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Escape to the future

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An escape to the future is a logical fallacy that is functionally similar to the God of the gaps argument and occurs when someone claims their worldview will soon prevail because the evidence is in the making or that their victory is just round the corner. Pseudosciences do this all the time.

While the fallacy itself is formal, the act of constructing your world around its (mis)application is per definition delusional. The Hitler bunker scene in Der UntergangWikipedia's W.svg is a typical example of this.[1]

Alternate names[edit]

  • Future Discoveries fallacy
  • Argument to the Future
  • Permanent Promise

Form[edit]

P1: Currently, there is no evidence that X is true.
P2: In the future, there will be evidence that X is true.
C1: X is true.

Explanation[edit]

This argument is fallacious because of the lack of evidence to believe that there will be evidence in the future. This failure reduces the argument to P1 and C1, which leaves no evidence for X to be true.

If there is evidence to believe so, then this is not a fallacious argument. For example, it's probable that neuroscience will eventually fully understand how the human brain works, because neuroscience has successfully done so for neurons and for sections of the brain (it would become a fallacy if you said, "The brain works like X, and we will soon have evidence for this, so therefore it is true". Not making a non specific statement that at some point in the future we will understand the brain). However, there is no reason to believe that homeopathy, for example, will somehow become effective in the future.

External links[edit]

References[edit]

  1. The original scene from the film and not one of the innumerable parodiesWikipedia's W.svg.