RationalWiki:What is going on with the elections?

From RationalWiki
(Redirected from WIGOE)
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Icon politics.svg Keep up to date with all the polls, propaganda, lies, and statistics surrounding the world's elections here. The most popular entries are found at Best of the elections and the older entries are found in the archives.

What is going on?

(talk) (talk) (talk) (talk) (hic)
Oh no, they're talking about
Politics
Icon politics.svg
Theory
Practice
Philosophies
Terms
As usual
Country sections
United States politics British politics Canadian politics Chinese politics French politics Indian politics Iranian politics Israeli politics Japanese politics South Korean politics

June 2024

upneutraldown
9United Kingdom "UK polls point to 'electoral extinction' for Prime Minister Sunak's Conservatives". However, these three polls don't currently find Reform UK "overtaking" the Conservative Party, or reaching a dead heat with them, as some other data may have suggested.
upneutraldown
5South Africa ANC and DA secure coalition government; Cyril Ramaphosa to remain president.
upneutraldown
3United Kingdom A second poll has pointed that the Conservatives could come in third, and the centrist Lib Dems could overtake as the official opposition.
upneutraldown
12France Due to the poor performance of Macron's Renaissance party in the European parliamentary elections, he has dissolved the Assemblée Nationale and launched fresh parliamentary elections.
upneutraldown
4United Kingdom Anthony Mack, who was originally the planned Reform UK candidate for Clacton, is now standing as an independent, after he was forced out by Farage.
upneutraldown
7India Prime Minister Narendra Modi has secured enough support to form a government and lead the country for a third term despite his party losing over 60 seats and its majority.
upneutraldown
17India Early results in India's election indicate that the landslide predicted by polls for the Bharatiya Janata Party has not materialized. Instead, the party appears to have lost more than 60 seats, pushing them below the majority. Although it is likely that Narendra Modi will remain in power with the help of coalition partners, the result is seen by many as a serious blow for Modi and the BJP, especially given the authoritarian tactics Modi used in the election campaign (such as jailing political opponents and freezing opposition party bank accounts).
upneutraldown
8United Kingdom Nigel Farage is running for Reform UK in the U.K. general election.
upneutraldown
15Mexico Claudia Sheinbaum of the ruling left-wing party has been elected as Mexico's first female president.
upneutraldown
25United States Polls after his felony convictions show possible problems for Trump as some registered Republicans say they're less likely to vote for him, and half of registered independents want him to drop out of the presidential race entirely.
upneutraldown
19South Africa ANC loses majority in General Election; ending an era of sole rule since 1994.

May 2024

upneutraldown
13United States The Libertarian Party has selected Chase Oliver as their presidential nominee. Chase is notable for being gay and against the government banning elements of queer lifestyles, as well as forwardly saying that Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip constitute a genocide and calling for a ceasefire. The guy's a libertarian, so his economic policies probably aren't great, but he is an actual libertarian,Wikipedia and not a Mises CaucusWikipedia "libertarian".
upneutraldown
12Lithuania Incumbent Lithuanian President Nausėda wins re-election in a massive landslide, getting over 74% of the votes cast.
upneutraldown
32United Kingdom Prime Minister Rishi Sunak calls a general election for Thursday 4th July
upneutraldown
33United States Trump praises fictional serial killer Hannibal Lecter during rally speech while going on a nativist rant about undocumented immigrants
upneutraldown
21United Kingdom Sadiq Khan has won his third term as mayor of London, beating Trump wannabe Susan Hall.Wikipedia
upneutraldown
28United KingdomTrans flag.svg KJK frequently says “I never lose.”, but her Party of Women has flopped in the local elections. Three of the five candidates came last, one came fourth and one third with just 161 votes. On the other hand, the anti-TERF feminist Women's Equality Party has gained its first councillor in the borough of Basingstoke and Deane.
upneutraldown
21United Kingdom Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party suffers heavy losses at the local council elections, with all other parties (and independents) maiking significant gains. Well, except the astroturfed and over-covered Reform UK which only collected a minibus worth of councillors.

April 2024

upneutraldown
22United StatesPennsylvania. Nikki Haley wins 17 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania's Republican presidential primary despite dropping out over a month prior.
upneutraldown
22United States US voters rate Biden better on economy than previous months in a couple recent polls. Trump still has about a six or seven percent advantage on the issue.
upneutraldown
15United Kingdom Polling has revealed that the turning point when voters change from being a Labour to a Conservative voter has gone up from 39 to 70. Meaning that the only big supporters for the Tories are pensioners.
upneutraldown
14United States Meet the people spending $800,000 or more to make Trump the next president
upneutraldown
26South Korea South Korea's liberal opposition party has trounced the conservative ruling party in a recent parliamentary election.
upneutraldown
39Turkey Turkey's main opposition party is closing in on victory in the main cities of Istanbul and Ankara

March 2024

upneutraldown
18Senegal Bassirou Diomaye Faye has been elected as President of Senegal. He's also Africa's youngest president ever.
upneutraldown
4United Kingdom Jonathan GullisWikipedia has been appointed as deputy chairman of the Conservatives.
upneutraldown
7Ireland Higher Education minister Simon Harris has been been elected unopposed in the Fine Gael's ardfheis [party conference] as the party's new leader. He would be the next taoiseach [prime minister] on the 9th April.
upneutraldown
17 United StatesNew Jersey. Bob Menendez announces he will not seek reelection.
upneutraldown
8Russia In a shocking turn of events, Vladimir Putin wins another presidential election which, according to independent reporting, had nearly 32 million fake votes, and along with Ukrainian citizens in Russian-occupied territories being forced to vote at gunpoint.
upneutraldown
17Ireland Ireland overwhelmingly rejects proposed constitutional amendments via two referendums. The proposed changes would have removed language in the constitution that defines a family in terms of "marriage" and references women's "duties in the home". Voter turnout was lower than expected, and reportedly the "Yes" campaign had "confusing" messaging, both of which may have helped contribute to the result.
upneutraldown
16Portugal Center-right Democratic Alliance claims a narrow victory over the governing Socialists. The far-right party Chega ("Enough!" in Portuguese) saw large gains, nearly tripling its vote share and winning 48 seats in Parliament, but according to the Democratic Alliance leader Luís Montenegro they will not rely on Chega to govern.
upneutraldown
11United Kingdom Former deputy chairman of the Conservatives Lee Anderson has defected to populist far-right Reform UK.
upneutraldown
18United States Trump, looking for a way out of his financial troubles to help with his campaign, has gone to Elon Musk, who'd certainly be able to erase his financial worries. Elon has said he doesn't plan on donating to any candidate.
upneutraldown
7United StatesNorth Carolina. Mark RobinsonWikipedia has won the North Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary. The guy is very far-right, a Holocaust denier, and may actually be a Moon landing denier.
upneutraldown
17United States Biden's State of the Union address fueled his best fundraising day out of any since he announced his 2024 campaign.
upneutraldown
16United States RFK Jr. defends his association with Jeffrey Epstein by listing other alleged or convicted criminals he associated with. "I mean, I knew Harvey Weinstein. I knew Roger Ailes. I knew—OJ Simpson came to my house. Bill Cosby came to my house."
upneutraldown
11United Kingdom Another one bites the dust, with former Prime Minister Theresa May said she is to stand down as the MP for Maidenhead at the next general election.
upneutraldown
16United States Dean Phillips drops out, endorses Biden.
upneutraldown
11United States (Or not.) Nikki Haley expected to drop out of presidential race on March 6. Update: It’s official.
upneutraldown
12United StatesVermont. We're so back, Haleybros: Nikki narrowly wins the Vermont Republican primary.
upneutraldown
16United StatesAmerican Samoa In an upset, Joe Biden loses the American Samoa Democratic Primary to someone you've likely never heard of, Jason PalmerWikipedia (who didn't even have a Wikipedia page before this happened). This also makes Biden the first incumbent president to lose a primary contest since Jimmy Carter in 1980.
upneutraldown
26United StatesArizona. Kyrsten Sinema is not running for reelection.
upneutraldown
13United Kingdom Polling by Ipsos for the Evening Standard has put the Conservatives approval rating at just 20%, the lowest rating they have had in an Ipsos poll since 1978. Sunak has also seen his rating as Prime Minister reach a record low of 73 percent dissatisfied, 19 percent satisfied, giving a net score of -54.
upneutraldown
25United States The Supreme Court voted 9-0 to keep Donald Trump on the ballots. Are you even surprised?
upneutraldown
2Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif has been appointed the new Prime Minister of Pakistan.

February 2024

upneutraldown
5United Kingdom ‘Gorgeous’ George Galloway returns to Parliament after winning a chaotic by-election.
upneutraldown
2United States Ryan Binkley has dropped out of the race.
upneutraldown
7United States Marianne Williamson unsuspends her presidential campaign three weeks after she dropped out.
upneutraldown
20United StatesKentucky. Mitch McConnell is officially stepping down as Republican Senate leader in November.
upneutraldown
7Tuvalu Feleti Teo has been appointed the prime minister of Tuvalu.
upneutraldown
14United StatesSouth Carolina. Koch brothers network pulls the plug on contributions to Haley's campaign after loss in South Carolina.
upneutraldown
-15United StatesSouth Carolina. Donald Trump wins the South Carolina primary.
upneutraldown
23United StatesWisconsin. Wisconsin governor Tony Evers signs new legislative maps, replacing the old gerrymandered ones drawn by Republicans.
upneutraldown
24United StatesWest Virginia. After months of speculation, Senator Joe Manchin says he will not run for president in 2024 as a third-party or independent candidate.
upneutraldown
21Pakistan Protests have erupted in Pakistan over election rigging and military interference.
upneutraldown
18United Kingdom The Conservatives lose 2 more ‘safe’ parliamentary seats to the Labour Party in by-elections.
upneutraldown
8United StatesMaryland. The far-right Bethany Mandel is running for the Board of Education in deep blue Montgomery County, Maryland.
upneutraldown
26United StatesNew York. Democrats pick up one seat in the House of Representatives, where Republicans are a majority only by a razor-thin margin. This was a special election triggered by the expulsion of George Santos from the chamber.
upneutraldown
-7Georgia Following Irakli Garibashvili's resignation, Irakli Kobakhidze has been approved as the new prime minister.
upneutraldown
5Finland Centre-right former prime minister Alexander Stubb has won narrowly against Green candidate Pekka Haavisto, to be the next president of Finland.
upneutraldown
15United StatesCalifornia. Marianne Williamson has suspended her 2024 presidential campaign.
upneutraldown
10United StatesNevada. Biden projected to win Nevada's Democratic presidential primary with something like 90% of the vote.
upneutraldown
15United StatesNevada. Nikki Haley is projected to lose to the option "None of these candidates" in the symbolic Nevada primary, the first ever candidate from either party to do so. Trump did not appear on the ballot, instead focusing on the Nevada caucus, which actually awards delegates.
upneutraldown
10United StatesSouth Carolina. Biden won the South Carolina primary with 96 percent of the vote.
upneutraldown
6El Salvador El Salvador's Bukele re-elected as president in landslide win. His New Ideas party is expected to win almost all of the 60 seats in the legislative body, which means Bukele will wield unprecedented power and be able to overhaul El Salvador's constitution, something that his opponents fear will result in scrapping of term limits.
upneutraldown
3United KingdomIreland A nationalist SDLP MLA has lost his whip (party affiliation) after he left early during a historic meeting of the Northern Irish Assembly, so he could participate in a GAA football match as a team manager.
upneutraldown
25United StatesFlorida. Florida will vote, via a ballot initiative this year on whether to add abortion rights to its state constitution. Similar measures have succeeded in deeply red-leaning states like Kansas and Ohio, so one may expect this to succeed.

January 2024

upneutraldown
-9United StatesArizona. Proposed bill would give the Arizona legislature the authority to override the popular vote.
upneutraldown
13United Kingdom A former cabinet minister leads a plot among UK's Tories to oust Rishi Sunak as party leader before the next election.
upneutraldown
14United States Trump: anybody who donates to Nikki Haley "will be permanently banned from the MAGA camp."
upneutraldown
6United StatesNew Hampshire. Donald Trump wins the New Hampshire Republican primary. Joe Biden also won the Democratic primary despite only being a write-in candidate.
upneutraldown
4Comoros Azali Assoumani is elected as President of the Comoros for the 4th time.
upneutraldown
11United StatesPennsylvania. One Pennsylvania state poll has Biden doing decently, per a pollster FiveThirtyEight rates "B+". Polls for the general presidential election have been somewhat mixed recently.
upneutraldown
34United StatesFlorida. Ron DeSantis drops out of the Republican primary.
upneutraldown
26Japan Support for Japan's ruling LDP has plummeted to 14.6%, some of the worst numbers in the party's entire history.
upneutraldown
18Guatemala Bernardo Arévalo is inaugurated as president of Guatemala after many delays.
upneutraldown
9United StatesGeorgia (U.S. State). RFK Jr. traveled to Atlanta (MLK Jr's birthplace) for a campaign event the day before Martin Luther King Jr Day. There, he defended the JFK administration wiretapping MLK Jr with authorization from RFK: "My father gave permission to Hoover to wiretap them so he could prove that his suspicions about King were either right or wrong... they had to do it."
upneutraldown
25United States Vivek Ramaswamy drops out of the presidential race.
upneutraldown
-3United StatesIowa. Donald Trump wins Iowa caucuses.
upneutraldown
33Taiwan William Lai wins the presidential election in Taiwan, which is likely to anger China.
upneutraldown
23United StatesRhode Island. Rhode Island election officials found the names of several dead people on nomination papers for Vivek Ramaswamy.
upneutraldown
16United States John Anthony Castro, the man who filed 33 suits challenging the 2020 US presidential election results, is now the second GOP presidential hopeful to be indicted. Say what you want about the Dems currently on the ballot, but it seems that none of the Dems currently running for POTUS have been criminally indicted. Or, in other words: business as usual in the party of corruption.
upneutraldown
2United Kingdom Osborne has hinted the date of general election being 14th November 2024, after he said a little birdie in Sunak's government told him.
upneutraldown
9United States Chris Christie drops out of the 2024 presidential race.
upneutraldown
14United Kingdom Former pensions secretary Chris Skidmore has resigned as a MP due to Sunak's backtracking on his green pledges, while another Conservative MP is being investigated over allegedly breaking parliamentary rules by using taxpayer money to fund Conservative Party work.
upneutraldown
8United Kingdom Andrew Bridgen has left Laurence Fox's Reclaim Party and withdrawn the party whip, allegedly because of "difference in the direction of the party".
upneutraldown
16United StatesIllinois. Trump refuses to sign decades-old Illinois ballot agreement in which he would pledge not to "advocate the overthrow of the government".
upneutraldown
7United StatesColorado. The Supreme Court will decide if Trump can appear on the Colorado ballot.
upneutraldown
14United States Vivek Ramaswamy has sold stock worth 33 million in preparation for "significant investment" in his bid for the GOP nomination.
upneutraldown
10United Kingdom Sunak has ruled out a May 2024 general election, but hinted at an election in the latter half of 2024. Election experts point to an October 2024 election.
upneutraldown
11United StatesCalifornia. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s campaign has hired noted anti-vaxxer Del Bigtree as communications director.