Valentina Gomez gets utterly annihilated in the Republican primary for Missouri's Secretary of State |
| 13 | Progressive Rep. Cori Bush has lost her primary race, making her the second "Squad" member to lose her seat after Jamaal Bowman of New York. AIPAC spent $9 million to help defeat her. |
| 33 | Kamala Harris's running mate choice is Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota. |
| 11 | RFK Jr. admits to dumping a bear carcass on Central Park a decade ago |
| 16 |  Sen. John Fetterman is urging Harris not to choose Josh Shapiro as her VP, citing his belief that Shapiro is too focused on his own ambitions. He also referenced arguments between the two during their time serving together on the Pennsylvania Board of Pardons, as Shapiro had opposed Fetterman's attempts at reforming the system to provide more second chances for convicts. |
| 4 | Trump says he would debate Harris, but only if Fox News moderates the debate. |
| 18 | Josh Shapiro, the popular governor of Pennsylvania who's on Harris's VP shortlist, now on the defensive after revelations that he once wrote in a 1993 op-ed that: "Palestinians will not coexist peacefully... They are too battle-minded to be able to establish a peaceful homeland of their own." He already has a lot of baggage on the Israel-Palestine issue, making many Democrats think twice about having him on the 2024 ticket. |
July 2024
| 18 |  Under pressure both inside and outside his country, Maduro asked the country's Supreme Court to audit the presidential election. Don't expect anything to happen though. The judiciary of Venezuela is extremely corrupt and basically works as a branch of Maduro's dictatorship. |
| 22 | Harris has received endorsements mayors and officials from various border cities in the critical swing state of Arizona. She also received an endorsement from the Republican mayor of Mesa, one of Arizona's most conservative cities. |
| 8 | Election authorities declare Maduro winner of disputed election, despite consistent polls predicting a landslide victory for González and an exit poll indicating that González was ahead 65% to 31%. |
| 7 | Harris raises $200 million in first week, signs on 170,000 campaign volunteers. |
| 8 | A felon convicted of planting a severed finger in her Wendy's fast food and then suing the company was quoted in The New York Times as changing her vote from Democrats to Trump — She must have heard of Trump's fondness for Hannibal Lecter! |
| 11 | Donald Trump pitches Dominionism and theocracy to a Turning Point USA "believers" summit: "Christians, get out and vote, just this time...In four years, you don’t have to vote again, we’ll have it fixed so good you’re not going to have to vote" |
| 8 | Trump: "If they do 'assassinate President Trump,' which is always a possibility, I hope that America obliterates Iran, wipes it off the face of the Earth — If that does not happen, American Leaders will be considered 'gutless' cowards!" |
| 11 | RFK Jr. proposes sending "drug addicts" to "wellness farms" funded by marijuana taxes, where they would grow organic food and not be allowed to use cell phones. Other than people addicted to illegal drugs, people taking antidepressants or ADHD medications could be sent to the farms "if they want to", he adds. |
| 16 | "Harris poised to make abortion rights a centerpiece of campaign". |
| 17 | Trump's running mate, J. D. Vance, writes the foreword for a new book about a "Second American Revolution", by Project 2025 leader Kevin Roberts. In case you needed further proof there's absolutely no connection between Project 2025 and the Trump campaign. |
| 12 | March For Our Lives, a youth-led gun control group, makes its first political endorsement, for Kamala Harris. |
| 3 | Israeli government minister Itamar Ben-Gvir endorses Trump: "I believe that with Trump Israel will receive the backing to act against Iran". |
| 12 | Biden to give an Oval Office address on July 24 about his decision to drop out of the presidential race. |
| 12 | Wall Street Journal says Kamala Harris would change course on Israel/Palestine policy. "Key Biden appointees, including national security adviser Jake Sullivan, Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin wouldn't likely be extended in their current roles, current and former officials say." (OTOH...) |
| 12 | Trump calls Biden a "threat to democracy". This was after Biden stepped down from his candidacy. |
| 14 | Harris has support from enough delegates to win the Democratic nomination. |
| 17 | After a brief consideration, Joe Manchin has decided again that he won’t make a presidential bid during the DNC, won’t accept VP either. This eliminates another potential convention challenger against Harris. |
| 13 | Several key members of the Democratic Party have put their support for Harris as the presidential nominee. This includes; Nancy Pelosi, Bill & Hillary Clinton, Gretchen Whitmer, Pete Buttigieg, Elizabeth Warren, Gavin Newsom & JB Pritzker |
| 36 | Joe Biden has officially announced he's dropping out of the presidential race. He endorses Kamala Harris. |
| 16 | Trump calls up RFK Jr. to agree with his anti-vax rhetoric in leaked video. |
| 9 | Growing rumours that former home secretary Suella Braverman may defect to Reform UK, if she doesn't get the numbers to be in the running for Tory leader. |
| 16 | J. D. Vance accidentally leaves his Venmo friends list public, revealing his links to far-right activists. One example was "Amelia Halikias, the government relations director at the Heritage Foundation, the conservative think tank behind Project 2025." (The Heritage Foundation's Kevin Roberts recently stated that the group pushed for Trump to select Vance as his running mate.) Andrew Torba of Gab also claims to "have plenty of people in his orbit." |
| 17 | More rumors Biden could drop out and be replaced. Comes as congressional Democrat leaders push him to do so, and he was diagnosed with COVID-19. |
| 19 | Unearthed audio from 2022: J. D. Vance called for a national abortion ban. |
| 11 | AFL-CIO response to Trump's running mate announcement. Similarly, the SEIU wasn't so hot on Vance as the Teamsters leader who spoke at the RNC. Update: Now dissent within the Teamsters union as well... |
| 9 | Trump VP pick J. D. Vance states his support for devaluing the US dollar to "make it easier to export" products. |
| 5 | J. D. Vance is announced as Trump's VP running mate in the 2024 election. |
| 11 | Elon Musk now a Trump donor. Update: Musk will reportedly donate ~$45 million every month to a super PAC supporting Trump. |
| 20 | Here is the list of prominent Democrats who have so far called for Biden to step down. |
| 12 | Biden regains in some battleground state polls. |
| 20 |  Arkansas may have enough signatures for a ballot initiative asking voters about abortion rights. Abortion related ballot initiatives will be posed in several other states including Nevada, Colorado, Florida, etc. (If you live in a state with ballot questions, it's worth finding out yourself which ones will be asked — far too many for this page to keep track of.) |
| 18 | Polls suggest a ballot initiative to legalize recreational marijuana in Florida may meet the 60% approval threshold. |
| 2 | Northern Irish Loyalist Jim Allister has said he would take the Reform whip as well as his TUV whip, boosting the Reform party's number to 6 MPs. This would mean Farage getting extra help from the Commons in terms of Short Money. |
| 26 |  Final round of voting in France appears to result in a hung parliament. The left-wing alliance seem to have the most seats, then the macronists, then the far-right taking third place despite polls indicating they would win. |
| 4 | Nigel Farage is an MP now, although his Reform UK Party fell short of the 13 seats projected in the exit poll, winning only 5. |
| 29 | Labour have won the 2024 U.K. general election and received 412 seats. Keir Starmer is your next Prime Minister. |
| 33 | George Galloway has lost his seat to Labour. He held this seat for three months. |
| 34 | Jacob Rees-Mogg has lost his seat to Labour. |
| 39 | Former Prime Minister Liz Truss loses her seat to Labour |
| 22 | Jeremy Corbyn wins reelection as an independent |
| 23 | Polls close in the 2024 UK general election. Exit polls predict a landslide for Keir Starmer's Labour Party. Labour is projected to win 410 seats, whilst Rishi Sunak's Conservatives are on 131. It will be several hours until the real result is confirmed. UPDATE: Labour wins majority |
| 2 | Proving once and for all that he's not Tony Blair's clone, Keir Starmer won an endorsement for Labour from The Sun. (Incidentally, The Economist as well.) |
| 8 | Following the first debate, there was initial talk of replacing Biden on the ticket. It could have been shrugged off but now seems to have congealed into ideas of replacing him with Kamala Harris (which bizarrely spawned a meme about coconut trees). Whether that bears out or remains a flash in the pan, who knows. Biden himself says it won't happen. He held a meeting with Democratic state governors. |
| 5 | A week after the US presidential debate, it's safe to say Trump has generally gotten a boost in the polls. |
June 2024
| 7 | National Rally (RN) won the first round of voting in France by a projected few points (~33%). The leftist New Popular Front (NFP) coalition won second place (~28%), the centrists third place (~21%), conservatives fourth (~10%). Many runoff elections on 7 July are expected, and likely to produce a hung parliament. |
| 21 |  A ballot question to enshrine abortion rights in the Nevada state constitution has met all of the requirements to go forward in November's election. |
| 17 | Biden debated poorly, then bizarrely enough woke up after leaving the debate. (Drugs must have kicked in late.) Oh and Trump called him a Palestinian, why not. |
| 15 | Trump shows everyone his climate change talking-points ahead of the first presidential debate, because he's well known for being able to keep information classified. The notes are apparently written by a coal industry lobbyist, Andrew R. Wheeler. |
| 10 | Last hope for Tories is to get in a spat with Doctor Who actor David Tennant about LGBT rights, and spam the word "tax" on Twitter. Only the best campaign strategy racist money can buy. |
| 14 | Satirical character Count Binface challenges PM Sunak in parliament. A recent survey showed Sunak holding just a four-percentage-point lead over Binface in favorability; Binface, in turn, polled more favorably than former prime minister Liz Truss. |
| 7 | Rep. Jamaal Bowman has been unseated by conservative Democrat George Latimer in NY-16. |
| 18 | Trump campaign is confident enough that they will now be investing resources into Virginia and Minnesota. In some months we get to find out whether that's Clinton-style hubris or not. |
| 17 | Moody's Analytics compares Trump and Biden's economic plans, rates Biden's as better, and says Trump's would "trigger a recession by mid-2025". |
| 18 | Trump has announced that on day 1 of his potential presidency he would ban funding for trans-supportive schools. |
| 16 | "UK polls point to 'electoral extinction' for Prime Minister Sunak's Conservatives". However, these three polls don't currently find Reform UK "overtaking" the Conservative Party, or reaching a dead heat with them, as some other data may have suggested. |
| 7 |  ANC and DA secure coalition government; Cyril Ramaphosa to remain president. |
| 2 | A second poll has pointed that the Conservatives could come in third, and the centrist Lib Dems could overtake as the official opposition. |
| 17 | Due to the poor performance of Macron's Renaissance party in the European parliamentary elections, he has dissolved the Assemblée Nationale and launched fresh parliamentary elections. |
| 6 | Anthony Mack, who was originally the planned Reform UK candidate for Clacton, is now standing as an independent, after he was forced out by Farage. |
| 5 |  Prime Minister Narendra Modi has secured enough support to form a government and lead the country for a third term despite his party losing over 60 seats and its majority. |
| 19 | Early results in India's election indicate that the landslide predicted by polls for the Bharatiya Janata Party has not materialized. Instead, the party appears to have lost more than 60 seats, pushing them below the majority. Although it is likely that Narendra Modi will remain in power with the help of coalition partners, the result is seen by many as a serious blow for Modi and the BJP, especially given the authoritarian tactics Modi used in the election campaign (such as jailing political opponents and freezing opposition party bank accounts). |
| 9 | Nigel Farage is running for Reform UK in the U.K. general election. |
| 16 |  Claudia Sheinbaum of the ruling left-wing party has been elected as Mexico's first female president. |
| 26 | Polls after his felony convictions show possible problems for Trump as some registered Republicans say they're less likely to vote for him, and half of registered independents want him to drop out of the presidential race entirely. |
| 19 | ANC loses majority in General Election; ending an era of sole rule since 1994. |
May 2024
| 13 | The Libertarian Party has selected Chase Oliver as their presidential nominee. Chase is notable for being gay and against the government banning elements of queer lifestyles, as well as forwardly saying that Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip constitute a genocide and calling for a ceasefire. The guy's a libertarian, so his economic policies probably aren't great, but he is an actual libertarian, and not a Mises Caucus "libertarian". |
| 12 |  Incumbent Lithuanian President Nausėda wins re-election in a massive landslide, getting over 74% of the votes cast. |
| 32 | Prime Minister Rishi Sunak calls a general election for Thursday 4th July |
| 33 | Trump praises fictional serial killer Hannibal Lecter during rally speech while going on a nativist rant about undocumented immigrants |
| 22 | Sadiq Khan has won his third term as mayor of London, beating Trump wannabe Susan Hall. |
| 28 | 
KJK frequently says “I never lose.”, but her Party of Women has flopped in the local elections. Three of the five candidates came last, one came fourth and one third with just 161 votes. On the other hand, the anti-TERF feminist Women's Equality Party has gained its first councillor in the borough of Basingstoke and Deane. |
| 23 | Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party suffers heavy losses at the local council elections, with all other parties (and independents) maiking significant gains. Well, except the astroturfed and over-covered Reform UK which only collected a minibus worth of councillors. |
April 2024
| 22 | Nikki Haley wins 17 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania's Republican presidential primary despite dropping out over a month prior. |
| 22 | US voters rate Biden better on economy than previous months in a couple recent polls. Trump still has about a six or seven percent advantage on the issue. |
| 16 | Polling has revealed that the turning point when voters change from being a Labour to a Conservative voter has gone up from 39 to 70. Meaning that the only big supporters for the Tories are pensioners. |
| 14 | Meet the people spending $800,000 or more to make Trump the next president |
| 26 |  South Korea's liberal opposition party has trounced the conservative ruling party in a recent parliamentary election. |
| 40 |  Turkey's main opposition party is closing in on victory in the main cities of Istanbul and Ankara |
March 2024
| 18 |  Bassirou Diomaye Faye has been elected as President of Senegal. He's also Africa's youngest president ever. |
| 3 | Jonathan Gullis has been appointed as deputy chairman of the Conservatives. |
| 7 |  Higher Education minister Simon Harris has been been elected unopposed in the Fine Gael's ardfheis [party conference] as the party's new leader. He would be the next taoiseach [prime minister] on the 9th April. |
| 17 | Bob Menendez announces he will not seek reelection. |
| 8 |  In a shocking turn of events, Vladimir Putin wins another presidential election which, according to independent reporting, had nearly 32 million fake votes, and along with Ukrainian citizens in Russian-occupied territories being forced to vote at gunpoint. |
| 17 | Ireland overwhelmingly rejects proposed constitutional amendments via two referendums. The proposed changes would have removed language in the constitution that defines a family in terms of "marriage" and references women's "duties in the home". Voter turnout was lower than expected, and reportedly the "Yes" campaign had "confusing" messaging, both of which may have helped contribute to the result. |
| 16 |  Center-right Democratic Alliance claims a narrow victory over the governing Socialists. The far-right party Chega ("Enough!" in Portuguese) saw large gains, nearly tripling its vote share and winning 48 seats in Parliament, but according to the Democratic Alliance leader Luís Montenegro they will not rely on Chega to govern. |
| 11 | Former deputy chairman of the Conservatives Lee Anderson has defected to populist far-right Reform UK. |
| 18 | Trump, looking for a way out of his financial troubles to help with his campaign, has gone to Elon Musk, who'd certainly be able to erase his financial worries. Elon has said he doesn't plan on donating to any candidate. |
| 8 | Mark Robinson has won the North Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary. The guy is very far-right, a Holocaust denier, and may actually be a Moon landing denier. |
| 17 | Biden's State of the Union address fueled his best fundraising day out of any since he announced his 2024 campaign. |
| 16 | RFK Jr. defends his association with Jeffrey Epstein by listing other alleged or convicted criminals he associated with. "I mean, I knew Harvey Weinstein. I knew Roger Ailes. I knew—OJ Simpson came to my house. Bill Cosby came to my house." |
| 11 | Another one bites the dust, with former Prime Minister Theresa May said she is to stand down as the MP for Maidenhead at the next general election. |
| 16 | Dean Phillips drops out, endorses Biden. |
| 11 | (Or not.) Nikki Haley expected to drop out of presidential race on March 6. Update: It’s official. |
| 12 |  We're so back, Haleybros: Nikki narrowly wins the Vermont Republican primary. |
| 16 |  In an upset, Joe Biden loses the American Samoa Democratic Primary to someone you've likely never heard of, Jason Palmer (who didn't even have a Wikipedia page before this happened). This also makes Biden the first incumbent president to lose a primary contest since Jimmy Carter in 1980. |
| 26 | Kyrsten Sinema is not running for reelection. |
| 13 | Polling by Ipsos for the Evening Standard has put the Conservatives approval rating at just 20%, the lowest rating they have had in an Ipsos poll since 1978. Sunak has also seen his rating as Prime Minister reach a record low of 73 percent dissatisfied, 19 percent satisfied, giving a net score of -54. |
| 25 | The Supreme Court voted 9-0 to keep Donald Trump on the ballots. Are you even surprised? |
| 3 |  Shehbaz Sharif has been appointed the new Prime Minister of Pakistan. |
February 2024
| 5 | ‘Gorgeous’ George Galloway returns to Parliament after winning a chaotic by-election. |
| 2 | Ryan Binkley has dropped out of the race. |
| 7 | Marianne Williamson unsuspends her presidential campaign three weeks after she dropped out. |
| 20 |  Mitch McConnell is officially stepping down as Republican Senate leader in November. |
| 7 |  Feleti Teo has been appointed the prime minister of Tuvalu. |
| 14 |  Koch brothers network pulls the plug on contributions to Haley's campaign after loss in South Carolina. |
| -15 | Donald Trump wins the South Carolina primary. |
| 23 | Wisconsin governor Tony Evers signs new legislative maps, replacing the old gerrymandered ones drawn by Republicans. |
| 24 |  After months of speculation, Senator Joe Manchin says he will not run for president in 2024 as a third-party or independent candidate. |
| 21 | Protests have erupted in Pakistan over election rigging and military interference. |
| 18 | The Conservatives lose 2 more ‘safe’ parliamentary seats to the Labour Party in by-elections. |
| 8 |  The far-right Bethany Mandel is running for the Board of Education in deep blue Montgomery County, Maryland. |
| 26 | Democrats pick up one seat in the House of Representatives, where Republicans are a majority only by a razor-thin margin. This was a special election triggered by the expulsion of George Santos from the chamber. |
| -7 | Following Irakli Garibashvili's resignation, Irakli Kobakhidze has been approved as the new prime minister. |
| 5 |  Centre-right former prime minister Alexander Stubb has won narrowly against Green candidate Pekka Haavisto, to be the next president of Finland. |
| 15 | Marianne Williamson has suspended her 2024 presidential campaign. |
| 10 | Biden projected to win Nevada's Democratic presidential primary with something like 90% of the vote. |
| 15 | Nikki Haley is projected to lose to the option "None of these candidates" in the symbolic Nevada primary, the first ever candidate from either party to do so. Trump did not appear on the ballot, instead focusing on the Nevada caucus, which actually awards delegates. |
| 10 | Biden won the South Carolina primary with 96 percent of the vote. |
| 6 |  El Salvador's Bukele re-elected as president in landslide win. His New Ideas party is expected to win almost all of the 60 seats in the legislative body, which means Bukele will wield unprecedented power and be able to overhaul El Salvador's constitution, something that his opponents fear will result in scrapping of term limits. |
| 3 | A nationalist SDLP MLA has lost his whip (party affiliation) after he left early during a historic meeting of the Northern Irish Assembly, so he could participate in a GAA football match as a team manager. |
| 25 | Florida will vote, via a ballot initiative this year on whether to add abortion rights to its state constitution. Similar measures have succeeded in deeply red-leaning states like Kansas and Ohio, so one may expect this to succeed. |
January 2024
| -11 | Proposed bill would give the Arizona legislature the authority to override the popular vote. |
| 13 | A former cabinet minister leads a plot among UK's Tories to oust Rishi Sunak as party leader before the next election. |
| 14 | Trump: anybody who donates to Nikki Haley "will be permanently banned from the MAGA camp." |
| 6 |  Donald Trump wins the New Hampshire Republican primary. Joe Biden also won the Democratic primary despite only being a write-in candidate. |
| 4 |  Azali Assoumani is elected as President of the Comoros for the 4th time. |
| 11 | One Pennsylvania state poll has Biden doing decently, per a pollster FiveThirtyEight rates "B+". Polls for the general presidential election have been somewhat mixed recently. |
| 34 | Ron DeSantis drops out of the Republican primary. |
| 26 | Support for Japan's ruling LDP has plummeted to 14.6%, some of the worst numbers in the party's entire history. |
| 18 |  Bernardo Arévalo is inaugurated as president of Guatemala after many delays. |
| 9 | RFK Jr. traveled to Atlanta (MLK Jr's birthplace) for a campaign event the day before Martin Luther King Jr Day. There, he defended the JFK administration wiretapping MLK Jr with authorization from RFK: "My father gave permission to Hoover to wiretap them so he could prove that his suspicions about King were either right or wrong... they had to do it." |
| 25 | Vivek Ramaswamy drops out of the presidential race. |
| -3 | Donald Trump wins Iowa caucuses. |
| 32 |  William Lai wins the presidential election in Taiwan, which is likely to anger China. |
| 23 |  Rhode Island election officials found the names of several dead people on nomination papers for Vivek Ramaswamy. |
| 16 | John Anthony Castro, the man who filed 33 suits challenging the 2020 US presidential election results, is now the second GOP presidential hopeful to be indicted. Say what you want about the Dems currently on the ballot, but it seems that none of the Dems currently running for POTUS have been criminally indicted. Or, in other words: business as usual in the party of corruption. |
| 2 | Osborne has hinted the date of general election being 14th November 2024, after he said a little birdie in Sunak's government told him. |
| 9 | Chris Christie drops out of the 2024 presidential race. |
| 14 | Former pensions secretary Chris Skidmore has resigned as a MP due to Sunak's backtracking on his green pledges, while another Conservative MP is being investigated over allegedly breaking parliamentary rules by using taxpayer money to fund Conservative Party work. |
| 8 | Andrew Bridgen has left Laurence Fox's Reclaim Party and withdrawn the party whip, allegedly because of "difference in the direction of the party". |
| 16 |  Trump refuses to sign decades-old Illinois ballot agreement in which he would pledge not to "advocate the overthrow of the government". |
| 7 |  The Supreme Court will decide if Trump can appear on the Colorado ballot. |
| 14 | Vivek Ramaswamy has sold stock worth 33 million in preparation for "significant investment" in his bid for the GOP nomination. |
| 9 | Sunak has ruled out a May 2024 general election, but hinted at an election in the latter half of 2024. Election experts point to an October 2024 election. |
| 11 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s campaign has hired noted anti-vaxxer Del Bigtree as communications director. |