2024 U.S. presidential election

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A general Dissolution of Principles & Manners will more surely overthrow the Liberties of America than the whole Force of the Common Enemy. While the People are virtuous they cannot be subdued; but when once they lose their Virtue they will be ready to surrender their Liberties to the first external or internal Invader... [T]he Necessity of supporting the Education of our Country must be strongly impressd...
—American Founding Father Samuel AdamsWikipedia, 12 February 1779.
God, guns, and freedom
U.S. Politics
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Persons of interest

The 2024 United States presidential election was held on November 5, 2024, and served as a generation-defining choice for Americans between potentially changing the country for the better through a former prosecutor, or having four more years of a convicted felon[1] with dementia[2]. They chose poorly.

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump seemed to be locked in a tough stalemate, but Trump came out as the decisive victor, ensuring the nation will be right back to where it ended up in 2020, if not worse this time. With an extraordinarily conservative Supreme Court[3], Trump openly threatening far more overt displays of authoritarianism[4] than he did before, and the looming threat of Project 2025 on the horizon, the consequences that this second term will have on democracy and future generations of Americans will be catastrophic if not irreversible, even in the best-case scenario that the damage from this term is mitigated as much as possible[citation NOT needed].

That said, it wasn't a total wipe. The Senate[5] and House[6] actually has been deadlocked by a razor-thin majority, Project 2025 and Trump both remain staunchly unpopular with most Americans[7][8], and due to the Twenty-second Amendment making this Trump's last term on top of his heavily-ailing health[9][10], it is highly unlikely that Trump will have a third term to further ruin this country with (not that this will stop his cult from trying regardless[11][note 1]). There were some additional positive signs of progress as well; Sarah McBride has become the first transgender person to win a seat at Congress[12], with other historic wins for LGBTQ+ candidates following it closely[13].

Of course, these facts amount to mere silver linings amid a disastrous defeat for the Democratic Party, whose options to combat the upcoming authoritarian legislature will be limited until at least the 2026 midterm elections.

Key issues[edit]

Democracy[edit]

Democracy is on the ballot. Your freedom is on the ballot.
—Joe Biden[14]

The fallout from the events of January 6 hangs like a cloud over the campaign trail. Republicans have taken an increasingly Christian nationalist tone from the vocal hard right members. And then there's Project 2025, nuff said.

Economy[edit]

The Post-COVID world saw record high inflation after months of shutting down, causing millions of Americans to grow frustrated with the state of the economy, and was a leading campaign issue that led to Republicans barely taking over the House in the 2022 midterm elections. While rates of inflation have peaked in the summer of 2022, the prices of some goods have remained stubbornly high.

Abortion[edit]

If there was anything that kept Democrats some resemblance of control in Congress and gubernatorials, it would be when the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in the summer of 2022.

Background Noise[edit]

Gaza[edit]

The October 7th 2023 attack on Israel by Hamas and the subsequent genocidal onslaught by Israel on Palestine[note 2], specifically the Gaza Strip, has pretty much irreversibly destroyed Joe Biden's reputation amongst young voters[15] as well as ruining the already tattered reputation of the United States especially after the previous geopolitical fuck-up, the 2003 Iraq War, pretty much cemented notion of the US being an imperial monster to the world amongst young people. This is because the US has not only been nearly-uncritically supportive of Israel, but has delivered upwards of billions of dollars of military aid allowing Israel to enact genocide on the people of Gaza despite numerous attempts from international organizations, activist groups, politicians and even other countries to persuade them otherwise. The US government even went as far as to threaten the ICC with sanctions due to them seeking arrest warrants for members of the Israeli government including Benjamin Netanyahu.[16][17]. Both Donald Trump and former candidate Joe Biden, have both pledged to support Israel with Trump even telling Israel to "finish the job". Meanwhile Kamala Harris did not make many substantive public statements detailing a change in policy from Joe Biden, but did reportedly signal an openness to discussing a weapons embargo[18] and vowed that she would not "be silent" about suffering in Gaza.[19] This has led many to describe the election as a "lesser of two evils" though some people decry both candidates as being the same solely based on this one issue despite very obvious evidence that they are different in so, so many other areas.[20]

Sanity[edit]

Trump has shown noticeable cognitive decline since he first ran for president. The mainstream media has largely chosen to ignore this. According to Jeffrey Goldberg, editor-in-chief of The Atlantic, the mainstream media rationale for this is:[21]

It works like this: Trump sounds nuts, but he can’t be nuts, because he’s the presumptive nominee for president of a major party, and no major party would nominate someone who is nuts. Therefore, it is our responsibility to sand down his rhetoric, to identify any kernel of meaning, to make light of his bizarro statements, to rationalize.

Will Bunch of The Philadelphia Inquirer wrote:[22]

[The] false claim by Trump that Harris is generating fake big crowds with AI was a true Captain Queeg moment,[note 3] maybe the most bat-guano crazy thing I’ve seen in 40 years of covering presidential elections.

Ukraine[edit]

Donald Trump advocates for not only military aid to Ukraine being revoked, but to "negotiate peace between the two". What he's actually saying is for the US to leave Ukraine as a sitting duck whilst Russia installs a puppet government.[23] Ironically, a loud minority of leftists who criticize US support for Israel's genocidal war on Gaza (which Trump supports, as mentioned above), also support Trump's appeasement of Russia, with some even calling Trump a "peacemaker" and advocating voting for him entirely on this basis.

Candidates[edit]

Democrats[edit]

  • Vice President Kamala Harris of California, following Biden's withdrawal on July 21, 2024. ("You think you just fell out of a coconut tree?"[24])

Withdrawn[edit]

  • President Joe Biden of Delaware
  • Convicted felon Joe Exotic of Oklahoma
  • Antivaxxer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — later changed to run as an independent before endorsing Trump
  • Congressman Dean Phillips of Minnesota (endorsed Biden)[25]
  • Venture capitalist Jason Palmer of Maryland (endorsed Biden)
  • Political commentator Cenk Uygur of California
  • Spiritual writer and perennial candidate Marianne Williamson of California (suspended, un-suspended, re-suspended, then re-un-suspended her campaign — because perennialism)

Republicans[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Nondenominational pastor Ryan Binkley of Texas (endorsed Trump)
  • Governor Doug Burgum of North Dakota (endorsed Trump)[26]
  • Former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey
  • Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida (endorsed Trump)[27]
  • Talk radio host Larry Elder of California (endorsed Trump)[28]
  • Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley of South Carolina
  • Former Congressman Will Hurd of Texas
  • Former Governor Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas
  • Bishop E. W. Jackson of Virginia (endorsed Trump)[29]
  • Businessman Perry Johnson of Michigan
  • Former Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana
  • Investor Vivek Ramaswamy of Ohio (endorsed Trump)[30]
  • Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina (endorsed Trump)[31]
  • Miami Mayor Francis Suarez of Florida

Independent/Third Party[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. Which, on a purely objective note, is a bit of an ask given while the Republican Party will control the House and Senate, they lack any super-majority needed to even pass an Amendment anyways, and even the Supreme Court cannot undo decades of legal precedent with this in mind.
  2. More accurately, it intensified a million-fold
  3. From The Caine MutinyWikipedia

References[edit]

  1. Alex Woodward (May 30, 2024). "Trump makes history as first criminally convicted former US president"
  2. Trump's cognitive deficits seem worse. We need to know if he has dementia: Psychologist
  3. The Supreme Court is the most conservative in 90 years
  4. "Trump’s Slow-Burn Authoritarianism"
  5. Election 2024: Senate results
  6. Democrats could still win the House, but the path looks very narrow
  7. "September 2024 NBC News survey"
  8. Little change in Americans’ views of Trump over the past year
  9. Most Older Voters in One State Think Trump Has 'Very Poor' Health: Poll
  10. Stress Trump Faces After Conviction Plus His Poor Health a 'Recipe for Disaster,' Former Trump Executive Says
  11. Fox host Trey Gowdy suggests Republicans could amend the Constitution to give Trump a third term
  12. Sarah McBride becomes the first out transgender person elected to Congress
  13. LGBTQ candidates saw big election wins, with several historic victories
  14. Trump seeks 'revenge and retribution' Biden says Reuters 6 January 2024
  15. Helmore, Edward (June 16, 2024). "Democrat Khanna: Biden is ‘running out of time’ with young voters over Gaza war". The Guardian. 
  16. "U.S. Aid to Israel in Four Charts" - Jonathan Masters and Will Merrow (May 31, 2024). The Council on Foreign Relations.
  17. Driscoll, Elizabeth (May 6, 2024). "Republican US senators send threatening letter to ICC prosecutor over possible Netanyahu arrest warrant". Jurist News. 
  18. https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-open-israel-arms-embargo-palestine-conflict-1936259
  19. https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/25/politics/harris-netanyahu-israel-hamas-ceasefire/index.html
  20. "Trump: 'Let Israel finish the job' in Gaza". Middle East Monitor. June 28, 2024. 
  21. The Unadorned Truth About Donald Trump: We must treat him like any other candidate for high office who is emotionally and mentally unstable. by Jeffrey Goldberg (June 27, 2024) The Atlantic.
  22. Yesterday's false claim by Trump that Harris is generating fake big crowds with AI was a true Captain Queeg moment, maybe the most bat-guano crazy thing I've seen in 40 years of covering presidential elections: Neither NYT nor Washington Post is promoting it on their home page by Will Bunch (3:58 AM · Aug 12, 2024) Twitter (archived from 16 Aug 2024 17:01:56 UTC).
  23. "Exclusive: Trump handed plan to halt US military aid to Kyiv unless it talks peace with Moscow" - Gram Slattery and Simon Lewis for Reuters (June 25, 2024).
  24. Conor Murray (July 21, 2024). "Kamala Harris’ ‘Coconut Tree’ Quote, Explained: What She Meant And Why It’s Going Viral As She Launches Campaign". Forbes.
  25. Biden challenger Dean Phillips drops out of US presidential race The Guardian 6 March 2024
  26. Trump is endorsed by a former rival, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, ahead of the Iowa caucuses Associated Press News 14 January 2024
  27. "Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump" by Alec Hernández, Matt Dixon, Dasha Burns and Jonathan Allen, NBC News, 2024 January 21
  28. Radio host Larry Elder ends Republican presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump Associated Press News 27 October 2023
  29. On my podcast today I officially endorsed Donald Trump as 47th President of the United States. I wouldn’t vote for Niki Haley for dog catcher. Don’t trust her at all! NH GO FOR TRUMP! http://EWJacksonforAmerica.com(1:36 PM · Jan 23, 2024) Twitter
  30. Iowa caucuses 2024: Vivek Ramaswamy suspends campaign and endorses Trump BBC News 16 January 2024
  31. Sen. Tim Scott endorses Trump in New Hampshire amid full-court press against Haley CNN 20 January 2024
  32. RFK Jr. suspends his presidential bid and backs Donald Trump before appearing with him at his rally Associated Press News 23 August 2023